Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 1, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arizona by 29

Home Win Probability

Arizona 95%

Market (Bovada)

Arizona -28

Edge: Arizona -28 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
14107839
ArizonaArizona
1413211361

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-714-1417-1717-2427-2441-3148-3155-3155-3961-39
ArizonaNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMARINMARINMARINMARINMARINMARINMARINMARINMARINMARINMNMARINMARINMPUNT54ydTD398ydTD895ydTD460ydTD875ydPUNT621ydPUNT36ydFG42ydFG972ydTO415ydTD751ydTD378ydTO21ydFG832ydEND11ydTD360ydTO318ydTD140ydTD1060ydTD877ydTO30ydPUNT34ydTD1186ydTD1375ydTD448ydEND624yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Arizona
StatisticNew MexicoArizona
Passing24-4219-31
Pass Yards260422
Rush Yards211205
Total Yards471627
Turnovers22
3rd Down5-138-12
Penalties8-659-100
Possession34:5825:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Devon Dampier
24/42, 260 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Devon Dampier
15 CAR, 130 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Luke Wysong
8 REC, 129 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arizona
passing
Noah Fifita
19/31, 422 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacory Merritt
13 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tetairoa Mcmillan
10 REC, 304 YDS, 4 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the UNM 28

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Eli Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNM 25

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) to the UNM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the UNM 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 54 yds, downed at the ARIZ 2

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the ARIZ 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.09

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 18 yds to the ARIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 69 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Eli Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNM 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.40

Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 31 yds to the ARIZ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Devon Dampier run for 12 yds to the ARIZ 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 1 yd to the ARIZ 28

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Wallace Unamba) to the ARIZ 43

3rd & 20Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.84

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 31 yds to the ARIZ 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 11

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the ARIZ 16

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.09

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 16 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 8 yds to the ARIZ 33

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Personal Foul (Jayden Wilson) to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.31

Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 27 yds to the UNM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 8 yds to the UNM 17

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 17 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Javen Jacobs run for 2 yds to the UNM 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 12 yds to the UNM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 22 yds to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 13 yds to the ARIZ 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Devon Dampier run for 13 yds to the ARIZ 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 12

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 6

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Devon Dampier pass complete to Naquari Rogers for 6 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 22

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.08

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 24 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 47

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 48 yds , Javen Jacobs returns for 2 yds to the UNM 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the UNM 13

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Delay of Game (Yards) to the UNM 8

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 38 yds , Jack Luttrell returns for 8 yds to the UNM 38

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 2 yds to the UNM 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Jacory Croskey-Merritt

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillan

4th & 8Field Goal Good+54 yds

Tyler Loop 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Javen Jacobs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 15 yds to the UNM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.99

Javen Jacobs run for 32 yds to the ARIZ 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 8 yds to the ARIZ 20

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.21

Devon Dampier run for 14 yds to the ARIZ 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Naquari Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 4 yds to the ARIZ 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Luke Drzewiecki 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 5 yds to the ARIZ 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Noah Fifita pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the ARIZ 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 38

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.51

Noah Fifita pass intercepted Christian Ellis return for no gain to the UNM 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 5 yds to the ARIZ 46

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Devon Dampier run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Eli Sanders run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Shawn Miller

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 12 yds to the ARIZ 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Devon Dampier pass complete to Eli Sanders for 8 yds to the ARIZ 13

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Devon Dampier 13 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)

2nd & 2Penalty0 yds

Arizona Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the UNM 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +7.18

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 78 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 26

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.33

Devon Dampier pass intercepted Genesis Smith return for no gain to the UNM 45

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yards) to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Delay of Game (Yards) to the ARIZ 45

1st & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 7 yds to the UNM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 9 yds to the UNM 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the UNM 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 16 yds to the UNM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Quali Conley run for 2 yds to the UNM 21

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Quali Conley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNM 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Delay of Game (Yards) to the UNM 28

4th & 15Field Goal Good+46 yds

Tyler Loop 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the UNM 26

0th & 10End of Half+1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the ARIZ 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.40

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.81

Quali Conley run for 51 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the UNM 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.73

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 14 yds to the UNM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -2.53

Devon Dampier pass intercepted Treydan Stukes return for 12 yds to the UNM 40

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 40 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Devon Dampier pass complete to Nic Trujillo for 11 yds to the UNM 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Personal Foul (Jacob Manu) to the ARIZ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the UNM 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 10 yds to the ARIZ 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Eli Sanders run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Eli Sanders run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 15

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.29

Noah Fifita pass complete to Rayshon Luke for 26 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Rayshon Luke run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 48 Rayshon Luke fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Rayshon Luke

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the UNM 46

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.97

Noah Fifita run for 10 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the UNM 32

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the UNM 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.92

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 31 yds to the UNM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Quali Conley run for 1 yd for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chubba Ma'ae) to the UNM 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the UNM 25

4th & 10Punt+7 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 40 yds , Rex Haynes returns for 7 yds to the ARIZ 42 Rex Haynes fumbled, recovered by UNM Hyrum Hatch

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 41

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-10 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wallace Unamba) to the ARIZ 48

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 34 yds, downed at the ARIZ 14

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 16 yds to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for no gain to the ARIZ 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Noah Fifita pass complete to Malachi Riley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.76

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 19 yds to the UNM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the UNM 41

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the UNM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.69

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 4 yds to the UNM 28 Arizona Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UNM 38

1st & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.72

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 15 yds to the UNM 23

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillan

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.52

Quali Conley run for 23 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Eli Sanders run for no gain to the UNM 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Ryan Davis

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Isaiah Johnson) to the UNM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Devon Dampier pass complete to Javen Jacobs for 6 yds to the UNM 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 3 yds to the UNM 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Javen Jacobs run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.10

Devon Dampier run for 26 yds to the ARIZ 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Javen Jacobs run for 4 yds to the ARIZ 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.18

Devon Dampier pass complete to Luke Wysong for 9 yds to the ARIZ 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+5 yds

Arizona Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tacario Davis) to the ARIZ 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Eli Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 4

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

New Mexico Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the ARIZ 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Devon Dampier pass complete to Caleb Medford for 9 yds for a TD (Devon Dampier pass to Eli Sanders for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 9 yds to the UNM 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the UNM 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the UNM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Jacory Croskey-Merritt run for 36 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the UNM 26

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Naquari Rogers run for 11 yds to the UNM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Devon Dampier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Devon Dampier pass complete to Sol-Jay Maiava-Peters for 1 yd to the UNM 38

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the UNM 42

4th & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.82

Devon Dampier pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 7 yds to the UNM 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
36%
36 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
47%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
56%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play