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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama State by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Grambling 31%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Grambling +3.5

Edge: Alabama State -3.5 (3.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Alabama State
3173023
Grambling
3701424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-610-610-1010-1710-2317-2624-23
GramblingAlabama State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASGRAASGRAASGRAASGRAASASGRAASGRAASASGRAGRAGRAASASGRAASGRAASGRAGRAPUNT4-1ydPUNT3-27ydPUNT3-4ydFG629ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT32ydFG1060ydTD1072ydTD860ydTD445ydPUNT38ydFG651ydPUNT36ydFG891ydPUNT3-2ydTD748ydPUNT834ydPUNT39ydPUNT518ydTO10ydTD543ydPUNT33ydPUNT616ydMISS769ydUncategorized2-1ydTO59yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama State and Grambling
StatisticAlabama StateGrambling
Passing16-286-12
Pass Yards28076
Rush Yards97171
Total Yards377247
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-144-13
Penalties5-457-62
Possession27:0832:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama State
passing
Kareem Keye
16/28, 280 YDS
rushing
Marcus II Harris
16 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Eric Horn
1 REC, 75 YDS
Grambling
passing
Deljay Bailey
6/12, 76 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Keilon Elder
17 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalen Johnson
2 REC, 27 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Reed Harradine kickoff for 62 yds , Devin Davis return for 12 yds to the ALST 15

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Kincey,Daquon rush (Jordan,Jamal), PENALTY ASU illegal shift (Jones,Jalen) 5 yards to the ASU20. Alabama State Penalty, illegal shift (Jalen Jones) to the ALST 10

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Daquon Kincey run for 4 yds to the ALST 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Eric Horn

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete to Eric Horn

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 23 yds , Jalen Johnson returns for no gain to the ALST 40

1st & 10Sack-29 ydsPPA -4.16

Deljay Bailey sacked by DeMarkus Cunningham for a loss of 29 yards to the GRAM 31

2nd & 39Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.05

Deljay Bailey sacked by Maurice Lapierre for a loss of 9 yards to the GRAM 22

3rd & 48Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.01

Deljay Bailey run for 11 yds to the GRAM 33

4th & 37Punt+20 yds

Johnny Schifano punt for 57 yds , Robert McMinn returns for 20 yds to the ALST 30

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.34

AJ Gates Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the ALST 25

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

AJ Gates Jr. run for 1 yd to the ALST 26

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

pass incomplete to AJ Gates Jr.

4th & 14Punt+8 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 44 yds , Javon Robinson returns for 8 yds to the GRAM 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tre Bradford run for 5 yds to the GRAM 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.91

Deljay Bailey pass complete to JR Waters for 23 yds to the ALST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Tylon Williams

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Tre Bradford run for 1 yd to the ALST 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Tylon Williams

4th & 9Field Goal Good+50 yds

Reed Harradine 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Reed Harradine kickoff for 61 yds , Robert McMinn return for 12 yds to the ALST 16

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Daquon Kincey run for a loss of 4 yards to the ALST 12

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

pass incomplete to Asa Gregg

3rd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Kareem Keye pass complete to AJ Gates Jr. for 2 yds to the ALST 14

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brandon Gilliam punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Dedrick Talbert run for 2 yds to the ALST 45

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Bailey,Deljay rush middle (Cunningham,Demarkus;Dozier,Rico).

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Dedrick Talbert

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Johnny Schifano punt for 33 yds

1st & 15Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.71

Marcus Harris II run for 26 yds to the ALST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, false start (Josh Daniel) to the ALST 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

AJ Gates Jr. run for 3 yds to the ALST 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Kareem Keye pass complete to Asa Gregg for 9 yds to the ALST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Marcus Harris II run for 6 yds to the GRAM 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Harris II,Marcus rush left (Jones,David).

