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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 28.3

Home Win Probability

Miami 95%

Market (Bovada)

Miami -23.5

Edge: Miami -23.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wake ForestWake Forest
770014
MiamiMiami
101002242

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-717-1420-1428-1442-14
MiamiWake Forest

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MIAWFMIAWFMIAWFMIAWFMIAWFMIAWFMIAWFMIAWFMIAMIAWFMIAWFTD1384ydTD775ydFG853ydTD1757ydTO838ydPUNT36ydFG1171ydPUNT35ydPUNT820ydPUNT34ydTO428ydPUNT7-10ydPUNT36ydDOWNS40ydPUNT515ydPUNT38ydTD543ydTD310ydDOWNS724ydTD485ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wake Forest and Miami
StatisticWake ForestMiami
Passing9-1727-38
Pass Yards99280
Rush Yards94228
Total Yards193508
Turnovers22
3rd Down4-147-12
Penalties3-157-65
Possession29:4030:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wake Forest
passing
Hank Bachmeier
8/14, 86 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Demond Claiborne
19 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Micah Mays Jr.
1 REC, 36 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami
passing
Cameron Ward
27/38, 280 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Lyle
7 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jacolby George
7 REC, 91 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Caleb Carlson kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Johnson Jr. return for 26 yds to the MIA 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the MIA 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 8 yds to the MIA 24

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 3 yds to the MIA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 12 yds to the MIA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 12 yds to the WAKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 11 yds to the WAKE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the WAKE 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WAKE 30

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.52

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the WAKE 18

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.47

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the WAKE 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the WAKE 13

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 13 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Wesley Bissainthe for a loss of 1 yard to the WAKE 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.51

Demond Claiborne run for 17 yds to the WAKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 9 yds to the MIA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 13 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Micah Mays Jr. for 36 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 13 yds to the MIA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 5 yds to the MIA 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.43

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 13 yds to the WAKE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +0.90

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 34 yds to the WAKE 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 3 yds to the WAKE 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cam Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-15 yds

(02:11) WARD, Cameron pass to the right complete for 7 yards to RESTREPO, Xavier caught at the WFU0 and advanced to the WFU0, TOUCHDOWN MIA, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:09 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on GEORGE, Jacolby enforced 15 yards to the WFU22 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cam Ward pass incomplete

4th & 22Field Goal Good+40 yds

Andres Borregales 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Demond Claiborne run for 4 yds to the WAKE 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the WAKE 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the WAKE 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 5 yds to the WAKE 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cameron Hite for 3 yds to the WAKE 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Demond Claiborne for 5 yds to the MIA 49

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.86

Demond Claiborne run for 5 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Demond Claiborne run for 1 yd to the MIA 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.22

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds to the MIA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Demond Claiborne run for 10 yds to the MIA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Demond Claiborne run for 6 yds to the MIA 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.04

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the MIA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Demond Claiborne run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 13

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIA 18

2nd & 16Interception Return Touchdown+76 ydsPPA -10.75

Hank Bachmeier pass intercepted Mishael Powell return for 76 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 65 yds , Demond Claiborne return for 100 yds for a TD (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordan Lyle run for 10 yds to the MIA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 8 yds to the WAKE 47

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Lyle run for 11 yds to the WAKE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 2 yds to the WAKE 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 7 yds to the WAKE 27

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.32

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the WAKE 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(03:57) WARD, Cameron pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to RESTREPO, Xavier caught at the WFU20 and advanced to the WFU20 (SLOCUM, Evan), out of bounds, clock 03:53. PENALTY Before the snap, MIA Illegal Formation on RESTREPO, Xavier enforced 5 yards from the WFU24 to the WFU29. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.54

Cam Ward pass intercepted Quincy Bryant return for no gain to the WAKE 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tate Carney run for 2 yds to the WAKE 28

