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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Jackson State by 4

Home Win Probability

Alabama State 40%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Alabama State +7.5

Edge: Alabama State +7.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Jackson State
077216
Alabama State
307010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-73-1410-1410-16
Alabama StateJackson State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASJSASJSASJSASJSASJSASJSJSASJSASJSASJSASJSASJSASJSASJSPUNT616ydMISS816ydFG656ydPUNT3-4ydTO2-4ydTO30ydPUNT637ydPUNT39ydPUNT518ydTD547ydPUNT3-3ydEND1-8ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-3ydTD766ydPUNT3-1ydTO1-2ydTD146ydPUNT611ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT613ydTO1-3ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT817ydPUNT30ydSAF1-4ydEND631yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Jackson State and Alabama State
StatisticJackson StateAlabama State
Passing8-133-9
Pass Yards1204
Rush Yards74184
Total Yards194188
Turnovers22
3rd Down3-122-11
Penalties8-855-35
Possession30:2829:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Jackson State
passing
JaCobian Morgan
8/13, 120 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Irvin Mulligan
22 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Ja'Naylon Dupree
2 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Alabama State
passing
Kareem Keye
3/9, 4 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Daquon Kincey
13 CAR, 144 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Jones
1 REC, 10 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

AJ Gates Jr. run for 6 yds to the ALST 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

AJ Gates Jr. run for 1 yd to the ALST 29

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.27

AJ Gates Jr. run for 5 yds to the ALST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Marcus Harris II run for 1 yd to the ALST 35

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Marcus Harris II run for 2 yds to the ALST 37

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Kareem Keye run for 1 yd to the ALST 38

4th & 6Punt+36 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 43 yds , Travis Terrell Jr. returns for 36 yds to the ALST 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds to the ALST 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jacobian Morgan run for 7 yds to the ALST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Spencer run for 5 yds to the ALST 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Irv Mulligan run for 5 yds to the ALST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Jackson State Penalty, False Start (Cameron Smith) to the ALST 29

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Irv Mulligan run for no gain to the ALST 29

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

Jackson State Penalty, False Start (D'Andre Townes-Blue) to the ALST 34

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Travis Terrell Jr. for 5 yds to the ALST 29

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Gerardo Baeza 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.96

Daquon Kincey run for 41 yds to the JKST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Daquon Kincey run for 22 yds to the JKST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

AJ Gates Jr. run for 1 yd to the JKST 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Daquon Kincey run for 2 yds to the JKST 5

3rd & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.51

Kareem Keye sacked by Robert McDaniel for a loss of 10 yards to the JKST 15

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brandon Gilliam 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Irv Mulligan run for a loss of 1 yard to the JKST 30

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jacobian Morgan sacked by Amon Scarbrough for a loss of 3 yards to the JKST 27

4th & 14Punt+17 yds

Matt Noll punt for 45 yds , Robert McMinn returns for 17 yds to the JKST 44 Jackson State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tymon Wells) to the JKST 40

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.71

AJ Gates Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the JKST 44

2nd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.10

Kareem Keye pass intercepted AJ Gates Jr. return for no gain to the JKST 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds to the ALST 47

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Irv Mulligan run for a loss of 4 yards to the JKST 49

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Jackson State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Joanes Fortilien) to the ALST 25

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Daquon Kincey run for 23 yds to the ALST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

AJ Gates Jr. run for 6 yds to the JKST 46

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

AJ Gates Jr. run for 7 yds to the JKST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Marcus Harris II run for 2 yds to the JKST 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Daquon Kincey run for 2 yds to the JKST 35

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, False Start (Arelious Dunn) to the JKST 40

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jhabari Kuykendall run for 7 yds to the JKST 33

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kareem Keye) to the JKST 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds to the JKST 24

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacobian Morgan sacked by Kanye Varner for a loss of 1 yard to the JKST 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Isaiah Spencer for 6 yds to the JKST 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Matt Noll punt for 65 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

AJ Gates Jr. run for 3 yds to the ALST 9

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

AJ Gates Jr. run for 9 yds to the ALST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Daquon Kincey run for 4 yds to the ALST 22

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Daquon Kincey run for 2 yds to the ALST 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+23 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 46 yds , Travis Terrell Jr. returns for 23 yds to the ALST 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Irv Mulligan run for 3 yds to the ALST 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.43

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Ja'Naylon Dupree for 31 yds to the ALST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Jackson State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Quaveon Davis) declined

2nd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds to the ALST 24

3rd & 21Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.79

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 24 yds for a TD (Gerardo Baeza KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Gerardo Baeza kickoff for 41 yds , Ajai Harrell return for 11 yds to the ALST 35

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Kareem Keye pass complete to AJ Gates Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the ALST 31

