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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama State by 29.5

Home Win Probability

Alabama State 95%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mississippi Valley State
1430017
Alabama State
1321101054

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-1413-1413-1720-1727-1741-1744-1754-17
Alabama StateMississippi Valley State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSASMVSMVSASMVSASMVSTD310ydDOWNS49ydTD444ydDOWNS1052ydPUNT38ydTD243ydPUNT3-8ydTD458ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydFG1032ydTD386ydPUNT33ydTD126ydPUNT30ydTD236ydEND429ydTD961ydTO30ydFG940ydDOWNS78ydFG518ydTD531ydPUNT34ydTO113ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT64ydEND313yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mississippi Valley State and Alabama State
StatisticMississippi Valley StateAlabama State
Passing13-2015-23
Pass Yards108335
Rush Yards50124
Total Yards158459
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-156-12
Penalties2-137-55
Possession32:4327:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mississippi Valley State
passing
Ty'Jarian Williams
13/20, 108 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jakobe Thomas
9 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Jaxson Davis
3 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
Alabama State
passing
Kareem Keye
14/21, 326 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jamarie Hostzclaw
8 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Robert McMinn
2 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+88 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 63 yds , DePhabian Fant return for 88 yds to the ALST 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jakobe Thomas run for 7 yds to the ALST 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the ALST 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Zach Sims pass complete to Eric Horn for 9 yds to the ALST 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Zach Sims pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Daquon Kincey run for no gain to the ALST 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Zach Sims run for no gain to the ALST 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Zach Sims run for no gain to the ALST 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the ALST 40

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Alabama State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jakeem Fletcher) to the ALST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALST 28

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.43

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 28 yds for a TD (Marko Jovisic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 53 yds , Eric Horn return for 21 yds to the ALST 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Daquon Kincey run for 6 yds to the ALST 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Kareem Keye pass complete to Asa Gregg for 6 yds to the ALST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jamarie Hostzclaw for 19 yds to the MVSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Kareem Keye run for no gain to the MVSU 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Daquon Kincey run for 2 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Kareem Keye run for 10 yds to the MVSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 8 yds to the MVSU 16

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Daquon Kincey run for 1 yd to the MVSU 15

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.87

Daquon Kincey run for no gain to the MVSU 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the MVSU 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Malik Antwine for 4 yds to the MVSU 23

4th & 2Punt+15 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 35 yds , Robert McMinn returns for 15 yds to the MVSU 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.72

Kareem Keye pass complete to Tacaris Bozeman for 22 yds to the MVSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Kareem Keye pass complete to Dylan Creech for 21 yds for a TD (Brandon Gilliam PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 59 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 20 yds to the MVSU 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 2 yards to the MVSU 24

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 4 yds to the MVSU 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -0.40

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for a loss of 10 yards to the MVSU 18

4th & 18Punt+42 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 42 yds , Robert McMinn returns for no gain to the ALST 42 , returns for no gain to the ALST 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jhabari Kuykendall for 9 yds to the MVSU 49

2nd & 1Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.69

Kareem Keye pass complete to Eric Horn for 33 yds to the MVSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+3 yds

QB Keeper KEYE, Kareem rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU19 (ARINZIE, Emmanuel). PENALTY MVSU Face mask on ARINZIE, Emmanuel enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the MVSU16 to the MVSU7 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tacaris Bozeman run for 7 yds to the MVSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Daquon Kincey run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Gilliam KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 64 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 21 yds to the MVSU 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the MVSU 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 41 yds , Robert McMinn returns for no gain to the ALST 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Daquon Kincey run for 1 yd to the ALST 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 41 yds , Kerrick Ross returns for 9 yds to the MVSU 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the MVSU 45

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.75

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 14 yds to the ALST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 6 yds to the ALST 35

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.30

Ty'Jarian Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALST 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

(10:20) DAVIS, Alexander punt 37 yards to the ALST0, Touchback, clock 10:13. PENALTY ALST Running Into the kicker on THOMAS, Treqwan enforced 5 yards from the ALST37 to the ALST32 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 3 yds to the ALST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

DePhabian Fant run for no gain to the ALST 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 6 yds to the ALST 23

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

DePhabian Fant run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 26

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Marko Jovisic 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 58 yds , Robert McMinn return for 20 yds to the ALST 45 Alabama State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dwight Jacobs Jr.) to the ALST 11

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 8 yds to the ALST 22

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 21

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALST 16

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +7.20

Kareem Keye pass complete to Robert McMinn for 84 yds for a TD (Brandon Gilliam KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 60 yds , DePhabian Fant return for 20 yds to the MVSU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to DePhabian Fant for 1 yd to the MVSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jakobe Thomas for 5 yds to the MVSU 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jakobe Thomas run for 2 yds to the MVSU 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Mississippi Valley State Penalty, False Start (Vito Moriana-Sigel) to the MVSU 28

4th & 7Blocked Punt-2 yds

punt blocked by Maurice Lapierre blocked by Maurice Lapierre (03:51) Punt by DAVIS, Alexander at the MVSU28 is blocked by LAPIERRE, Maurice, recovered by MVSU LANGLEY, Kyree at the MVSU26, returned 0 yards to the MVSU26, End of Play. , returns for no gain to the MVSU 26