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.28

Kareem Keye pass complete to AJ Gates Jr. for 18 yds to the GRAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Daquon Kincey run for a loss of 1 yard to the GRAM 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kareem Keye pass complete to Dylan Creech for 4 yds to the GRAM 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

pass incomplete to Ajai Harrell

4th & 7Field Goal Good+45 yds

Brandon Gilliam 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 55 yds , Keilon Elder return for 18 yds to the GRAM 28

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Keilon Elder run for 21 yds to the GRAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Keilon Elder run for 6 yds to the ALST 45

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Keilon Elder run for 8 yds to the ALST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Ke'travion Hargrove run for 8 yds to the ALST 29

2nd & 2Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.75

Hargrove,Ke'Travion rush (Young-Rolle,Stefon), PENALTY GSU holding (Williams,Kobe) 10 yards to the ASU19. Grambling Penalty, Offensive holding (Kobe Williams) to the ALST 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Deljay Bailey pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 8 yds to the ALST 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.82

Deljay Bailey run for 4 yds to the ALST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Deljay Bailey run for 3 yds to the ALST 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.47

Deljay Bailey pass incomplete to Julien Lewis for a 1ST down Alabama State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Caleb Offord) to the ALST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Keilon Elder 9 Yd Run (Reed Harradine Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Reed Harradine kickoff for 60 yds , Robert McMinn return for 35 yds to the ALST 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kareem Keye pass incomplete to Asa Gregg, broken up by Joel Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Kareem Keye pass complete to Asa Gregg for 16 yds to the GRAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

AJ Gates Jr. run for 2 yds to the GRAM 42

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

AJ Gates Jr. run for 7 yds to the GRAM 35

3rd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.90

Kareem Keye run for 11 yds to the GRAM 24 Grambling Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Caleb Lee-Collins) to the GRAM 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, false start (Josh Daniel) to the GRAM 17

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Harris II run for 1 yd to the GRAM 16

2nd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Marcus Harris II run for 12 yds to the GRAM 4

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Kareem Keye 4 Yd Run (Brandon Gilliam Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Harris II,Marcus rush middle (Jones,Andrew;Jordan,Jamal).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.96

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jhabari Kuykendall for 35 yds to the GRAM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Marcus Harris II run for 9 yds to the GRAM 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kareem Keye 1 Yd Run (Brandon Gilliam Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 60 yds , Keilon Elder return for 23 yds to the GRAM 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Ke'travion Hargrove run for 1 yd to the GRAM 29

2nd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Deljay Bailey sacked by Treqwan Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the GRAM 25

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Deljay Bailey pass complete to Ke'travion Hargrove for 11 yds to the GRAM 36

4th & 2Punt+19 yds

Johnny Schifano punt for 34 yds Grambling Penalty, kick catching interference (JR Waters) to the ALST 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

AJ Gates Jr. run for 4 yds to the ALST 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.89

Kareem Keye pass complete to Derick Harden for 33 yds to the GRAM 18 Grambling Penalty, personal foul (4 Yards) to the GRAM 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Marcus Harris II run for 2 yds to the GRAM 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kareem Keye pass complete to AJ Gates Jr. for no gain to the GRAM 12

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Kareem Keye pass complete to Asa Gregg for 8 yds to the GRAM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 56 yds , Keilon Elder return for no gain to the GRAM 35 Grambling Penalty, Offensive holding (Javon Robinson) to the GRAM 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dedrick Talbert run for 6 yds to the GRAM 11

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Talbert,Dedrick rush middle (Sims,Ta'Shaun).

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.17

Bailey,Deljay rush middle (Dozier,Rico;Jimpson,Zuriel).

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Johnny Schifano punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Marcus Harris II run for 3 yds to the ALST 4

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Marcus Harris II run for 5 yds to the ALST 9

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Kareem Keye pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 8 yds to the ALST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+75 ydsPPA +4.22

Kareem Keye pass complete to Eric Horn for 75 yds to the GRAM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Harris II,Marcus rush middle (Jones,Andrew).

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Harris II,Marcus rush left (Turner,Nick).

