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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 14.3

Home Win Probability

Miami 84%

Market (Bovada)

Miami -36.5

Edge: Ball State +36.5 (22.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
00000
MiamiMiami
1021102162

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256703-010-017-038-041-048-062-0
MiamiBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSMIABSMIABSMIABSMIABSMIABSMIABSMIAMIABSMIABSMIABSMIABSMIABSMIAPUNT513ydFG1171ydPUNT37ydTD560ydPUNT727ydPUNT622ydPUNT59ydTD782ydDOWNS628ydTD253ydTO20ydTD221ydPUNT626ydEND16ydTD671ydPUNT34ydFG1363ydPUNT615ydTD290ydPUNT3-4ydTD357ydPUNT3-4ydTD760ydPUNT39ydEND859yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Miami
StatisticBall StateMiami
Passing18-3230-40
Pass Yards109507
Rush Yards6243
Total Yards115750
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-127-11
Penalties3-158-85
Possession27:0132:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
16/26, 111 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Braedon Sloan
5 CAR, 13 YDS
receiving
Braedon Sloan
4 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Miami
passing
Cameron Ward
19/28, 346 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Ajay Allen
7 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jacolby George
6 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the BALL 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.48

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 20 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 1 yd to the BALL 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Kiael Kelly for 6 yds to the MIA 47

3rd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.30

Kadin Semonza sacked by Simeon Barrow Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 43

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

Ball State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BALL 38

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds, downed at the MIA 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 5 yds to the MIA 22

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the MIA 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 12 yds to the MIA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.74

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 19 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 3 yds to the BALL 45

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

(08:40) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Samuel thrown to the BSU1, clock 08:33. PENALTY BSU Offsides on HUGHES, Drew enforced 5 yards from the BSU45 to the BSU40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan Lyle run for 3 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.51

Cam Ward pass complete to Riley Williams for 24 yds to the BALL 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the BALL 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cam Ward pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Andres Borregales 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 65 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 16 yds to the BALL 16

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for no gain to the BALL 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kiael Kelly pass complete to Braedon Sloan for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 13

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 10 yds to the BALL 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Miami Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MIA 29

2nd & 21Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.59

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 25 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the BALL 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.25

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 22 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 21 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 18 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 45

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.23

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 7 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the MIA 46

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Kadin Semonza sacked by Elijah Alston for a loss of 2 yards to the MIA 48

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 41 yds, downed at the MIA 7

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 7 yds to the MIA 14

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 1 yd to the MIA 15

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.17

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 14 yds to the MIA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam Ward pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Ward pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Dylan Joyce punt for 46 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 25

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Miami Penalty, Offsides (Tyler Baron) to the BALL 30

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.32

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Braedon Sloan run for 8 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Kiael Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 37

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 3 yds to the BALL 40

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.77

Kadin Semonza sacked by Tyler Baron and Simeon Barrow Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 34

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 2 yds to the MIA 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.06

Cam Ward pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 20 yds to the MIA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(06:35) WARD, Cameron pass deep to the right complete for 60 yards to HORTON, Isaiah caught at the BSU38 and advanced to the BSU0, TOUCHDOWN MIA, score nullified by penalty, clock 06:26 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MIA Personal Foul on BELL, Markel enforced 15 yards from the MIA40 to the MIA25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.76

Cam Ward pass complete to Mark Fletcher Jr. for 16 yds to the MIA 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.46

Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 22 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Cam Ward pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 37 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the BALL 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for no gain to the BALL 31

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(03:22) SEMONZA, Kadin pass to the left incomplete intended for MAGWOOD, Qian thrown to the BSU44; QB hurried by BISSAINTHE, Wesley, clock 03:19. PENALTY MIA Roughing the Passer on BISSAINTHE, Wesley enforced 15 yards from the BSU31 to the BSU46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Christian Davis run for 2 yds to the BALL 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

(02:19) COOEY, Brian punt 52 yards to the MIA0, Touchback, clock 02:14. PENALTY MIA Offsides on BARON, Tyler enforced 5 yards from the BSU48 to the MIA47 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.46

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 32 yds to the BALL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Cam Ward pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 21 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted Elijah Alston return for 3 yds to the BALL 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Cam Ward pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 21 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 14 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds to the BALL 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 7 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.17

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Munson for a loss of 3 yards to the MIA 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jordan Lyle run for 6 yds to the MIA 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 62 yds , Chris Johnson Jr. return for 26 yds to the MIA 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cam Ward pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIA 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.22

Cam Ward pass complete to Samuel Brown for 11 yds to the MIA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 29 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Mark Fletcher Jr. run for 8 yds to the BALL 17

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Cam Ward pass complete to Jacolby George for 17 yds for a TD (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the BALL 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the BALL 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 3 yds to the BALL 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 39 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for no gain to the MIA 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Lyle run for 4 yds to the MIA 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Emory Williams pass complete to Cam McCormick for 9 yds to the MIA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jordan Lyle run for 9 yds to the MIA 45

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Emory Williams pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 11 yds Isaiah Horton fumbled, recovered by MIA Isaiah Horton I. Horton return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Chris Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Emory Williams pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the BALL 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Emory Williams pass complete to Samuel Brown for 4 yds to the BALL 35

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.65

Jordan Lyle run for 5 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Emory Williams pass complete to Chris Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the BALL 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Emory Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Emory Williams pass complete to Isaiah Horton for 3 yds to the BALL 14

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Andres Borregales 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Christian Abney for 11 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.62

Kadin Semonza sacked by Malik Bryant for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 40

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 56 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for no gain to the MIA 10

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.42

Ajay Allen run for 34 yds to the MIA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Ajay Allen run for 56 yds for a TD (Abram Murray KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Abram Murray kickoff for 57 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 19 yds to the BALL 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Christian Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 26

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Christian Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 23

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Aidan Leffler pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+12 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 46 yds , Ray Ray Joseph returns for 12 yds to the MIA 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Emory Williams pass complete to Joshisa Trader for 15 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ajay Allen run for 2 yds to the BALL 40

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.79

Emory Williams pass complete to Elija Lofton for 40 yds for a TD (Abram Murray KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Leffler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Aidan Leffler pass complete to Qian Magwood for 1 yd to the BALL 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Aidan Leffler pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Ball State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the BALL 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Jordan Lyle run for 8 yds to the MIA 48

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Lyle run for 1 yd to the MIA 49

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.40

Jordan Lyle run for 7 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Emory Williams pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph for 16 yds to the BALL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Jordan Lyle run for 10 yds to the BALL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Lyle run for 11 yds to the BALL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jordan Lyle run for 7 yds for a TD (Abram Murray KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Charlie Spegal run for 7 yds to the BALL 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Charlie Spegal run for 2 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charlie Spegal run for no gain to the BALL 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ray Ray Joseph at the MIA 22

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Miami Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ray Ray Joseph) to the MIA 14

1st & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Ajay Allen run for 1 yd to the MIA 15

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Emory Williams pass complete to Elija Lofton for 11 yds to the MIA 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.84

Emory Williams pass complete to Ray Ray Joseph for 36 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ajay Allen run for 4 yds to the BALL 34

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ajay Allen run for 5 yds to the BALL 29

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Chris Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the BALL 19

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
20 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
34 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play