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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 13.9

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 79%

Market (Bovada)

Miami (OH) +3

Edge: Miami (OH) +3 (16.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
3771027
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
037616

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-33-1017-3816-27
Miami (OH)Cincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(CINM(CINM(CINM(CINM(CINM(CINM(CINM(CINM(M(CINM(CINM(TO662ydPUNT726ydPUNT37ydFG826ydFG863ydPUNT412ydTO4-10ydTD13ydPUNT632ydTO1695ydEND1-2ydTD1275ydTD475ydPUNT835ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT3-3ydTD1175ydPUNT30ydDOWNS557ydFG756ydEND738yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Miami (OH)
StatisticCincinnatiMiami (OH)
Passing21-3425-39
Pass Yards186356
Rush Yards21526
Total Yards401382
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-155-13
Penalties5-352-10
Possession31:2928:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
21/34, 186 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Corey Kiner
21 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
10 REC, 108 YDS
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
23/35, 339 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kevin Davis
3 CAR, 14 YDS
receiving
Cade McDonald
8 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 9 yds to the M-OH 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 7 yds to the M-OH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.61

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 37 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Dylan Downing run for 8 yds to the CIN 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the CIN 21

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -4.22

Brett Gabbert pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for no gain to the CIN 30

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for no gain to the CIN 30

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the CIN 35

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the CIN 35

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.41

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the M-OH 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dylan Downing for 8 yds to the M-OH 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the M-OH 27

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 42 yds , Tyrin Smith returns for 6 yds to the CIN 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the CIN 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.64

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 14 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chance Williams run for no gain to the M-OH 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Ty Wise for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 37

4th & 12Field Goal Good+55 yds

Nathan Hawks 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the M-OH 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the M-OH 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 13 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.09

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 43 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Miami Delay Of Game (Gabbert,Brett) 5 yards from UC16 to UC21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the CIN 16

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the CIN 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 yds

Dom Dzioban 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tyrin Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 37

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 50 yds , Cade McDonald returns for no gain to the M-OH 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 14

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the M-OH 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Alec Bevelhimer run for 16 yds to the M-OH 3 Alec Bevelhimer fumbled, recovered by CIN Marqavious Saboor

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Joe Royer 3 Yd pass from Brendan Sorsby (Nathan Hawks Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 1 yd to the M-OH 21

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.38

Brett Gabbert sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.70

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 35 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the CIN 40

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.60

Brett Gabbert sacked by Eric Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the CIN 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dylan Downing for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 48

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the CIN 24

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 9 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 10 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 6 yds to the M-OH 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chance Williams run for 3 yds to the M-OH 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the M-OH 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.39

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 13 yds to the M-OH 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 6 yds to the M-OH 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.04

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the M-OH 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 yds

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 11 yds pass complete to for 11 yds fumbled, recovered by CIN

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

run for 2 yds to the M-OH 18

0th & 10End of Half-2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.22

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 21 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Corey Kiner run for 16 yds to the M-OH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the M-OH 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 2 yds to the M-OH 25

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the M-OH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the M-OH 16

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(10:03) PENALTY Miami Offside (Hondru,Corban) 5 yards from Miami16 to Miami11. NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Victor Dawson run for no gain to the M-OH 11

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the M-OH 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 7 yds to the M-OH 1

1st & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 7 yds to the M-OH 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 10 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 2 yds to the M-OH 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.22

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the M-OH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds , Tyrin Smith returns for 2 yds to the CIN 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Brendan Sorsby sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 39

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 19

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.14

Brett Gabbert sacked by Eric Phillips for a loss of 3 yards to the M-OH 16

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Andre Johnson for 7 yds to the M-OH 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Dylan Downing for 3 yds to the M-OH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the M-OH 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.03

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 7 yds to the CIN 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 6 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the CIN 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 10 yds to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Cade McDonald 7 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds , Logan Wilson return for 20 yds to the CIN 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 20

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 18

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 20

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.02

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 51 yds to the CIN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 6 yds to the CIN 12

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.77

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.77

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 16

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 21

3rd & 1Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.58

Corey Kiner run for 40 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the M-OH 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the M-OH 36

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the M-OH 32

4th & 3Field Goal Good+50 yds

Nathan Hawks 50 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 56 yds , Kevin Davis return for 16 yds to the M-OH 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the M-OH 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Henry Hesson pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 6 yds to the M-OH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Henry Hesson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Henry Hesson run for 4 yds to the M-OH 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Henry Hesson pass complete to Kevin Davis for 11 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Henry Hesson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Henry Hesson run for 9 yds to the CIN 37

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Henry Hesson run for 9 yds to the CIN 37

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
53%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays