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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 14.3

Home Win Probability

Stanford 77%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Stanford -33.5

Edge: Cal Poly +33.5 (19.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Cal Poly
07007
StanfordStanford
77171041

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-721-724-731-738-741-7
StanfordCal Poly

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STACPSTACPSTACPSTACPSTACPCPCPSTACPSTACPSTACPSTACPTO513ydMISS814ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydTD878ydTD675ydDOWNS1364ydPUNT419ydTD673ydEND1-1ydTD518ydPUNT417ydFG946ydTO2-4ydTD521ydPUNT832ydTD785ydPUNT620ydFG860ydEND411yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cal Poly and Stanford
StatisticCal PolyStanford
Passing21-3026-30
Pass Yards204318
Rush Yards25119
Total Yards229437
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-94-10
Penalties6-464-30
Possession25:3734:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cal Poly
passing
Bo Kelly
17/25, 149 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Aiden Ramos
8 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Michael Briscoe
3 REC, 47 YDS
defense
Stanford
passing
Ashton Daniels
19/23, 221 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chris Davis Jr.
6 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Sedrick Irvin
2 REC, 92 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 9 yds to the STAN 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Justin Lamson run for 4 yds to the STAN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 10 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-10 ydsPPA -1.85

Micah Ford run for a loss of 10 yards to the STAN 38 Micah Ford fumbled, recovered by CP Ethan Calvert E. Calvert return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the STAN 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Bo Kelly pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 10 yds to the STAN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the STAN 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 9 yds to the STAN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(10:38) SANDERS, Kendric rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the STA10 (EDWARDS, Scotty), clock 10:32. PENALTY CPU Holding on BOURLAND, Ty enforced 10 yards from the STA15 to the STA25 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.92

Kendric Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the STAN 30

3rd & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Bo Kelly pass complete to Jake Woods for 6 yds to the STAN 24

4th & 19Blocked Field Goal+41 yds

Noah Serna 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the STAN 34

2nd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.80

Ashton Daniels sacked by Elijah Ponder for a loss of 8 yards to the STAN 26

3rd & 20Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STAN 21

3rd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.03

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 8 yds to the STAN 29

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Aidan Flintoft punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Aiden Ramos run for no gain to the CP 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Bo Kelly pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 5 yds to the CP 38

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 40 yds, downed at the STAN 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds to the STAN 29

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Ismael Cisse run for 11 yds to the STAN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Ashton Daniels run for 11 yds to the CP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.33

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sedrick Irvin for 41 yds to the CP 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CP 11

1st & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Justin Lamson run for 7 yds to the CP 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 17 yds to the CP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Evan Burkhart run for 5 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.77

Bo Kelly pass complete to Logan Booher for 5 yds to the STAN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bo Kelly pass complete to Kendric Sanders for 6 yds to the STAN 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.71

Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 20 yds to the STAN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Michael Briscoe pass complete to Jake Woods for 22 yds for a TD (Gianluca Dimauro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Gianluca Dimauro kickoff for 60 yds , Tiger Bachmeier return for 27 yds to the STAN 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the STAN 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 4 yds to the STAN 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ismael Cisse run for 1 yd to the STAN 40

4th & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.44

Tristan Sinclair run for 6 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Sedrick Irvin run for a loss of 1 yard to the STAN 45

2nd & 11Penalty+6 yds

(08:50) DANIELS, Ashton pass short up the middle incomplete intended for AYOMANOR, Elic thrown to the STA50, clock 08:47. PENALTY CPU Pass Interference on RIVERA, Mason enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the CPU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.04

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 23 yds to the CP 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Sedrick Irvin run for 2 yds to the CP 24

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Stanford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CP 29

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sedrick Irvin run for 4 yds to the CP 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.35

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 17 yds to the CP 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ashton Daniels run for 5 yds to the CP 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Lamson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 5

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Lamson run for 1 yd to the CP 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.55

Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 16 yds to the CP 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Otterstedt for 5 yds to the CP 24

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the CP 28

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

(01:48) COLLINS, Ryan punt 47 yards to the STA25, fair catch by BACHMEIER, Tiger, clock 01:43. PENALTY Before the snap, CPU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the CPU28 to the CPU23. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 52 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 2 yds to the STAN 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 7 yds to the STAN 34

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for 7 yds to the STAN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.67

