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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Florida State 40%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State +2.5

Edge: Florida State +2.5 (0.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
01414735
Florida StateFlorida State
308011

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-143-2111-2811-35
Florida StateNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSNCFSNCFSNCFSNCFSNCNCFSNCFSNCFSNCFSNCFSNCPUNT34ydPUNT36ydFG636ydDOWNS850ydPUNT410ydTD954ydPUNT730ydTD1693ydPUNT5-4ydMISS421ydTD675ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT36ydTD585ydTD775ydDOWNS924ydTD349ydTO2-2ydPUNT517ydTO336ydEND953yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and Florida State
StatisticNorth CarolinaFlorida State
Passing13-178-18
Pass Yards211159
Rush Yards28942
Total Yards500201
Turnovers02
3rd Down11-162-10
Penalties3-312-15
Possession39:4320:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Jacolby Criswell
13/17, 211 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Omarion Hampton
32 CAR, 172 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Omarion Hampton
3 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida State
passing
Brock Glenn
6/11, 123 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Lawrance Toafili
8 CAR, 24 YDS
receiving
Malik Benson
1 REC, 50 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Lucas Osada kickoff for 65 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 15 yds to the FSU 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 2 yds to the FSU 17

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacolby Criswell run for 2 yds to the UNC 29

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd to the UNC 30

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Tom Maginness punt for 48 yds , Lawayne McCoy returns for 4 yds to the FSU 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.34

Brock Glenn pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 33 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the UNC 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the UNC 38

4th & 9Field Goal Good+56 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 56 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+49 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald kickoff for 65 yds , Nate McCollum return for 49 yds to the UNC 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the FSU 44

3rd & 3Penalty-6 yds

(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun Criswell,Jacolby pass complete short right to Hampton,Omarion caught at FSU44, for 15 yards to the FSU29 (Little Jr.,Earl), out of bounds PENALTY UNC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Green,Trevyon) 6 yards from FSU44 to FSU50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.15

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 24 yds to the FSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 16 yds to the FSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the FSU 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacolby Criswell run for 4 yds to the FSU 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the FSU 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the FSU 4

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Glenn,Brock pass incomplete deep left to Benson,Malik thrown to FSU25 PENALTY UNC Pass Interference (Allen,Marcus) 15 yards from FSU04 to FSU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.85

Brock Glenn sacked by Beau Atkinson for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 12

2nd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Brock Glenn run for 10 yds to the FSU 22

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.31

Brock Glenn sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the FSU 11

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 51 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 8 yds to the UNC 46

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Criswell,Jacolby pass complete short left to Jones,J.J. caught at FSU41, for 13 yards to the FSU41, End Of Play PENALTY UNC Holding (Blaske,Austin) 10 yards from UNC46 to UNC36. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 6 yds to the UNC 42

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.17

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 38 yds to the FSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 22

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Davion Gause run for 2 yds to the FSU 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.41

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 14 yds to the FSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the FSU 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the FSU 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

(13:59) Criswell,Jacolby rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU01 (Lyons,Daniel) PENALTY FSU Offside. NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Omarion Hampton 1 Yd Run (Noah Burnette Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for no gain to the FSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Luke Kromenhoek run for 2 yds to the FSU 27

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Luke Kromenhoek run for 13 yds to the FSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Lawrance Toafili run for 12 yds to the UNC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Luke Kromenhoek sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the FSU 47

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Caziah Holmes run for 8 yds to the UNC 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 11

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Christian Hamilton for 10 yds to the UNC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the UNC 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to John Copenhaver for 2 yds to the UNC 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Davion Gause run for 4 yds to the UNC 39

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacolby Criswell run for 2 yds to the UNC 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Paul Billups II for 5 yds to the UNC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 17 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jacolby Criswell run for 1 yd to the FSU 38

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.33

Omarion Hampton run for 15 yds to the FSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the FSU 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.20

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Kobe Paysour for 18 yds to the FSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the FSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Lucas Osada kickoff for 65 yds , Samuel Singleton Jr. return for 20 yds to the FSU 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Kromenhoek run for 5 yds to the FSU 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Luke Kromenhoek run for 7 yds to the FSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.85

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Beau Atkinson for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 24

3rd & 18Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.10

Luke Kromenhoek sacked by Beau Atkinson for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 16

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Alijah Huzzie at the UNC 42

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.40

Jacolby Criswell sacked by Darrell Jackson Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the UNC 33

2nd & 19Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.34

Davion Gause run for 18 yds to the FSU 49

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Jacolby Criswell run for 12 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+54 yds

Noah Burnette 54 yd FG MISSED

0th & 0End of Half-63 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the UNC 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 30

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Jacolby Criswell run for 7 yds to the UNC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Davion Gause run for 18 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Jake Johnson for 14 yds to the FSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Omarion Hampton run for 31 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Kromenhoek pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Luke Kromenhoek sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the FSU 22

4th & 13Punt+12 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNC 40 , Alijah Huzzie returns for 12 yds to the UNC 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd to the UNC 41

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the UNC 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jacolby Criswell pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Maginness punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.65

Brock Glenn pass complete to Malik Benson for 50 yds to the UNC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Caziah Holmes run for 4 yds to the UNC 31

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Caziah Holmes run for 1 yd to the UNC 30

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the UNC 28

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +4.11

Brock Glenn pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 28 yds for a TD (L. McCoy Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.50

Omarion Hampton run for 43 yds to the FSU 32 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Azareye'h Thomas) to the FSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Omarion Hampton run for 5 yds to the FSU 12

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Omarion Hampton run for 7 yds to the FSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the FSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the FSU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Omarion Hampton run for no gain to the FSU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Omarion Hampton run for 1 yd for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Brock Glenn pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for a loss of 7 yards to the FSU 18

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Brock Glenn run for 7 yds to the FSU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Brock Glenn pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 12 yds to the FSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Caziah Holmes run for 6 yds to the FSU 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Brock Glenn pass complete to Lawayne McCoy for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Brock Glenn sacked by Amare Campbell for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brock Glenn pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNC 49

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Omarion Hampton run for 2 yds to the FSU 49

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +5.90

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Omarion Hampton for 49 yds for a TD (Noah Burnette KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 2 yds to the FSU 23

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.04

Luke Kromenhoek pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Omarion Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNC 33

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Omarion Hampton run for 6 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Omarion Hampton run for 3 yds to the UNC 42

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Davion Gause run for 1 yd to the UNC 43

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Davion Gause run for 3 yds to the UNC 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Maginness punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Lawayne McCoy at the FSU 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.65

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Luke Kromenhoek pass complete to Elijah Moore for 4 yds to the UNC 46

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -3.02

Luke Kromenhoek pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Davion Gause run for 4 yds to the UNC 19

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Davion Gause run for 1 yd to the UNC 20

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Darwin Barlow run for 13 yds to the UNC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Darwin Barlow run for 2 yds to the UNC 31

2nd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Darwin Barlow run for 12 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Davion Gause run for 3 yds to the UNC 46

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Conner Harrell run for 16 yds to the FSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Charleston French run for 3 yds to the FSU 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Charleston French run for 3 yds to the FSU 32

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
19 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play