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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 5.4

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 64%

Market (Bovada)

Texas Tech -11

Edge: North Texas +11 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North TexasNorth Texas
707721
Texas TechTexas Tech
17357766

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-017-017-1435-749-749-1463-1463-21
Texas TechNorth Texas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTTTNTPUNT33ydTD856ydPUNT30ydFG865ydTD175ydTD975ydMISS1167ydTD280ydTD29ydTO10ydTD125ydPUNT37ydTD475ydTO10ydTD630ydPUNT35ydPUNT512ydEND17ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydTO517ydTD418ydPUNT520ydDOWNS625ydTD443ydPUNT34ydTD979ydTD875ydPUNT38ydEND1258yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Texas and Texas Tech
StatisticNorth TexasTexas Tech
Passing17-3024-34
Pass Yards218354
Rush Yards135232
Total Yards353586
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-147-14
Penalties5-608-55
Possession27:2932:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Texas
passing
Chandler Morris
15/27, 162 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Shane Porter
7 CAR, 31 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wyatt Young
1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Behren Morton
15/19, 273 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Tahj Brooks
17 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Coy Eakin
1 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 1 yd to the UNT 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for 7 yds to the UNT 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the TTU 45

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.00

Tahj Brooks run for 13 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.65

Tahj Brooks run for 20 yds to the UNT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cameron Dickey run for 4 yds to the UNT 18

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Cameron Dickey run for 9 yds to the UNT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Cameron Dickey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Josh Kelly 10 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.16

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for no gain to the UNT 25

4th & 10Punt-5 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 42 yds , Josh Kelly returns for a loss of 5 yards to the TTU 28

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Tahj Brooks run for 19 yds to the TTU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.84

Behren Morton pass complete to for 42 yds to the UNT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the UNT 11

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNT 14

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Behren Morton pass complete to Jordan Brown for 7 yds to the UNT 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Gino Garcia 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Wyatt Young 75 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Kali Nguma Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 9 yds to the TTU 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Behren Morton) to the TTU 28

2nd & 21Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.56

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 26 yds to the UNT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 17 yds to the UNT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Behren Morton pass complete to Johncarlos Miller II for 10 yds to the UNT 22

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the UNT 21

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.41

Tahj Brooks 21 Yd Run (Reese Burkhardt Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TTU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 46

2nd & 13Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Damashja Harris run for 14 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Damashja Harris run for no gain to the TTU 32

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Damashja Harris run for 3 yds to the TTU 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Chandler Morris pass complete to Oscar Hammond for no gain to the TTU 29

4th & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.15

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 18 yds to the TTU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Damashja Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 13

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Chandler Morris run for 2 yds to the TTU 11

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damashja Harris for 3 yds to the TTU 8

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Kali Nguma 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Cameron Dickey run for 10 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Coy Eakin 70 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kyle Koch run for 9 yds to the UNT 34

2nd & 1Interception Return Touchdown+44 ydsPPA -9.17

Bralyn Lux 44 Yd Interception Return (Reese Burkhardt Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.92

Chandler Morris pass intercepted Bryce Ramirez return for 2 yds to the UNT 25

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:34) MORTON, Behren pass deep to the left incomplete intended for THARP, Mason thrown to the UNT0, clock 09:36. PENALTY UNT Pass Interference on JACKSON, Evan enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the UNT10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Behren Morton 10 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Damashja Harris run for 3 yds to the UNT 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Damashja Harris run for 4 yds to the UNT 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Damashja Harris run for no gain to the UNT 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 43 yds, downed at the TTU 25

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Tahj Brooks run for 23 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the UNT 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the UNT 45

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.57

Johncarlos Miller II 45 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Reese Burkhardt Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.22

Chandler Morris pass intercepted Chapman Lewis return for no gain to the UNT 30

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 32

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 7 yds to the UNT 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 8 yds to the UNT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tahj Brooks run for 8 yds to the UNT 9

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 10

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.72

Jalin Conyers 10 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Gino Garcia Kick)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Zach Evans run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNT 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for 5 yds to the UNT 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for 5 yds to the UNT 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Kelly at the TTU 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 4 yds to the TTU 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.48

Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 44

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Behren Morton pass complete to J'Koby Williams for 10 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 33 yds, downed at the UNT 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the UNT 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Sheridan Wilson) to the TTU 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cameran Brown run for 5 yds to the TTU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cameran Brown pass complete to Cameron Dickey for 6 yds to the TTU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cameran Brown pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+19 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 52 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 19 yds to the UNT 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the UNT 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+48 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 48 yds , Josh Kelly returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cameran Brown pass complete to for no gain to the TTU 10

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

J'Koby Williams run for 12 yds to the TTU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Cameran Brown pass complete to Brady Boyd for 7 yds to the TTU 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Cameran Brown pass complete to Micah Hudson for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 27

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -0.15

Cameran Brown pass intercepted Brian Nelson II return for 23 yds to the TTU 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the TTU 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TTU 15

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.58

Jeremiah Aaron 15 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Kali Nguma Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cameran Brown run for 6 yds to the TTU 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Cameron Dickey run for 9 yds to the TTU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cameran Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cameron Dickey run for 5 yds to the TTU 45

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 45 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 8 yds to the UNT 18

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Cameran Brown pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.95

Chandler Morris pass complete to Miles Coleman for 19 yds to the UNT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for no gain to the UNT 37

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Shane Porter run for 3 yds to the UNT 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Chandler Morris run for 3 yds to the UNT 43

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Will Hammond run for 8 yds to the UNT 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.20

Will Hammond pass complete to Micah Hudson for 32 yds to the UNT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Hammond pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

J'Koby Williams 3 Yd Run (Reese Burkhardt Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chandler Morris pass complete to Zach Evans for no gain to the UNT 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chandler Morris run for 4 yds to the UNT 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 40 yds, downed at the TTU 21

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (Dalton Merryman) to the TTU 16

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Cameron Dickey run for no gain to the TTU 16

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Will Hammond pass complete to Cameron Dickey for 2 yds to the TTU 18

3rd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.68

Will Hammond pass complete to Micah Hudson for 13 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

J'Koby Williams run for 11 yds to the TTU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.93

Cameron Dickey run for 37 yds to the UNT 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Hammond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Cameron Dickey run for 1 yd to the UNT 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.45

Will Hammond pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 19 yds to the UNT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cameron Dickey 1 Yd Run (Gino Garcia Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the UNT 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Shane Porter run for 5 yds to the UNT 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Drew Mestemaker run for 6 yds to the UNT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drew Mestemaker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 7 yds to the UNT 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.48

Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Miles Coleman for 49 yds to the TTU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+3 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, Offsides (Yards) to the TTU 3

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Drew Mestemaker run for 2 yds to the TTU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Shane Porter 1 Yd Run (Kali Nguma Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

J'Koby Williams run for 1 yd to the TTU 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Hammond run for 3 yds to the TTU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Will Hammond pass complete to Tyson Turner for 4 yds to the TTU 33

4th & 2Punt+20 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 52 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 20 yds to the UNT 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Shane Porter run for 7 yds to the UNT 42

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Shane Porter run for 12 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Makenzie McGill run for 3 yds to the TTU 43

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

MCGILL, Makenzie rush to the right for no gain to the TTU43 (PEOPLES, Jalon), clock 04:46. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOORE III, Larry enforced 10 yards from the TTU43 to the UNT47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the UNT 48

3rd & 16Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.78

Drew Mestemaker run for 21 yds to the TTU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Makenzie McGill run for 5 yds to the TTU 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Makenzie McGill run for 3 yds to the TTU 23

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.63

Makenzie McGill run for 15 yds to the TTU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Makenzie McGill run for 1 yd to the TTU 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Makenzie McGill run for 3 yds to the TTU 4

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

MESTEMAKER, Drew pass short to the right incomplete intended for CONWRIGHT, Blair thrown to the TTU0, clock 00:44. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on PEOPLES, Jalon enforced 2 yards to the TTU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Makenzie McGill run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 4

2nd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Drew Mestemaker sacked by Miquel Dingle and Justin Horne for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 7

Situational Analysis

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
22%
23 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
50%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play