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Hank Bachmeier run for 4 yds to the WAKE 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, downed at the MIA 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 13 yds to the MIA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:27) WARD, Cameron pass to the left complete for 3 yards to ARROYO, Elijah caught at the MIA32 and advanced to the MIA38 (DAVIS, Jasheen), clock 01:23. PENALTY MIA Holding on RESTREPO, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the MIA35 to the MIA25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Cam Ward pass complete to Sam Brown Jr. for 16 yds to the MIA 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 6 yds to the MIA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Miami Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MIA 42

1st & 15Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.57

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 31 yds to the WAKE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WAKE 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cam Ward pass complete to Damien Martinez for 5 yds to the WAKE 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 12 yds to the WAKE 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Cam Ward run for 1 yd to the WAKE 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Cam Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Ward pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Andres Borregales 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 43 yds , Harry Lodge return for 8 yds to the WAKE 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Hank Bachmeier run for 5 yds to the WAKE 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds, downed at the MIA 15

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for no gain to the MIA 15

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIA 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 10 yds to the MIA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 7 yds to the MIA 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 4 yds to the MIA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.42

Cam Ward sacked by Jasheen Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the MIA 35

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Ward pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+28 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 46 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 28 yds to the WAKE 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Demond Claiborne run for no gain to the WAKE 47

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the WAKE 49

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the MIA 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 44 yds, downed at the MIA 5

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.43

Damien Martinez run for 13 yds to the MIA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 4 yds to the MIA 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.52

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 15 yds to the MIA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.65

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for a loss of 4 yards to the MIA 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the MIA 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the MIA 30

4th & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.15

Hank Bachmeier run for 10 yds to the MIA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Demond Claiborne run for 2 yds to the MIA 18

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (DeVonte Gordon) to the MIA 23

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.20

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Mishael Powell for a loss of 8 yards to the MIA 31

3rd & 21Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.57

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Ahmad Moten Sr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MIA 38

4th & 28Penalty-5 yds

Wake Forest Penalty, False Start (DeVonte Gordon) to the MIA 43

4th & 33Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 39 yds, downed at the MIA 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the MIA 6

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the MIA 10

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Ward pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the MIA 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the MIA 41

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Tate Carney run for 1 yd to the MIA 40

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the MIA 37

4th & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.06

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Rueben Bain Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MIA 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 11 yds to the WAKE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Jordan Lyle run for 9 yds to the WAKE 36

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Miami Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WAKE 41

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Cam Ward pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 39 yds, downed at the WAKE 2

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Demond Claiborne run for 3 yds to the WAKE 5

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Tate Carney run for 3 yds to the WAKE 8

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Hank Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the WAKE 10

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 33 yds, downed at the WAKE 43

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +0.81

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 30 yds to the WAKE 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the WAKE 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WAKE 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Damien Martinez run for no gain to the WAKE 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Cam Ward run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Ward pass to Elijah Arroyo for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the WAKE 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Cam Ward pass complete to Jordan Lyle for 3 yds to the WAKE 18

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Jordan Lyle run for 18 yds for a TD Miami Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Lyle) to the WAKE 0 (Andres Borregales KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 19 yds , Jacob Cosby-Mosley return for no gain to the MIA 39

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Michael Kern sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 6 yards to the MIA 45

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Michael Kern run for 8 yds to the MIA 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.84

Michael Kern pass complete to Harry Lodge for 13 yds to the MIA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Kern pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Tate Carney run for 9 yds to the MIA 15

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Kern pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.87

Tate Carney run for no gain to the MIA 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 7 yds to the MIA 22

2nd & 3Rush+61 ydsPPA +3.59

Jordan Lyle run for 61 yds to the WAKE 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Lyle run for 2 yds to the WAKE 15

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.77

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 15 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ty Clark III run for 2 yds to the WAKE 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ty Clark III run for 6 yds to the WAKE 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ty Clark III run for 1 yd to the WAKE 34

Situational Analysis

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
19%
21 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
58%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th