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.38

AJ Gates Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 30 AJ Gates Jr. fumbled, recovered by ALST Cameron Smith C. Smith return for 0 yds

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jhabari Kuykendall run for 2 yds to the ALST 32

4th & 13Punt+32 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 39 yds , Travis Terrell Jr. returns for 32 yds to the ALST 39

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Jacobian Morgan sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the ALST 47 Jacobian Morgan fumbled, recovered by JKST Kirk Ford Jr. , return for 0 yards

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 35 yds , Richard Mays Jr. return for 8 yds to the JKST 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Irv Mulligan run for 5 yds to the JKST 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jacobian Morgan run for 1 yd to the JKST 44

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jacobian Morgan run for 2 yds to the JKST 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Noll punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Robert McMinn at the ALST 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Daquon Kincey run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 9

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Daquon Kincey run for 2 yds to the ALST 11

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Keye sacked by Phillip Webb for a loss of 4 yards to the ALST 7

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 49 yds, downed at the JKST 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Travis Terrell Jr. run for 11 yds to the JKST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds to the JKST 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacobian Morgan run for 3 yds to the ALST 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jacobian Morgan run for 2 yds to the ALST 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Irv Mulligan run for 2 yds to the ALST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.38

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Ja'Naylon Dupree for 44 yds for a TD (Gerardo Baeza KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Gerardo Baeza kickoff for 59 yds , AJ Gates Jr. return for 13 yds to the ALST 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jhabari Kuykendall run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 18

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 31 yds, downed at the ALST 49

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Jacobian Morgan sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the JKST 46 Jacobian Morgan fumbled, recovered by ALST DeMarkus Cunningham , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Daquon Kincey run for 46 yds for a TD (Brandon Gilliam KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 40 yds , Kobe Boykin return for 13 yds to the JKST 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds to the JKST 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Irv Mulligan run for 3 yds to the JKST 45

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Jacobian Morgan run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Jameel Gardner Jr. for 4 yds to the ALST 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Travis Terrell Jr. run for 3 yds to the ALST 43

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.40

Jacobian Morgan sacked by DeMarkus Cunningham for a loss of 8 yards to the JKST 49

4th & 11Blocked Punt0 yds

null punt blocked by Denzel Johnson blocked by Denzel Johnson

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, False Start (Desmond Daniels) to the ALST 15

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Daquon Kincey run for no gain to the ALST 15

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jhabari Kuykendall run for 1 yd to the ALST 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Irv Mulligan run for 8 yds to the ALST 40

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Terrell Jr. run for 4 yds to the ALST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Travis Terrell Jr. run for 10 yds to the ALST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.11

Ja'Naylon Dupree run for a loss of 10 yards to the ALST 36

2nd & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Joanes Fortilien for 1 yd to the ALST 35

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jacobian Morgan pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Matt Noll punt for 35 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kareem Keye run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 15 Kareem Keye fumbled, recovered by JKST Esaias Guthrie E. Guthrie return for 0 yds for a 1ST down , return for no gain to the ALST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacobian Morgan pass complete to Errick Simmons for 5 yds to the ALST 27

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Irv Mulligan run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 30

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.74

Jacobian Morgan sacked by DeMarkus Cunningham and Treqwan Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the ALST 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matt Noll punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Robert McMinn at the ALST 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Daquon Kincey run for 1 yd to the ALST 8

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Kareem Keye run for 10 yds to the ALST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

AJ Gates Jr. run for 2 yds to the ALST 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jalen Jones for 10 yds to the ALST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kareem Keye run for 1 yd to the ALST 31

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Daquon Kincey run for no gain to the ALST 31

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Illegal Snap on DUNN, Arelious enforced (-5 Yards) to the ALST 26

3rd & 14Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Kareem Keye pass complete to Ajai Harrell for a loss of 2 yards to the ALST 24

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 41 yds , Ja'Naylon Dupree returns for 5 yds to the JKST 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Irv Mulligan run for a loss of 1 yard to the JKST 39

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Jackson State Penalty, False Start (Xavion Davis) to the JKST 34

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Irv Mulligan run for 2 yds to the JKST 36

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jacobian Morgan run for 4 yds to the JKST 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

punt for 56 yds, downed at the ALST 4

1st & 10Safety-4 ydsPPA -2.06

Kareem Keye sacked by Ashton Taylor for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Amon Scarbrough) to the ALST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Irv Mulligan run for 4 yds to the ALST 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Irv Mulligan run for 5 yds to the ALST 31

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Emari Matthews run for 4 yds to the ALST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

[NHSG] Kneel down by MORGAN, Jacobian at ALST28 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

[NHSG] Kneel down by MORGAN, Jacobian at ALST29 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Jackson State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
30%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
4th