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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 24.1

Home Win Probability

SMU 92%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Houston Christian
07007
SMUSMU
281471059

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425613-028-035-742-749-756-759-7
SMUHouston Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUHCHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUHCSMUPUNT33ydPUNT620ydTD484ydTO2-1ydTD759ydPUNT3-6ydTD655ydTD2-9ydPUNT37ydTD580ydTD450ydTO418ydPUNT30ydPUNT621ydTO24ydTD442ydPUNT830ydEND1-1ydPUNT620ydTD985ydDOWNS834ydTD1164ydPUNT35ydFG1669ydPUNT3-7ydEND26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston Christian and SMU
StatisticHouston ChristianSMU
Passing11-2716-23
Pass Yards123226
Rush Yards34369
Total Yards157595
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-129-14
Penalties5-356-45
Possession24:5635:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston Christian
passing
Cutter Stewart
10/25, 118 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Champ Dozier
7 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Ismael Fuller
2 REC, 38 YDS
defense
SMU
passing
Kevin Jennings
10/14, 148 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brashard Smith
9 CAR, 108 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jake Bailey
4 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SMU 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Preston Stone pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Isaac Pearson punt for 40 yds, downed at the HCU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 3 yds to the HCU 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 8 yds to the HCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Collin Sullivan for 12 yds to the HCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Champ Dozier run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 42

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 43 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for 1 yd to the SMU 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 5 yds to the SMU 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brashard Smith run for 4 yds to the SMU 25

3rd & 1Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.81

Brashard Smith run for 47 yds to the HCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Preston Stone pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 28 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 24

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cutter Stewart pass intercepted Ahmaad Moses return for no gain to the SMU 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper JENNINGS, Kevin rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the SMU46 (FUAVAI, Ruperake;SNOW, Cameron). PENALTY SMU Holding on WILLIAMS, PJ enforced 10 yards from the SMU41 to the SMU31 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SMU 35

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds to the SMU 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.54

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 22 yds to the HCU 37 for a 1ST down SMU Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Yards) to the HCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Kevin Jennings run for 16 yds to the HCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the HCU 16

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.62

Kevin Jennings run for 15 yds to the HCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brashard Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 65 yds , Champ Dozier return for 28 yds to the HCU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

CJ Rogers pass complete to Collin Sullivan for 5 yds to the HCU 33

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the HCU 28

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Darryle Evans run for 3 yds to the HCU 31

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Rogers sacked by Isaiah Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the HCU 27

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Houston Christian Penalty, Delay Of Game (Champ Dozier) to the HCU 22

4th & 16Punt+19 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 52 yds , Roderick Daniels Jr. returns for 19 yds to the SMU 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jordan Hudson for 6 yds to the HCU 49

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.54

Brashard Smith run for 6 yds to the HCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.72

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Jake Bailey for 22 yds to the HCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Kevin Jennings run for 11 yds to the HCU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Brashard Smith run for 8 yds to the HCU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Brashard Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the HCU 26

2nd & 9Fumble Return Touchdown+16 ydsPPA -7.33

Anthony Booker Jr. 16 Yd Fumble Return (LJ Johnson Jr. Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cutter Stewart run for 2 yds to the HCU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 5 yds to the HCU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 68 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.91

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 35 yds to the HCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Preston Stone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.92

Brashard Smith run for 30 yds to the HCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Brashard Smith run for 11 yds to the HCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty0 yds

STONE, Preston pass short to the right complete for 4 yards to BAILEY, Jake caught at the HCU0 and advanced to the HCU0, out of bounds. PENALTY SMU Illegal Touch-Pass on BAILEY, Jake enforced 0 yards from the HCU4 to the HCU4, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 4 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.84

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 37 yds to the SMU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Deuce McMillan for 10 yds for a TD (Dillon Fedor KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Dillon Fedor kickoff for 59 yds , Key'Shawn Smith return for 23 yds to the SMU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Preston Stone pass complete to RJ Maryland for 11 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Preston Stone run for 11 yds to the HCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the HCU 43

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-10 ydsPPA -3.57

LJ Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 10 yards to the SMU 47 fumbled, recovered by HCU Braden Hay B. Hay return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the SMU 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

