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← Back to GamesSep 22, 2024Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 5

Home Win Probability

BYU 36%

Market (Bovada)

BYU +7

Edge: BYU +7 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 22, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
33309
BYUBYU
01714738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-63-624-631-938-9
BYUKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUKSBYUKSBYUKSKSBYUKSKSBYUKSKSBYUKSBYUKSBYUKSBYUPUNT33ydFG1253ydPUNT1041ydFG1687ydFG1362ydTD35ydTO20ydTD229ydEND12ydTO31ydTD227ydTD38ydFG1264ydPUNT517ydDOWNS625ydTD638ydDOWNS943ydPUNT410ydDOWNS844ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and BYU
StatisticKansas StateBYU
Passing16-2915-21
Pass Yards139149
Rush Yards22892
Total Yards367241
Turnovers30
3rd Down8-173-9
Penalties8-502-20
Possession33:0326:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Avery Johnson
15/28, 130 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
DJ Giddens
19 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Jayce Brown
4 REC, 51 YDS
defense
BYU
passing
Jake Retzlaff
15/21, 149 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sione I Moa
15 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Roberts
2 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keanu Hill

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Sione I Moa run for 3 yds to the BYU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Marque Collins

4th & 7Punt+7 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 46 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 7 yds to the KSU 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 7 yds to the KSU 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 9 yds to the BYU 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Dante Cephas

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.56

DJ Giddens run for 18 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the BYU 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 7 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 6 yds to the BYU 12

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 17

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the BYU 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Chris Tennant 32 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Simon McClannan kickoff for 65 yds , Keelan Marion return for 18 yds to the BYU 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 10 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Sione I Moa run for 2 yds to the BYU 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.36

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Sione I Moa for 12 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Jojo Phillips for 1 yd to the BYU 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 16 yds to the KSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Jake Retzlaff sacked by Damian Ilalio and Brendan Mott for a loss of 5 yards to the KSU 46

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the KSU 45

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Sione I Moa for 4 yds to the KSU 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 36 yds, downed at the KSU 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 5 yds to the KSU 14

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Avery Johnson run for 7 yds to the KSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dylan Edwards run for 6 yds to the KSU 27

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Hadley Panzer) to the KSU 22

2nd & 9Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.14

Avery Johnson run for 30 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Dylan Edwards run for 11 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 9 yds to the BYU 28

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the BYU 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the BYU 16

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the BYU 10 Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Swanson) to the BYU 20

1st & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.50

Dylan Edwards run for 12 yds to the BYU 8

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Keagan Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce Brown

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Chris Tennant 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sione I Moa run for 6 yds to the BYU 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Sione I Moa run for 6 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 24 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Sione I Moa run for 3 yds to the KSU 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 13 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Sione I Moa run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Pokaiaua Haunga

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ryner Swanson for 10 yds to the KSU 14

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.56

Sione I Moa run for 1 yd to the KSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.53

Jake Retzlaff sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 12 yards to the KSU 25

2nd & 22Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Sione I Moa for 1 yd to the KSU 24

3rd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Pokaiaua Haunga for 11 yds to the KSU 13

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Will Ferrin 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the KSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 33

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+30 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 3 yards DJ Giddens fumbled, forced by Jack Kelly, recovered by BYU Tommy Prassas , return for 30 yds (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Dylan Edwards

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

Avery Johnson pass intercepted Tyler Batty return for no gain to the KSU 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jake Retzlaff run for 6 yds to the KSU 23

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 23 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

2nd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds , Dylan Edwards return for 25 yds to the KSU 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 27

0th & 10End of Half+2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jadon Jackson

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the KSU 20

2nd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Dylan Edwards run for 6 yds to the KSU 26 Dylan Edwards fumbled, recovered by KSU Jadon Jackson

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA +0.07

Avery Johnson pass intercepted Harrison Taggart return for 15 yds to the KSU 27

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.28

Sione I Moa run for 24 yds to the KSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 3 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KSU 20

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Avery Johnson run for 11 yds to the KSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dylan Edwards run for 2 yds to the KSU 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 33

4th & 2Punt+90 yds

Simon McClannan punt for 57 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 90 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.39

DJ Giddens run for 26 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the BYU 37

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce Brown

3rd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.30

Avery Johnson run for 12 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 30

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the BYU 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 9 yds to the BYU 20

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Avery Johnson run for 13 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Sam Hecht) to the BYU 12

1st & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 6 yds to the BYU 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the BYU 4

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the BYU 1

4th & 0Penalty-10 yds

Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hadley Panzer) to the BYU 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Chris Tennant 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Sione I Moa run for 8 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Keelan Marion run for 3 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sione I Moa run for no gain to the BYU 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete to Keelan Marion

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Kody Epps for 6 yds to the BYU 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 45 yds, downed at the KSU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 9 yds to the KSU 22

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Swanson for 9 yds to the KSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 5 yds to the KSU 39

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jadon Jackson

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Avery Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Sione I Moa run for 4 yds to the KSU 34

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Sione I Moa run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.58

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keanu Hill for 14 yds to the KSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Sione I Moa run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 22

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Sione I Moa run for 1 yd to the KSU 21

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.52

Sione I Moa run for 21 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

3rd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds , Dylan Edwards return for 15 yds to the KSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.38

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 20 yds to the KSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 7 yds to the KSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 15 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 7 yds to the BYU 33

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce Brown

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.79

Avery Johnson sacked by Jack Kelly for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 42

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Will Swanson

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Enoch Nawahine run for 10 yds to the KSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the KSU 44

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Enoch Nawahine run for no gain to the KSU 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ryner Swanson for 1 yd to the KSU 43

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KSU 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Joe Jackson run for 2 yds to the KSU 11

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Joe Jackson run for 6 yds to the KSU 17

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the KSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.02

Jacob Knuth pass complete to Will Anciaux for 9 yds to the KSU 29 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the KSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacob Knuth run for 2 yds to the KSU 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacob Knuth run for 2 yds to the BYU 48 Jacob Knuth fumbled, recovered by KSU

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Joe Jackson run for 1 yd to the BYU 47

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.38

Joe Jackson run for no gain to the BYU 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the KSU 49

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Enoch Nawahine run for 7 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 43

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 44

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
20 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play