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 26 yds for a TD (Brandon Gilliam KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 62 yds , DePhabian Fant return for 26 yds to the MVSU 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 1 yd to the MVSU 30

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.76

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Treqwan Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the MVSU 25

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 4 yds to the MVSU 29

4th & 10Punt+37 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 44 yds , Robert McMinn returns for 37 yds to the MVSU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.50

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jamarie Hostzclaw for 36 yds Alabama State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MVSU 38

1st & 12Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.30

Kareem Keye pass complete to Robert McMinn for 38 yds for a TD (Brandon Gilliam KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 62 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 16 yds to the MVSU 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jakobe Thomas run for 7 yds to the MVSU 26

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

DePhabian Fant run for 4 yds to the MVSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for 23 yds to the ALST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Treqwan Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the MVSU 48

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Marko Jovisic kickoff for 59 yds , Robert McMinn return for 33 yds to the ALST 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for a loss of 1 yard to the ALST 38

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Jhabari Kuykendall run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALST 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.35

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jamarie Hostzclaw for 17 yds to the MVSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Tacaris Bozeman run for 1 yd to the MVSU 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.81

Kareem Keye pass complete to Ajai Harrell for 26 yds to the MVSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.73

Kareem Keye pass complete to Nicholas Williams for 15 yds to the MVSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Daquon Kincey run for 1 yd to the MVSU 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for no gain to the MVSU 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Kareem Keye pass complete to Jimmie Haywood Jr. for 4 yds for a TD (Brandon Gilliam KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Brandon Gilliam kickoff for 62 yds , Kerrick Ross return for 22 yds to the MVSU 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DePhabian Fant run for no gain to the MVSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA +0.13

Ty'Jarian Williams pass intercepted James Burgess return for 1 yd to the MVSU 47

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Tacaris Bozeman run for 14 yds to the MVSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -3.18

run for a loss of 13 yards to the MVSU 46

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +4.09

Kareem Keye pass complete to Walter Smith for 24 yds to the MVSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Daquon Kincey run for 14 yds to the MVSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kareem Keye run for 1 yd to the MVSU 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Brandon Gilliam 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jakobe Thomas run for 9 yds to the MVSU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.28

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Kerrick Ross for no gain to the MVSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Ty'Jarian Williams run for 2 yds to the MVSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jakobe Thomas run for 5 yds to the MVSU 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kerrick Ross run for 3 yds to the MVSU 44

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.50

run for a loss of 5 yards to the MVSU 39

4th & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -0.04

run for a loss of 6 yards to the MVSU 33 Alexander Davis fumbled, recovered by MVSU Alexander Davis A. Davis return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for 14 yds to the MVSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Eric Horn run for 4 yds to the MVSU 15

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jamarie Hostzclaw run for no gain to the MVSU 15

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kareem Keye pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brandon Gilliam 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to DePhabian Fant for 7 yds to the MVSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.28

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Jaxson Davis for 28 yds to the ALST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

DePhabian Fant run for 2 yds to the ALST 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ty'Jarian Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.01

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Maurice Lapierre and DeMarkus Cunningham for a loss of 6 yards to the ALST 44

4th & 14Punt Return Touchdown+26 ydsPPA -7.37

Keane Lewis 26 Yd Punt Return (Brandon Gilliam Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

DePhabian Fant run for 1 yd to the MVSU 36

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Ty'Jarian Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the MVSU 33

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty'Jarian Williams pass complete to Tonorris Brookins II for 6 yds to the MVSU 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.61

Tacaris Bozeman run for 13 yds to the ALST 33 Tacaris Bozeman fumbled, recovered by MVSU Brandon Purifoy B. Purifoy return for 0 yds

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.97

Ty'Jarian Williams sacked by Dasheen Jackson and Elijah Elmore for a loss of 7 yards to the ALST 40

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jakobe Thomas run for 1 yd to the ALST 39

3rd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Jakobe Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALST 41

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Alexander Davis punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jhabari Kuykendall run for 5 yds to the ALST 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jhabari Kuykendall run for 1 yd to the ALST 26

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Gabe Spencer run for 4 yds to the ALST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Jhabari Kuykendall run for a loss of 3 yards to the ALST 27

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Alabama State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ALST 22

2nd & 18Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Gabe Spencer run for a loss of 2 yards to the ALST 20

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Harrison Tuck punt for 48 yds, downed at the MVSU 28

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Gabe Spencer run for 4 yds to the ALST 24

4th & 16Penalty0 yds

TUCK, Harrison punt 43 yards to the MVSU33, ROSS, Kerrick returned 17 yards to the MVSU50, out of bounds. PENALTY MVSU Personal Foul ALST Holding MVSU Face mask , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

DePhabian Fant run for 1 yd to the MVSU 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

DePhabian Fant run for 5 yds to the MVSU 34

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.80

Malik Montgomery run for 7 yds to the MVSU 41 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Mississippi Valley State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
60%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays