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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 4.4

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 61%

Market (Bovada)

Kansas State -7

Edge: Arizona +7 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArizonaArizona
70007
Kansas StateKansas State
7714331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-721-728-731-7
Kansas StateArizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARIKSARIARIKSARIKSKSARIKSARIKSARIKSARIKSARIKSTD1473ydTD1575ydTD36ydTO445ydMISS846ydPUNT918ydEND1168ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT34ydTD686ydPUNT626ydTD1183ydDOWNS838ydFG746ydDOWNS949ydPUNT43ydDOWNS520ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arizona and Kansas State
StatisticArizonaKansas State
Passing26-4214-23
Pass Yards268156
Rush Yards56237
Total Yards324393
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-147-13
Penalties9-743-20
Possession30:4129:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arizona
passing
Noah Fifita
26/42, 268 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Quali Conley
14 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tetairoa Mcmillan
11 REC, 138 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Avery Johnson
14/23, 156 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Avery Johnson
17 CAR, 110 YDS
receiving
Jayce Brown
3 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 65 yds , Jeremiah Patterson return for 27 yds to the ARIZ 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 10 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 9 yds to the ARIZ 46

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.92

Quali Conley run for 14 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for 6 yds to the KSU 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 5 yds to the KSU 31

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the KSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.65

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 16 yds to the KSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the KSU 7

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.52

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the KSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Quali Conley run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the KSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 6 yds to the KSU 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.71

Avery Johnson run for 19 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jadon Jackson for 8 yds to the ARIZ 37

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.93

DJ Giddens run for 18 yds to the ARIZ 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 5

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Swanson for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 65 yds , Jeremiah Patterson return for 17 yds to the ARIZ 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Quali Conley run for no gain to the ARIZ 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the ARIZ 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+71 yds

Tyler Loop punt for 48 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for 71 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 38 yds to the KSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:56) FIFITA, Noah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LUKE, Rayshon thrown to the KSU21; QB hurried by PURNELL, Desmond, clock 13:51. PENALTY ARI Holding on SAVAIINAEA, Jonah enforced 10 yards from the KSU37 to the KSU47 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the KSU 36

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the KSU 30

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -3.62

Noah Fifita pass intercepted Keenan Garber return for 24 yds to the KSU 24

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.14

Dylan Edwards run for 24 yds to the KSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the KSU 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Avery Johnson pass complete to Keagan Johnson for 16 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the ARIZ 29

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 34

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Avery Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 35

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 30

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Chris Tennant 48 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Quali Conley run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 38

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.31

Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arizona Penalty, False Start (Sam Olson) to the ARIZ 36

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

(06:11) FIFITA, Noah pass short up the middle complete for 4 yards to OLSON, Sam caught at the ARI39 and advanced to the ARI40 (RILEY, Jordan), clock 06:04. PENALTY Before the snap, ARI Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ARI36 to the ARI31. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the ARIZ 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.91

Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 12 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(04:20) CONLEY, Quali rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the KSU35 (RILEY, Jordan;OSUNSANMI, Tobi), clock 04:17. PENALTY ARI Holding on MOE JR., Wendell enforced 10 yards from the KSU46 to the ARI44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Penalty-10 yds

(04:00) FIFITA, Noah scrambles to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the ARI49, End of Play, clock 03:54. PENALTY ARI Holding on TAPA'ATOUTAI, Rhino enforced 10 yards from the ARI44 to the ARI34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 30Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Fifita pass complete to Devin Hyatt for 6 yds to the ARIZ 40

2nd & 24Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for 13 yds to the KSU 47

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the ARIZ 48

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Tyler Loop punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.06

Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 15 yds to the KSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Avery Johnson run for 2 yds to the KSU 35

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.84

DJ Giddens run for 11 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the ARIZ 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.09

Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 6 yds to the ARIZ 33

2nd & 4Penalty+14 yds

Arizona Penalty, Illegal use of the hands on MANU, Jacob enforced (Jacob Manu) to the ARIZ 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Avery Johnson sacked by Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei for a loss of 5 yards to the ARIZ 19

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 14

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd to the KSU 26

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Avery Johnson sacked by Taye Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the KSU 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+4 yds

Simon McClannan punt for 55 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 4 yds to the ARIZ 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 2 yds to the ARIZ 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Loop punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Avery Johnson run for 13 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dylan Edwards run for 3 yds to the KSU 30

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.93

Avery Johnson sacked by Owen Goss for a loss of 5 yards to the KSU 25

3rd & 12Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.44

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 48 yds to the ARIZ 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

Arizona Penalty, Face mask (8 yards) (Sterling Lane II) to the ARIZ 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 65 yds , Jeremiah Patterson return for 25 yds to the ARIZ 25

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Noah Fifita sacked by Brendan Mott for a loss of 5 yards to the ARIZ 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 9 yds to the ARIZ 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.92

Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 20 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the KSU 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Loop punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Offsides (Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei) to the KSU 22

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 25

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.11

Avery Johnson run for 17 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

DJ Giddens run for 3 yds to the KSU 45

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Avery Johnson run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Swanson for 3 yds to the ARIZ 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Avery Johnson pass complete to Dylan Edwards for 3 yds to the ARIZ 36

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

DJ Giddens run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 21 yds to the ARIZ 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

DJ Giddens run for 1 yd for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the ARIZ 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 4 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for a loss of 3 yards to the ARIZ 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.14

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 22 yds to the KSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the KSU 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the KSU 37

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Quali Conley run for no gain to the KSU 37

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.34

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Edwards run for 4 yds to the KSU 41

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Avery Johnson run for 8 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.22

Avery Johnson run for 26 yds to the ARIZ 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan Edwards run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 24

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

(08:45) JOHNSON, Avery pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Keagan thrown to the ARI7, clock 08:41. PENALTY KSU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WILLIS, Carver enforced 5 yards from the ARI24 to the ARI29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Avery Johnson run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 3 yds to the ARIZ 17

4th & 2Field Goal Good+35 yds

Chris Tennant 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Chris Tennant kickoff for 64 yds , Jeremiah Patterson return for 27 yds to the ARIZ 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Noah Fifita run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 10 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 7 yds to the KSU 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Noah Fifita pass complete to Kedrick Reescano for 6 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 16 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the KSU 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.54

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

DJ Giddens run for 21 yds to the KSU 44 Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Swanson) to the KSU 17

1st & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 23

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the KSU 27

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

DJ Giddens run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Simon McClannan punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 12 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Noah Fifita run for no gain to the ARIZ 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Noah Fifita pass complete to Kedrick Reescano for 8 yds to the ARIZ 47

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

(00:11) Kneel down by KSU at ARI49 (team loss of 2), clock 00:06.

Situational Analysis

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
21 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play