JENNINGS, Kevin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Key'Shawn thrown to the SMU50. PENALTY HCU Offsides on LITTLES, Sincere enforced 5 yards from the SMU20 to the SMU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Romello Brinson for 11 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Brashard Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kevin Jennings pass complete to LJ Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the SMU 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Isaac Pearson punt for 14 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jesse Valenzuela run for 4 yds to the HCU 39

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return-5 ydsPPA -1.60

Cutter Stewart pass intercepted Kori Roberson Jr. return for a loss of 5 yards to the HCU 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the HCU 38

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the HCU 34

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.69

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the HCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

JENNINGS, Kevin pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Jordan broken up by HARGROVE, Devion at the HCU0. PENALTY SMU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on CLARK, Jakai enforced 5 yards from the HCU30 to the HCU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.42

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 35 yds for a TD (Collin Rogers KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Collin Rogers kickoff for 60 yds , Champ Dozier return for 20 yds to the HCU 25

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Jesse Valenzuela run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Jesse Valenzuela for 18 yds to the HCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Ismael Fuller for 1 yd to the HCU 41

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Jesse Valenzuela run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Champ Dozier run for 3 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Champ Dozier run for 2 yds to the SMU 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

[SG] Kneel down by SMU at SMU2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the HCU 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Calvin Hill run for 6 yds to the HCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Collin Sullivan for 11 yds to the HCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCU 45

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Zane Minors run for 4 yds to the SMU 19

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Preston Stone run for 8 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Preston Stone pass complete to Jake Bailey for 28 yds to the HCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Zane Minors run for 6 yds to the HCU 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Preston Stone pass complete to Roderick Daniels Jr. for 2 yds to the HCU 37

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the HCU 36

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Roderick Daniels Jr. run for 11 yds to the HCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Derrick McFall run for 8 yds to the HCU 17

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Derrick McFall run for 17 yds for a TD (Gabriel Lozano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Champ Dozier run for 1 yd to the HCU 31

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.57

Cutter Stewart pass complete to Champ Dozier for 13 yds to the HCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.23

Champ Dozier run for 17 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Champ Dozier run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 40

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cutter Stewart run for 4 yds to the SMU 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.65

Cutter Stewart pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Ashton Cozart for 24 yds to the HCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Derrick McFall run for 11 yds to the HCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Adam Moore for 4 yds to the HCU 25

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Derrick McFall run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Adam Moore for 8 yds to the HCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Derrick McFall run for 1 yd to the HCU 17

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Derrick McFall run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Kevin Jennings pass complete to Carter Campbell for 10 yds to the HCU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Derrick McFall run for 2 yds to the HCU 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Jennings pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Kevin Jennings run for 6 yds for a TD (Gabriel Lozano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Calvin Hill run for 6 yds to the HCU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Calvin Hill run for 2 yds to the HCU 33

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Roderick Daniels Jr. at the SMU 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Derrick McFall run for 6 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Derrick McFall run for 6 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the SMU 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the SMU 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Keldric Luster run for 3 yds to the SMU 46

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Derrick McFall run for 4 yds to the HCU 47

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Keldric Luster run for no gain to the HCU 47

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Keldric Luster run for 16 yds to the HCU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Keldric Luster run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCU 32

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Keldric Luster run for 2 yds to the HCU 30

3rd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Keldric Luster run for 17 yds to the HCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Derrick McFall run for 2 yds to the HCU 11

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Derrick McFall run for 3 yds to the HCU 8

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Derrick McFall run for 2 yds to the HCU 6

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 yds

Collin Rogers 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Eli Brickhandler sacked by Matt Baer for a loss of 4 yards to the HCU 21

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.23

Darryle Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCU 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Eli Brickhandler pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+8 yds

Reed Chandley punt for 63 yds , Jaxson Lavender returns for 8 yds to the SMU 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Zach Hernandez run for 3 yds to the SMU 30

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Zach Hernandez run for 3 yds to the SMU 33

Situational Analysis

Houston Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
56%
34 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
42%
12 plays
13%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays