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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee State by 10.3

Home Win Probability

Tennessee State 76%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tennessee State -20

Edge: Arkansas-Pine Bluff +20 (9.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
7714028
Tennessee State
10217341

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284217-724-1431-1438-21
Tennessee StateArkansas-Pine Bluff

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSABTSABTSABABTSTSABTSABTSABTSABTSABABABMISS1161ydPUNT4-7ydTD318ydTD775ydFG967ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydTD775ydTD845ydTD875ydMISS5-3ydPUNT33ydTD526ydDOWNS510ydTD772ydTD775ydPUNT4-1ydUncategorized00ydPUNT1013ydTD617yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Tennessee State
StatisticArkansas-Pine BluffTennessee State
Passing13-2518-28
Pass Yards233214
Rush Yards56149
Total Yards289363
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-127-11
Penalties11-917-69
Possession19:1721:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas-Pine Bluff
passing
Mekhi Hagens
13/25, 233 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
O.J. Ross
11 CAR, 37 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
JaVonnie Gibson
5 REC, 149 YDS, 1 TD
Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
18/28, 214 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
CJ Evans Jr.
5 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryant Williams
5 REC, 88 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 13 yds to the TNST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 21 yds to the UAPB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 11 yds to the UAPB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CJ Evans run for 5 yds to the UAPB 32

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

CJ Evans run for 1 yd to the UAPB 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 10 yds to the UAPB 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Bryant Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Gerard Bullock

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+38 yds

James Lowery 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Johness Davis run for 7 yds to the UAPB 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Johness Davis run for 2 yds to the UAPB 30

3rd & 1Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.99

Hagens,Mekhi rush , out-of-bounds, PENALTY UAP holding (Giles,Donovan) 10 yards to the UAP40. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Offensive holding (Donovan Giles) to the UAPB 23

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.29

Mekhi Hagens sacked by Chris Walker for a loss of 9 yards to the UAPB 14

4th & 17Punt+31 yds

Jeremy Baker punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAPB 18 , Dayron Johnson returns for 31 yds to the UAPB 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to CJ Evans, broken up by Marquese Allen-Patmon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.48

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 15 yds to the UAPB 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Jamal Browder for 11 yds to the UAPB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Donovan Giles

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Johness Davis for 5 yds to the UAPB 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.65

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kevin English for 14 yds to the TNST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to Jamal Browder

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Johness Davis for 12 yds to the TNST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 33 yds for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.18

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 51 yds to the UAPB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the UAPB 23

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the UAPB 19

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Draylen Ellis run for 7 yds to the UAPB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+4 yds

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, off-side (Tavon Hardwick) to the UAPB 3

1st & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAPB 7

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Gant run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAPB 8

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Bryant Williams

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

James Lowery 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to Aramoni Rhone

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Aramoni Rhone for 8 yds to the UAPB 42

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Ross,Oshawn rush middle.

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jeremy Baker punt for 40 yds

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jeremy Baker punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mekhi Hagens run for 5 yds to the UAPB 33

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to JaVonnie Gibson, broken up by Malik Ganaway

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Roshawn Lacy for a 1ST down Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Marquese Allen-Patmon) to the TNST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jaden McGill for 5 yds to the TNST 45

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Jaden McGill run for 9 yds to the UAPB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 4 yds to the UAPB 42

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Draylen Ellis run for 12 yds to the UAPB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jaden McGill for 8 yds to the UAPB 22

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 22 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jordan Gant run for 2 yds to the UAPB 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.23

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 11 yds to the UAPB 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Jordan Gant run for 10 yds to the UAPB 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Karate Brenson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Gant,Jordan rush middle (Arnold,Khalil).

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.04

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 10 yds to the UAPB 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 12 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Daemon Dawkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.49

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 33 yds to the TNST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.65

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 20 yds to the TNST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Johness Davis run for 7 yds to the TNST 15

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.99

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to Daemon Dawkins Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the TNST 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Kevin English

3rd & 8Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.67

Hagens,Mekhi rush (Trotter,Boogie;Villiers,Dion), PENALTY UAP holding 10 yards to the TSU10. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Offensive holding (Jaden Kelly) to the TNST 30

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +5.03

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Daemon Dawkins for 30 yds for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -2.69

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Bryant Williams, broken up by Zach Williams Tennessee State Penalty, personal foul (Connor Meadows) to the UAPB 35

1st & 25Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 4 yds to the UAPB 31

2nd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Evans run for 4 yds to the UAPB 27

3rd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Evans run for 4 yds to the UAPB 23

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+40 yds

James Lowery 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Oshawn Ross run for 5 yds to the UAPB 28

2nd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.87

Mekhi Hagens sacked by Sanders Ellis and Ahmad Nelson for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

pass incomplete to Aramoni Rhone

4th & 7Punt0 yds

punt for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Rouse run for 4 yds to the UAPB 22

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen Rouse run for 8 yds to the UAPB 14 Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Jonathan Goins) to the UAPB 7

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds to the UAPB 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 4 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Mekhi Hagens sacked by Keandre Booker for a loss of 4 yards to the UAPB 21

2nd & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.95

for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, personal foul (Eriq George) to the UAPB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Johness Davis

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Johness Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the UAPB 35

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Mekhi Hagens run for 8 yds to the UAPB 43

1st & 10Pass Reception-14 ydsPPA -1.49

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jaden McGill for no gain to the TNST 28 Tennessee State Penalty, personal foul (Gerard Bullock) to the TNST 14

2nd & 24Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaden McGill run for 7 yds to the TNST 21

3rd & 17Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.21

Jaden McGill run for 26 yds to the TNST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Dayron Johnson, broken up by Ja'Marlin Green

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaden McGill run for 5 yds to the UAPB 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.08

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jaden McGill for 10 yds to the UAPB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

CJ Evans run for 38 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Oshawn Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAPB 23

2nd & 12Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Oshawn Ross run for 18 yds to the UAPB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Oshawn Ross run for 4 yds to the UAPB 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to JaVonnie Gibson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.89

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 49 yds to the TNST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Oshawn Ross run for 1 yd to the TNST 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to Kevin English for 5 yds for a TD (Trey Glymph KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, false start (Jalal Dean) to the TNST 45

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 3 yds to the TNST 48

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Karate Brenson Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, off-side (Khalil Arnold) to the UAPB 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for no gain to the UAPB 47 Tennessee State Penalty, illegal touching (CJ Evans) to the UAPB 47

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, false start (Scotty Roddy) to the TNST 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, personal foul (Marquese Allen-Patmon) to the UAPB 25

2nd & 25Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Oshawn Ross run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAPB 21

3rd & 29Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.12

Mekhi Hagens pass complete to JaVonnie Gibson for 14 yds to the UAPB 35

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to Daemon Dawkins

4th & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.42

Oshawn Ross run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Oshawn Ross run for 1 yd to the TNST 49

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.00

Mekhi Hagens sacked by Keandre Booker for a loss of 6 yards to the UAPB 45

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Oshawn Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the TNST 40

2nd & 13Uncategorized-17 yds

fumbled, recovered by UAPB Tomorrio Bilberry Jr.

3rd & 30Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, delay of game (Mekhi Hagens) to the UAPB 38

3rd & 35Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

pass incomplete to Aramoni Rhone

4th & 35Punt+45 yds

Jeremy Baker punt for no gain , returns for no gain to the TNST 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Johness Davis run for 4 yds to the TNST 13

2nd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.57

Hagens,Mekhi rush (Ganaway,Malik), PENALTY UAP holding (Austin,Jamerious) 10 yards to the TSU03. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamerious Austin) to the TNST 23

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.94

Mekhi Hagens pass incomplete to JaVonnie Gibson for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Malik Ganaway) to the TNST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Johness Davis run for 7 yds to the TNST 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Mekhi Hagens run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 2

Situational Analysis

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th