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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 17.5

Home Win Probability

Arkansas-Pine Bluff 84%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Arkansas-Pine Bluff -11

Edge: Arkansas-Pine Bluff -11 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi Valley State
777021
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
7771435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-1421-2128-21
Arkansas-Pine BluffMississippi Valley State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ABMVSABMVSABABMVSABMVSABMVSABMVSABMVSABTD1373ydTD1371ydPUNT610ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydTD1066ydTD1475ydPUNT3-3ydTD975ydTD869ydMISS1259ydTD680ydDOWNS746ydTD482ydDOWNS834ydTD765yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi Valley State and Arkansas-Pine Bluff
StatisticMississippi Valley StateArkansas-Pine Bluff
Passing15-2115-19
Pass Yards159221
Rush Yards184201
Total Yards343422
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-119-12
Penalties6-588-59
Possession31:3528:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi Valley State
passing
Ty'Jarian Williams
15/21, 159 YDS
rushing
Ty'Jarian Williams
19 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nathan Rembert
8 REC, 69 YDS
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
passing
Mekhi Hagens
13/16, 204 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Mekhi Hagens
11 CAR, 78 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
JaVonnie Gibson
7 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 5 yds to the UAPB 32

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Mekhi Hagens run for 15 yds to the UAPB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kristian Gammage for 8 yds to the MVSU 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.48

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 46

3rd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.88

BJ Curry run for 17 yds to the MVSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Mekhi Hagens sacked by Deondri Clark Jr. and Donovan Parham for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 32

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

BJ Curry run for 1 yd to the MVSU 31

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.86

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to BJ Curry for 14 yds to the MVSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Mekhi Hagens run for 14 yds to the MVSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Za'Marion Webber run for 2 yds to the MVSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Curry,BJ rush middle (Franklin,Douglas).

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mekhi Hagens run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

BJ Curry run for 2 yds to the UAPB 27

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Braden Ducharme kickoff for 53 yds , Gregory Martin return for 17 yds to the MVSU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 5 yds to the MVSU 34

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.91

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 17 yds to the UAPB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 9 yds to the UAPB 40

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

DePhabian Fant run for 2 yds to the UAPB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

DePhabian Fant run for 2 yds to the UAPB 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 10 yds to the UAPB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 11 yds to the UAPB 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jakobe Thomas run for 7 yds to the UAPB 8

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Thomas,Jakobe rush right (Robbins,Tysan;Green,Ja'Marlin).

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 5 yds to the UAPB 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Williams,Ty'Jarian rush (Arnold,Khalil), PENALTY UAP off-side (Arnold,Khalil) 2 yards to the UAP05. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, off-side (Khalil Arnold) to the UAPB 1

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Williams,Ty'Jarian rush middle (Jones Jr,Marcus).

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jakobe Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK)

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.35

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kristian Gammage for 6 yds to the UAPB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 60 yds , Kristian Gammage return for 16 yds to the UAPB 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Curry,BJ rush middle (Reed,Donte;Arinzie,Emmanuel).

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

BJ Curry run for 6 yds to the UAPB 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Curry,BJ rush middle (Parham,Donovan;Campbell,Erek).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to Derrick White, broken up by Donovan Parham

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mekhi Hagens run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 31

4th & 12Punt+6 yds

Jeremy Baker punt for 40 yds , Nathan Rembert returns for 6 yds to the MVSU 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DePhabian Fant run for 5 yds to the MVSU 40

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

DePhabian Fant run for 1 yd to the MVSU 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert, broken up by Ja'Marlin Green

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Za'Marion Webber run for 1 yd to the UAPB 15

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.28

BJ Curry run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 13

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Mekhi Hagens run for 10 yds to the UAPB 23

4th & 1Punt+11 yds

Jeremy Baker punt for 11 yds , Jordan Montgomery returns for no gain to the UAPB 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

BJ Curry run for 3 yds to the UAPB 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

pass incomplete to Kevin English

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.39

DJ Stevenson run for 9 yds to the UAPB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Curry,BJ rush (Franklin,Douglas), PENALTY MSV substitution infraction 5 yards to the UAP41. Mississippi Valley State Penalty, substitution infraction (Jaxson Davis) to the MVSU 49

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

DJ Stevenson pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 3 yds to the MVSU 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

DJ Stevenson pass complete to Aramoni Rhone for 14 yds to the MVSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

BJ Curry run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 33

2nd & 11Sack+5 ydsPPA +0.05

DJ Stevenson sacked by Donovan Parham for 0 yards to the MVSU 33 Mississippi Valley State Penalty, off-side (Donte Reed) to the MVSU 28

2nd & 6Penalty+14 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (E'Javious Jackson) to the MVSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

DJ Stevenson run for 13 yds to the MVSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

DJ Stevenson run for 1 yd for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 9 yds to the MVSU 34

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 6 yds to the MVSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 17 yds to the UAPB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Fant,DePhabian rush right (Sterling,Quintin;Jones Jr,Marcus).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 6 yds to the UAPB 39

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.33

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 8 yds to the UAPB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the UAPB 29 for a 1ST down Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Mike Riley) to the UAPB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.00

Nathan Rembert run for a loss of 8 yards to the UAPB 22

2nd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jakobe Thomas for 5 yds to the UAPB 17

3rd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 7 yds to the UAPB 10

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Marko Jovisic 27 yd FG GOOD Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, off-side (5 Yards) to the UAPB 5

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Marko Jovisic) to the UAPB 5

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.17

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the UAPB 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 55 yds , Kareem Burke return for 26 yds to the UAPB 46 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UAPB 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to Donovan Giles

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.39

Mekhi Hagens sacked by Donte Reed for a loss of 8 yards to the UAPB 33

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, false start (JaVonnie Gibson) to the UAPB 28

3rd & 23Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to BJ Curry for 10 yds to the UAPB 38

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jeremy Baker punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 5 yds to the MVSU 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Fant,DePhabian rush middle (Hay,Rio;Sterling,Quintin).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 14 yds to the MVSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

DePhabian Fant run for 13 yds to the UAPB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the UAPB 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.25

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Tonorris Brookins II for 21 yds to the UAPB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Jakobe Thomas run for 11 yds to the UAPB 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jakobe Thomas run for 1 yd to the UAPB 8

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Braden Ducharme kickoff for 55 yds , Gregory Martin return for 15 yds to the MVSU 25

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

DePhabian Fant run for 8 yds for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, off-side (Kyle Knox) to the UAPB 1

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 49 yds , Daemon Dawkins return for 25 yds to the UAPB 40 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UAPB 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 1 yd to the UAPB 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to JaVonnie Gibson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.45

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 11 yds to the UAPB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Mekhi Hagens run for 2 yds to the UAPB 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

BJ Curry run for 2 yds to the UAPB 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.31

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 50 yds to the MVSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

BJ Curry run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Mekhi Hagens run for 5 yds for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kristian Gammage) to the MVSU 3

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.87

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 17 yds to the UAPB 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Braden Ducharme kickoff for 50 yds , Gregory Martin return for 15 yds to the MVSU 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 5 yds to the MVSU 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 5 yds to the MVSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Jaxson Davis

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.13

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 17 yds to the UAPB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the UAPB 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 5 yds to the UAPB 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

DePhabian Fant run for 3 yds to the UAPB 13

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

DePhabian Fant run for 4 yds to the UAPB 9

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ty'Jarian Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 11 Ty'Jarian Williams fumbled, recovered by MVSU Ty'Jarian Williams

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Marko Jovisic 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

BJ Curry run for 7 yds to the UAPB 27

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

BJ Curry run for 1 yd to the UAPB 28

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.99

BJ Curry run for 14 yds to the UAPB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Donovan Giles for 18 yds to the MVSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

BJ Curry run for 7 yds to the MVSU 33

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.74

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 33 yds for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Braden Ducharme kickoff for 57 yds , Gregory Martin return for 28 yds to the MVSU 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 38

2nd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.78

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 26 yds to the UAPB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Jakobe Thomas run for 12 yds to the UAPB 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jakobe Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 9 yds to the UAPB 17

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Ty'Jarian Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAPB 18

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.49

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Cameron Nelson, broken up by Jaylen White

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

BJ Curry run for 3 yds to the UAPB 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.95

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Johness Davis for 19 yds to the UAPB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.94

Mekhi Hagens run for 30 yds to the MVSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 30 yds for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Braden Ducharme kickoff for 51 yds , DePhabian Fant return for 17 yds to the MVSU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 8 yds to the MVSU 39

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.98

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Nathan Rembert for 14 yds to the UAPB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Nathan Rembert, broken up by Marcus Jones Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 14 yds to the UAPB 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Cameron Nelson

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAPB 36

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete to Jaxson Davis, broken up by Quintin Sterling

4th & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the UAPB 35

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

BJ Curry run for 16 yds to the MVSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mekhi Hagens run for 14 yds Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Offensive holding (JaVonnie Gibson) to the MVSU 45

1st & 6Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.04

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to JaVonnie Gibson for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Deeshari Keith) to the MVSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Za'Marion Webber run for 1 yd to the MVSU 29

2nd & 9Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.19

Za'Marion Webber run for 23 yds to the MVSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to JaVonnie Gibson for a 1ST down Mississippi Valley State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Charlie Williams Jr.) to the MVSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -5.79

Za'Marion Webber run for a loss of 1 yard to the MVSU 2 Za'Marion Webber fumbled, recovered by UAPB Mekhi Hagens Webber,ZaMarion rush middle for loss of 1 yard to the MSV03, fumble by Webber,ZaMarion recovered by UAP Hagens,Mekhi, Hagens,Mekhi rush (Mitchell,Bruce).

Situational Analysis

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
70%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
23 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th