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kareem Keye pass incomplete to Jalen Jones, broken up by Ken Pierre-Charles

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Brandon Gilliam 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Kareem Keye pass complete to Ajai Harrell for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 37

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Daquon Kincey run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 36

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Eric Horn

4th & 12Punt+12 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 39 yds for a 1ST down , Tony Phillips returns for 12 yds to the ALST 48 for a 1ST down Alabama State Penalty, personal foul (Jimmie Haywood Jr.) to the ALST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Tre Bradford run for 1 yd to the ALST 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.55

Deljay Bailey pass complete to Marquis Harris for 12 yds to the ALST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.42

Tre Bradford run for 21 yds to the ALST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tre Bradford run for 4 yds to the ALST 10

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tre Bradford run for 4 yds to the ALST 6

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Bradford,Tre rush middle (Fletcher,Jakeem;Brown,Janil).

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.93

Tre Bradford 6 Yd Run (Reed Harradine Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Keilon Elder run for 2 yds to the GRAM 17

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Keilon Elder run for 12 yds to the GRAM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 50 yds , Keilon Elder return for no gain to the GRAM 15

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Grambling Penalty, false start (Geor'Terrius Spivey) to the GRAM 24

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Nicholas Howard

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Dedrick Talbert run for 8 yds to the GRAM 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.03

Deljay Bailey pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 19 yds to the ALST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Keilon Elder run for 1 yd to the ALST 48

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Keilon Elder run for 3 yds to the ALST 45

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.82

Deljay Bailey sacked by Kanye Varner and Rhoody Jean-Louis for a loss of 6 yards to the GRAM 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Johnny Schifano punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 55 yds , Keilon Elder return for 14 yds to the GRAM 49 Grambling Penalty, personal foul (Marcellius Johnson) to the GRAM 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Ke'travion Hargrove run for 1 yd to the GRAM 13

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ke'travion Hargrove run for 5 yds to the GRAM 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Deljay Bailey pass complete to Keilon Elder for 3 yds to the GRAM 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Johnny Schifano punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Reed Harradine kickoff for 63 yds , Robert McMinn return for 24 yds to the ALST 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

AJ Gates Jr. run for 8 yds to the ALST 34

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

AJ Gates Jr. run for 5 yds to the ALST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Marcus Harris II run for 1 yd to the ALST 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kareem Keye pass complete to Christian Pitts for 4 yds to the ALST 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Jalen Jones

4th & 5Punt+17 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 44 yds , Jalen Johnson returns for 17 yds to the GRAM 29

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-10 ydsPPA -3.39

Kareem Keye run for a loss of 10 yards to the ALST 43 Kareem Keye fumbled, recovered by GRAM Jamal Jordan

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keilon Elder run for 4 yds to the ALST 39

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Keilon Elder run for 7 yds to the ALST 32 for a 1ST down Alabama State Penalty, substitution infraction (Rico Dozier) to the ALST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keilon Elder run for 5 yds to the ALST 27

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.24

Keilon Elder run for 13 yds to the ALST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Dedrick Talbert 14 Yd Run (Reed Harradine Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marcus Harris II run for 2 yds to the ALST 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Harris II,Marcus rush middle (Cage,Bryce).

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Marcus Harris II run for 1 yd to the ALST 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dedrick Talbert run for 3 yds to the GRAM 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Keilon Elder run for 4 yds to the GRAM 41

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Keilon Elder run for 5 yds to the GRAM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Keilon Elder run for 6 yds to the ALST 48

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.46

Keilon Elder run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 49

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Keilon Elder run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Johnny Schifano punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kareem Keye pass incomplete to Asa Gregg, broken up by Caleb Lee-Collins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.53

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jalen Jones for 36 yds to the GRAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.83

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jalen Jones for 27 yds to the GRAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Derick Harden

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kareem Keye pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 6 yds to the GRAM 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Jalen Jones

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Brandon Gilliam 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Deljay Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the GRAM 19

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Deljay Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the GRAM 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dedrick Talbert run for 5 yds to the GRAM 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Nicholas Howard

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Dedrick Talbert run for 5 yds to the GRAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Dedrick Talbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the GRAM 38

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Deljay Bailey pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
64%
11 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th

Grambling

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play