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Elic Ayomanor for 27 yds to the CP 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 21 yds to the CP 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Justin Lamson run for 2 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 62 yds , Evan Burkhart return for 18 yds to the CP 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

(00:15) [NHSG] Kneel down by KELLY, Bo at CPU20 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 52 yds , Aiden Ramos return for 14 yds to the CP 27

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Aiden Ramos run for a loss of 3 yards to the CP 24

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.13

Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 15 yds to the CP 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the CP 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bo Kelly pass complete to Logan Booher for 5 yds to the CP 45

4th & 4Punt+90 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 45 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 90 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 60 yds , Evan Burkhart return for no gain to the CP 10 , return for 3 yds to the CP 10 , Aaron Morris return for no gain to the CP 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Bo Kelly pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 11 yds to the CP 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jaedon Matthews run for 6 yds to the CP 27

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Jaedon Matthews run for no gain to the CP 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 43 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for 10 yds to the STAN 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Micah Ford run for 3 yds to the STAN 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.01

Ashton Daniels run for 17 yds to the CP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the CP 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.22

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 19 yds to the CP 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Micah Ford for a loss of 4 yards to the CP 24

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Ashton Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

(06:24) DANIELS, Ashton pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CISSE, Ismael broken up by DUKES, Brian at the CPU0, clock 06:17. PENALTY CPU Offsides on FINAU, Soni enforced 5 yards from the CPU24 to the CPU19 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 5 yds to the CP 14

4th & 4Field Goal Good+32 yds

Emmet Kenney 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bo Kelly pass complete to Aiden Ramos for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 24

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return+13 ydsPPA -0.12

Bo Kelly pass intercepted Collin Wright return for 13 yds to the CP 21 Ryan Collins fumbled, recovered by STAN Collin Wright C. Wright return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris Davis Jr. run for 10 yds to the CP 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 13

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 6 yds to the CP 7

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 2 yds to the CP 5

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.01

Ashton Daniels pass complete to Sam Roush for 5 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 61 yds , Evan Burkhart return for 17 yds to the CP 21

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Bo Kelly pass complete to Kendric Sanders for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 20

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.18

Bo Kelly pass complete to Tyrece Fairly-Diyem for 17 yds to the CP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bo Kelly run for no gain to the CP 37

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Aiden Ramos run for 17 yds to the STAN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CP 49

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 4 yds to the STAN 47

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Bo Kelly pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Tiger Bachmeier at the STAN 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Elijah Brown pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 6 yds to the STAN 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Elijah Brown pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 1 yd to the STAN 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Elijah Brown pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 10 yds to the STAN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Sedrick Irvin run for 1 yd to the STAN 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +3.72

Elijah Brown pass complete to Sedrick Irvin for 51 yds to the CP 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sedrick Irvin run for 4 yds to the CP 12

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Elijah Brown pass complete to Ismael Cisse for 12 yds for a TD (Emmet Kenney KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaedon Matthews run for 5 yds to the CP 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaedon Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Jackson Akins pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 16 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyrece Fairly-Diyem run for 2 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jake Woods for 6 yds to the STAN 47

3rd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.30

Jackson Akins sacked by Jshawn Frausto-Ramos for a loss of 8 yards to the CP 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 40 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for no gain to the STAN 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the STAN 22

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, Targeting on PONDER, Elijah enforced (Elijah Ponder) to the STAN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Chris Davis Jr. run for 7 yds to the STAN 49

2nd & 3Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.27

Chris Davis Jr. run for 32 yds to the CP 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Davis Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the CP 22

2nd & 13Penalty-15 yds

(03:29) BROWN, Elijah pass to the right complete for 11 yards to REUBEN, Mudia caught at the CPU11 and advanced to the CPU11, out of bounds, clock 03:24. PENALTY STA Pass Interference on BLACKBURN, Benji enforced 15 yards to the CPU37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 28Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chris Davis Jr. run for no gain to the CP 37

3rd & 28Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Elijah Brown pass complete to Benjamin Blackburn for 12 yds to the CP 25

4th & 16Field Goal Good+43 yds

Emmet Kenney 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Emmet Kenney kickoff for 63 yds , Evan Burkhart return for 34 yds to the CP 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kendric Sanders run for 1 yd to the CP 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Jackson Akins pass complete to Ty Bourland for 11 yds to the CP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Kendric Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 47

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jackson Akins pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
71%
7 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays