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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 14.4

Home Win Probability

Houston 16%

Market (Bovada)

Houston +16.5

Edge: Houston +16.5 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
3071020
HoustonHouston
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-100-130-20
HoustonIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUISHOUISHOUISHOUISHOUISHOUISHOUISHOUISHOUISHOUISDOWNS645ydFG1165ydPUNT36ydPUNT729ydPUNT724ydPUNT32ydPUNT45ydPUNT623ydPUNT416ydPUNT832ydEND1-2ydMISS1251ydPUNT637ydTD780ydTO319ydFG716ydTO972ydTD280ydDOWNS417ydEND618yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Houston
StatisticIowa StateHouston
Passing17-289-16
Pass Yards15372
Rush Yards240171
Total Yards393243
Turnovers03
3rd Down9-171-8
Penalties3-207-77
Possession34:5525:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
17/28, 153 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Abu Sama III
11 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayden Higgins
8 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Houston
passing
Donovan Smith
8/12, 71 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Stacy Sneed
10 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Stephon Johnson Jr.
4 REC, 42 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.69

Stacy Sneed run for 37 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 39

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the ISU 35

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the ISU 32

4th & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -2.41

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 2 yds to the ISU 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.19

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 7 yds to the HOU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the HOU 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 10 yds to the HOU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the HOU 26

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the HOU 4

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 5

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+23 yds

Kyle Konrardy 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 22

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Zeon Chriss run for 11 yds to the HOU 33

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Parker Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 43 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for no gain to the ISU 26

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaylon Jackson run for 12 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds to the ISU 41

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 46

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the HOU 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jace T. Gilbert punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Donovan Smith pass complete to Jonah Wilson for 6 yds to the HOU 26

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Stacy Sneed run for 8 yds to the HOU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Donovan Smith run for 11 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Donovan Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the HOU 48

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

(15:00) SMITH, Donovan pass up the middle complete for 0 yards to WILLIAMS, Devan caught at the HOU48 and advanced to the HOU48 (KLOSTERMAN, John), clock 14:54. PENALTY HOU Chop Block on SNEED, Stacy enforced 15 yards from the HOU48 to the HOU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 22Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Stacy Sneed run for 11 yds to the HOU 44

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 49 yds, downed at the ISU 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the HOU 43

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the HOU 43

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Houston Penalty, Illegal Block (Stephon Johnson) to the HOU 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 4 yds to the ISU 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 14 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the ISU 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 21

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Donovan Smith run for 11 yds to the HOU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 6 yds to the HOU 36

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Donovan Smith run for 1 yd to the HOU 37

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 11

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 10 yds to the ISU 21

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ISU 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 27

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Rocco Becht run for 9 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.49

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 3 yds to the ISU 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

(00:42) [NH] Kneel down by SMITH, Donovan at HOU11 (team loss of 2), clock 00:34.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 7 yds to the ISU 32

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Carson Hansen run for 10 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 42

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the ISU 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the HOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Abu Sama III run for 9 yds to the HOU 36

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA -0.05

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 20 yds to the HOU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(11:16) BECHT, Rocco pass deep up the middle complete for 16 yards to HIGGINS, Jayden caught at the HOU0 and advanced to the HOU0, TOUCHDOWN ISU, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:14 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY ISU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BARRETT, Dylan enforced 5 yards from the HOU16 to the HOU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 22 Carson Hansen fumbled, recovered by ISU Carson Hansen C. Hansen return for 0 yds

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the HOU 17

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.07

Rocco Becht sacked by Anthony Holmes Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the HOU 24

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Kyle Konrardy 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Mekhi Mews run for 16 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 43

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.09

Stacy Sneed run for 19 yds to the ISU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Parker Jenkins run for 1 yd to the ISU 37

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(06:23) CHRISS, Zeon pass to the left incomplete intended for MEWS, Mekhi broken up by WILLIAMS, Jontez at the ISU23, clock 06:17. PENALTY HOU Holding on HUNTER, Demetrius enforced 10 yards from the ISU37 to the ISU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Zeon Chriss run for 7 yds to the ISU 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 1 yd to the ISU 39

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 13 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +2.77

Jaylon Jackson run for 50 yds to the HOU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the HOU 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.94

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Jace T. Gilbert kickoff for 65 yds , Mekhi Mews return for 28 yds to the HOU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Donovan Smith pass complete to Jayden York for 1 yd to the HOU 29

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Donovan Smith run for 4 yds to the HOU 33

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 14 yds Stephon Johnson fumbled, recovered by ISU Jacob Ellis J. Ellis return for 0 yds Houston Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Maliq Carr) to the HOU 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Brown for 5 yds to the HOU 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 10 yds to the HOU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the HOU 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the HOU 13

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 16

4th & 7Field Goal Good+34 yds

Kyle Konrardy 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Jace T. Gilbert kickoff for 59 yds , Bryan Massey return for 2 yds to the HOU 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the HOU 6

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Donovan Smith pass complete to Jayden York for 15 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Donovan Smith pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 20 yds to the HOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.52

Donovan Smith run for 10 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST down Iowa State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Myles Purchase) to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Donovan Smith pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 7 yds to the ISU 32

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 33

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Donovan Smith run for 6 yds to the ISU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the ISU 24

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.11

Donovan Smith pass intercepted, touchback. Jontez Williams return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ISU 23

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.62

Abu Sama III run for 77 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the HOU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.29

Zeon Chriss sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the HOU 19 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by HOU Demetrius Hunter , return for 0 yards

4th & 16Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.37

Zeon Chriss pass intercepted Devan Williams return for no gain to the HOU 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the HOU 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the HOU 36

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the HOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the HOU 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the HOU 26

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the HOU 24

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
44%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play