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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 19.6

Home Win Probability

California 87%

Market (Bovada)

California -14.5

Edge: California -14.5 (5.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
1407021
CaliforniaCalifornia
0731424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-147-147-2110-2116-2124-21
CaliforniaStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALSTASTACALSTACALSTACALSTACALTD1275ydPUNT518ydTD854ydPUNT35ydPUNT520ydTD482ydPUNT8-11ydDOWNS711ydMISS818ydMISS933ydEND1-2ydPUNT30ydTD1152ydDOWNS42ydFG1254ydPUNT33ydTD1171ydPUNT630ydTD1198ydDOWNS4-5ydEND59yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and California
StatisticStanfordCalifornia
Passing15-2925-38
Pass Yards141299
Rush Yards12075
Total Yards261374
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-159-17
Penalties5-554-27
Possession33:0126:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Ashton Daniels
14/26, 139 YDS
rushing
Ashton Daniels
21 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Emmett Mosley V
6 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense
California
passing
Fernando Mendoza
25/36, 299 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Fernando Mendoza
11 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Trond Grizzell
4 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 3 yds to the STAN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 4 yds to the STAN 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.33

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 29 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Micah Ford run for 7 yds to the CAL 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.01

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 6 yds to the CAL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 7 yds to the CAL 19

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.16

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 5 yds to the CAL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the CAL 8

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.68

Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the CAL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty+2 yds

(09:36) Shotgun Ford,Micah rush right for 1 yard gain to the CAL03 (Harris,Marcus), out of bounds PENALTY CAL Offside (Carlton,Xavier) 2 yards from CAL04 to CAL02. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Lamson run for no gain to the CAL 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the CAL 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 64 yds , Nohl Williams return for 20 yds to the CAL 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 7 yds to the CAL 28

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.45

Jaydn Ott run for 6 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Nyziah Hunter

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Fernando Mendoza run for 6 yds to the CAL 39

4th & 5Punt+35 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 50 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 35 yds to the STAN 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Ashton Daniels run for 3 yds to the STAN 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.59

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 15 yds to the CAL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for no gain to the CAL 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 18 yds to the CAL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Micah Ford run for 5 yds to the CAL 13

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Micah Ford run for 11 yds to the CAL 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Lamson pass incomplete to Emmett Mosley V

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 57 yds , Nohl Williams return for 32 yds to the CAL 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Fernando Mendoza run for 4 yds to the CAL 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the CAL 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Mikey Matthews

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Ashton Daniels run for 9 yds to the STAN 29

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Micah Ford run for 4 yds to the STAN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Tiger Bachmeier

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic Ayomanor

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds to the STAN 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mikey Matthews at the CAL 18

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.84

Fernando Mendoza run for 50 yds to the STAN 32 for a 1ST down Stanford Penalty, Defensive Holding (Collin Wright) to the STAN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaivian Thomas run for 5 yds to the STAN 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 1 yd to the STAN 16

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.91

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 16 yds for a TD (Derek Morris KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chris Davis Jr. run for 6 yds to the STAN 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 3 yds to the STAN 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds to the STAN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.92

Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the STAN 38 Stanford Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sam Roush) to the STAN 28

1st & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the STAN 29

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Ashton Daniels sacked by David Reese for a loss of 4 yards to the STAN 25 Ashton Daniels fumbled, recovered by STAN Ashton Daniels , return for 0 yards

3rd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the STAN 29

4th & 17Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY STA Personal Foul (Pale,Simione) 15 yards from STA29 to STA14. NO PLAY.

4th & 32Punt+10 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAL 42 , Mikey Matthews returns for 10 yds to the CAL 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Corey Dyches for 3 yds to the CAL 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Corey Dyches

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Corey Dyches for 8 yds to the STAN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Zach Buckey for a loss of 4 yards to the CAL 49

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 13 yds to the STAN 38

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jaivian Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 39

4th & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.00

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Tristan Sinclair for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 47

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the CAL 46

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.21

Chris Davis Jr. run for no gain to the CAL 46

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the CAL 46

4th & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.85

Ashton Daniels run for 12 yds to the CAL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the CAL 34

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Ashton Daniels sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the CAL 38

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Micah Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 35

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Emmet Kenney 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 9 yds to the CAL 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 5 yds to the CAL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Trond Grizzell

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the STAN 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 15 yds to the STAN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Zach Buckey for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 32

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Jonathan Brady

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Mikey Matthews

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Ryan Coe 50 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

A. Daniels takes a knee

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 64 yds , Nohl Williams return for 18 yds to the CAL 19

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 1 yard to the CAL 18

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the CAL 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Trond Grizzell

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 13 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 9 yds to the CAL 30

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the CAL 30

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Justin Lamson run for 8 yds to the CAL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the CAL 19

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris Davis Jr. run for 3 yds to the CAL 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the CAL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the CAL 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryce Farrell run for no gain to the CAL 6

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the CAL 2

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Micah Ford pass complete to Emmett Mosley V for 2 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 63 yds , Nohl Williams return for 18 yds to the CAL 20 Nohl Williams fumbled, recovered by STAN Jayson Raines

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the CAL 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic Ayomanor

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Sam Roush

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.15

Connor Weselman pass incomplete to Sam Roush

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.63

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 21 yds to the CAL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 5 yds to the CAL 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the CAL 47

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Tobias Merriweather

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.38

Fernando Mendoza run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 5 yds to the STAN 45

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

California Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CAL 46

2nd & 14Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.16

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 30 yds to the STAN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Tobias Merriweather

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.32

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Zach Buckey for a loss of 9 yards to the STAN 33

3rd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 5 yds to the STAN 28

4th & 14Field Goal Good+46 yds

Ryan Coe 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Micah Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the STAN 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Emmett Mosley V

4th & 7Punt+8 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CAL 29 , Mikey Matthews returns for 8 yds to the CAL 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Tobias Merriweather

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.33

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 16 yds to the CAL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 9 yds to the STAN 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Nyziah Hunter

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.85

Jaivian Thomas run for 1 yd to the STAN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jaivian Thomas run for 7 yds to the STAN 38

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Mikey Matthews pass incomplete to Corey Dyches

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.01

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 4 yds to the STAN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaivian Thomas run for 3 yds to the STAN 31

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass complete short left to Endries,Jack caught at STA29, for 5 yards to the STA26 (Nicholson,Brandon; Sumlin,Jaylen'Dai) PENALTY CAL Holding (Morrow,Nick) 10 yards from STA31 to STA41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Corey Dyches for 11 yds to the STAN 30

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.71

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 30 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Elic Ayomanor

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the STAN 31 Ashton Daniels fumbled, recovered by STAN Ashton Daniels

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the CAL 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Micah Ford

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(07:45) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete deep right to Hunter,Nyziah thrown to CAL35 PENALTY STA Pass Interference (Nicholson,Brandon) 15 yards from CAL02 to CAL17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(07:39) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass incomplete short middle to Hunter,Nyziah thrown to CAL35 PENALTY STA Pass Interference offsetting CAL Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Trond Grizzell for 9 yds to the CAL 26

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 2 yards to the CAL 24

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.11

Fernando Mendoza run for 6 yds to the CAL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(06:11) Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass complete short right to Hunter,Nyziah caught at CAL34, for 4 yards to the CAL34, out of bounds at CAL34 PENALTY STA Illegal Substitution 5 yards from CAL30 to CAL35. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.62

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Tobin Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the CAL 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mikey Matthews for 10 yds to the CAL 38

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete to Tobias Merriweather

4th & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.25

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jack Endries for 5 yds to the CAL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.83

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Nyziah Hunter for 36 yds to the STAN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Fernando Mendoza sacked by Gaethan Bernadel for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 26

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 4 yds to the STAN 22

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.65

Jonathan Brady 22 Yd pass from Fernando Mendoza (Fernando Mendoza Pass to Jaydn Ott for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Ashton Daniels sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Tiger Bachmeier

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.36

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete to Tiger Bachmeier

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaydn Ott run for 6 yds to the STAN 14

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 15

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the STAN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

F. Mendoza takes a knee

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

F. Mendoza takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
14%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
24 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays