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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Florida State 35%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State -7

Edge: Memphis +7 (10.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
3107020
Florida StateFlorida State
036312

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-103-103-209-2012-20
Florida StateMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSMEMFSMEMFSMEMFSMEMFSMEMFSMEMMEMMEMFSMEMFSMEMFSMEMFSTO20ydFG78ydDOWNS3-10ydPUNT36ydPUNT526ydPUNT718ydTO3-1ydTD865ydPUNT615ydDOWNS524ydFG815ydTO30ydEND927ydTD1275ydTD375ydTO950ydFG1671ydMISS938ydPUNT3-22ydPUNT34ydEND847yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Florida State
StatisticMemphisFlorida State
Passing25-3916-31
Pass Yards272201
Rush Yards6537
Total Yards337238
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-172-12
Penalties5-356-43
Possession36:2123:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
25/38, 272 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mario Anderson
14 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Anthony Landphere
5 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida State
passing
D.J. Uiagalelei
16/30, 201 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Lawrance Toafili
4 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Malik Benson
5 REC, 99 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the FSU 33

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -1.83

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 25 Roydell Williams fumbled, forced by An'Darius Coffey, recovered by MEM Chandler Martin

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the FSU 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Jamauri Chislom

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 16 yds to the FSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer Blankumsee

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 9

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.66

Seth Henigan sacked by Joshua Farmer for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 17

4th & 0Field Goal Good+35 yds

Caden Costa 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Davis, Kam rush for 3 yards to the FLORIDAST28, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Ferguson, TJ) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

DJ Uiagalelei run for no gain to the FSU 15

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.04

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jalen Brown for 2 yds to the FSU 17

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

Florida State Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the FSU 12

3rd & 23Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.04

Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds to the FSU 22

4th & 13Punt+22 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 53 yds , Koby Drake returns for 22 yds to the MEM 47

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Mario Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 7 yds to the FSU 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer Blankumsee

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 22

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 19

2nd & 13Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.64

Lawrance Toafili run for 24 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.37

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 7 yds to the FSU 49

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Kam Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc Taylor, broken up by Azareye'h Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 5 yds to the MEM 15

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Henigan, Seth pass incomplete to Landphere, Anthony (Cypress II, Fentrell), PENALTY FLORIDAST offside (Lolohea, Sione) 5 yards to the MEMPHIS20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mario Anderson run for 6 yds to the MEM 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.34

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 14 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Mario Anderson run for no gain to the MEM 40

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.32

Seth Henigan sacked by Patrick Payton for a loss of 8 yards to the MEM 32

3rd & 18Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MEM 28

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Lawayne McCoy at the FSU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 2 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.72

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Jalen Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 26

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.14

DJ Uiagalelei pass intercepted Tahj Ra-El return for no gain to the MEM 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the MEM 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 2 yds to the MEM 44

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.37

Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Anderson, Mario rush for 12 yards to the FLORIDAST39, PENALTY MEMPHIS illegal formation 5 yards to the MEMPHIS44, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.58

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 43 yds to the FSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.07

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 10 yds to the FSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the FSU 2

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 4 yards to the FSU 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Greg Desrosiers Jr. 6 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Caden Costa Kick)

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.18

DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Vic Alobwede for a loss of 8 yards to the FSU 17

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 7 yds to the FSU 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.51

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 17 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Malik Benson, broken up by Davion Ross

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 40

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds for a 1ST down , Koby Drake returns for no gain to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Personal Foul (Edwin Joseph) to the MEM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 16 yds to the MEM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the MEM 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the FSU 49

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Anthony Landphere for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Caziah Holmes run for 4 yds to the MEM 47

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DJ Uiagalelei run for 5 yds to the MEM 42

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Caziah Holmes

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.13

DJ Uiagalelei run for 6 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Kentron Poitier

4th & 10Field Goal Good+54 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 54 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Koby Drake, broken up by Fentrell Cypress II

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Koby Drake, broken up by Kevin Knowles II

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc Taylor

4th & 10Punt-5 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 42 yds , TEAM returns for a loss of 5 yards to the FSU 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MEM Colby Cox

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the FSU 19

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for no gain to the FSU 19

3rd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.58

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for no gain to the FSU 19

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the FSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Thomas, Brandon rush for 8 yards to the FLORIDAST8, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Hill, Xavier) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc Taylor

2nd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.95

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 13 yds to the FSU 13

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 12 yds to the FSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Demeer Blankumsee

2nd & 1Field Goal Good+19 yds

Caden Costa 19 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the MEM 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the MEM 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.60

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 31 yds to the FSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ja'Koby Banks pass incomplete to Seth Henigan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 14 yds to the FSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 9 yds to the FSU 16

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.48

Brandon Thomas run for 4 yds to the FSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Seth Henigan run for 7 yds to the FSU 5

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for no gain to the FSU 5 for a 1ST down Florida State Penalty, Roughing Passer (Conrad Hussey) to the FSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Brandon Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the FSU 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the FSU 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Anthony Landphere 2 Yd pass from Seth Henigan (Caden Costa Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+67 ydsPPA +3.76

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 67 yds to the MEM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the MEM 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Roydell Williams 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 21 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 7 yds to the FSU 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.19

Mario Anderson run for 4 yds to the FSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Seth Henigan sacked by Daniel Lyons for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 46

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Roc Taylor

3rd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.17

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 17 yds to the FSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, False Start (Chris Adams) to the FSU 34

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Ja'Koby Banks run for a loss of 2 yards to the FSU 36

2nd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 11 yds to the FSU 25

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.59

Seth Henigan pass intercepted Justin Cryer return for no gain to the FSU 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Kam Davis run for 7 yds to the FSU 29

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.22

Kam Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the FSU 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 10 yds to the FSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Malik Benson for 16 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 6 yds to the MEM 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.59

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Hykeem Williams for 14 yds to the MEM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kam Davis run for 4 yds to the MEM 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Darion Williamson for 10 yds to the MEM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kam Davis run for 6 yds to the MEM 8

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Hykeem Williams for no gain to the MEM 8

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the MEM 5

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.64

DJ Uiagalelei run for 3 yds to the MEM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Brian Courtney

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.51

DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Bryce Edmondson and Vic Alobwede for a loss of 3 yards to the MEM 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 25 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for 24 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Greg Desrosiers Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the MEM 44

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Seth Henigan pass incomplete to Brendan Doyle

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson for 7 yds to the FSU 49

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

Florida State Penalty, Defensive Offside (K.J. Kirkland) to the FSU 44

4th & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.37

Seth Henigan pass complete to Greg Desrosiers Jr. for 3 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Mario Anderson run for 6 yds to the FSU 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mario Anderson run for 3 yds to the FSU 32

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Thomas, Brandon rush for 7 yards to the FLORIDAST25, PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (Lewis, Keydrell) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST42, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, False Start (Keydrell Lewis) to the FSU 47

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Seth Henigan run for 10 yds to the FSU 37

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+55 yds

Caden Costa 55 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.05

DJ Uiagalelei sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 9 yards to the FSU 28

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Hykeem Williams, broken up by Kobee Minor

3rd & 19Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.13

DJ Uiagalelei sacked by William Whitlow Jr. and Matt Hudson for a loss of 13 yards to the FSU 15

4th & 32Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Seth Henigan run for 1 yd to the MEM 31

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Mario Anderson run for 1 yd to the MEM 32

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Mario Anderson run for 2 yds to the MEM 34

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 52 yds, downed at the FSU 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.52

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 28 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Malik Benson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Darion Williamson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Malik Benson, broken up by Greg Rubin

4th & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.86

DJ Uiagalelei pass complete to Kyle Morlock for 19 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

DJ Uiagalelei pass incomplete, broken up by Julian Barnett

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
48%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play