Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 81%

Market (Bovada)

Iowa State -20.5

Edge: Arkansas State +20.5 (7.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
00077
Iowa StateIowa State
141771452

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-017-024-031-038-045-052-7
Iowa StateArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISASISASISASISASISASISASISASASISASISISASISASISASPUNT713ydPUNT35ydTD660ydPUNT38ydTO10ydPUNT714ydTD1080ydTO1138ydFG652ydPUNT50ydTD766ydTO311ydTD116ydEND310ydPUNT30ydTD969ydPUNT613ydTO617ydTD1058ydTO824ydPUNT3-12ydTD543ydTD875ydEND11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Iowa State
StatisticArkansas StateIowa State
Passing9-2316-25
Pass Yards118253
Rush Yards64237
Total Yards182490
Turnovers42
3rd Down5-136-11
Penalties5-502-15
Possession25:1634:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
Jaylen Raynor
5/16, 68 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Devin Spencer
9 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Hunter Summers
2 REC, 37 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
11/18, 204 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Carson Hansen
9 CAR, 58 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Benjamin Brahmer
3 REC, 73 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the ISU 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the ARST 26

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the ISU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.62

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 28 yds to the ARST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.62

Carson Hansen run for 23 yds to the ARST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ARST 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ARST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylen Raynor run for 3 yds to the ARST 28

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(08:23) RAYNOR, Jaylen pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for RUCKER, Corey broken up by VERDON, Malik at the ARST45, clock 08:20. PENALTY Before the snap, ISU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ARST28 to the ARST33. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the ARST 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+34 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 56 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 34 yds to the ISU 45

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -2.72

Rocco Becht pass intercepted Dontay Joyner return for 20 yds to the ARST 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARST 38

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.69

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 20 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the ISU 38

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Corey Rucker) to the ISU 43

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the ISU 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for 7 yds to the ISU 27

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Abu Sama III run for 17 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.32

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 26 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the ARST 23

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Jaylon Jackson run for 10 yds to the ARST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the ARST 10

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the ARST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Rocco Becht run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ARST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 13 yds to the ARST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Ja'Quez Cross run for 7 yds to the ARST 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ARST 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 8 yds to the ISU 42

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.24

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 5 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -3.95

Jaylen Raynor pass intercepted Jeremiah Cooper return for 6 yds to the ISU 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the ISU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.82

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 44 yds to the ARST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dylan Lee run for 6 yds to the ARST 11

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 13

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Kyle Konrardy 31 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Keegan Shackford kickoff for 57 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 30 yds to the ARST 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Devin Spencer run for 3 yds to the ARST 41

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

(08:30) RAYNOR, Jaylen pass to the left complete for 6 yards to JONES, Adam caught at the ARST40 and advanced to the ARST47 (HOWARD, Trevon), clock 08:26. PENALTY Before the snap, ARST Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the ARST41 to the ARST36. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Reagan Ealy for 22 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-34 ydsPPA -4.09

run for a loss of 34 yards to the ARST 24 fumbled, recovered by ARST Jaylen Raynor J. Raynor return for 0 yds

2nd & 44Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Spencer run for 14 yds to the ARST 38

3rd & 30Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the ARST 38

4th & 30Punt+19 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 47 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 19 yds to the ISU 34

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jaylon Jackson run for 10 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the ARST 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the ARST 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.76

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 24 yds to the ARST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ARST 19

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Abu Sama III run for 9 yds to the ARST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 10 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylen Raynor run for 5 yds to the ARST 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Jaylen Raynor run for 6 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+38 ydsPPA -1.85

Jaylen Raynor pass intercepted Malik Verdon return for 38 yds to the ARST 16

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 16 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Jace J. Gilbert kickoff for 39 yds , Cam Jeffery return for 1 yd to the ARST 27

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.66

Timmy McClain run for 18 yds to the ARST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Timmy McClain sacked by Joey Petersen for a loss of 7 yards to the ARST 38

2nd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Timmy McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 37

0th & 17End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the ARST 27

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Timmy McClain sacked by Kooper Ebel for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Timmy McClain run for no gain to the ARST 25

4th & 10Punt+6 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 50 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 6 yds to the ISU 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dylan Lee run for 2 yds to the ISU 33

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 5 yds to the ISU 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.29

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 21 yds to the ARST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds to the ARST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the ARST 6

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.77

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the ARST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the ARST 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Timmy McClain run for 3 yds to the ARST 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Timmy McClain pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 8 yds to the ARST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the ARST 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the ARST 46

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.45

Timmy McClain sacked by Kenard Snyder for a loss of 8 yards to the ARST 38

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the ISU 24

1st & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Connor Moberly pass complete to Tripp Walsh for 11 yds to the ISU 33

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Carson Hansen run for 8 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dylan Lee run for 2 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -1.66

Connor Moberly pass intercepted Websley Etienne return for 10 yds to the ISU 42 Websley Etienne fumbled, recovered by ISU Eli Green E. Green return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dylan Lee run for 5 yds to the ISU 47

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Jaylon Jackson run for 12 yds to the ARST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the ARST 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Connor Moberly pass complete to Dylan Lee for 7 yds to the ARST 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Connor Moberly pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Connor Moberly pass complete to Tyler Moore for 7 yds to the ARST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Connor Moberly pass complete to Beni Ngoyi for 17 yds to the ARST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Dylan Lee run for 7 yds to the ARST 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan Lee run for 1 yd to the ARST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dylan Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the ARST 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Timmy McClain pass complete to Devin Spencer for 5 yds to the ARST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARST 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Timmy McClain pass complete to Hunter Summers for 10 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.19

Timmy McClain sacked by Ikenna Ezeogu for a loss of 6 yards to the ISU 47

2nd & 16Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.57

Timmy McClain run for 6 yds to the ISU 41 Timmy McClain fumbled, recovered by ISU John Klosterman J. Klosterman return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dylan Lee run for 2 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.76

Connor Moberly sacked by Noah Collins for a loss of 8 yards to the ISU 35

3rd & 16Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.26

Aiden Flora run for a loss of 6 yards to the ISU 29

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 14 yds, downed at the ISU 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the ISU 38

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Devin Spencer run for 10 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Timmy McClain pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Devin Spencer run for 1 yd to the ISU 27

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.81

Timmy McClain pass complete to Hunter Summers for 27 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Connor Moberly run for 18 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Connor Moberly pass complete to Kai Black for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Aiden Flora run for 7 yds to the ARST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Aiden Flora run for 3 yds to the ARST 40

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Aiden Flora run for 12 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Aiden Flora run for 3 yds to the ARST 25

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.60

Connor Moberly run for 17 yds to the ARST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Aiden Flora run for 8 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Damon Sisa run for 1 yd to the ARST 26

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
53%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays