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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 4.1

Home Win Probability

California 60%

Market (ESPN Bet)

California -20.5

Edge: UC Davis +20.5 (16.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UC Davis
670013
CaliforniaCalifornia
7710731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-67-13
CaliforniaUC Davis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALUDCALUDCALCALUDCALUDUDCALUDUDPUNT36ydMISS948ydTD871ydDOWNS1373ydTD14ydPUNT36ydPUNT614ydPUNT39ydTD966ydDOWNS1147ydPUNT36ydUncategorized1-1ydUncategorized214yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UC Davis and California
StatisticUC DavisCalifornia
Passing24-4818-28
Pass Yards221179
Rush Yards83102
Total Yards304281
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-132-13
Penalties3-135-48
Possession30:1629:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UC Davis
passing
Miles Hastings
24/48, 221 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Lan Larison
17 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
C.J. Hutton
7 REC, 68 YDS
defense
California
passing
Fernando Mendoza
15/22, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jadyn Ott
14 CAR, 49 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Nyziah Hunter
4 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Teddye Buchanan
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the CAL 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Fernando Mendoza pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaydn Ott

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the UCD 46

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Lan Larison run for 12 yds to the CAL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.59

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UCD False Start (Simonson,Eli) 5 yards from Cal25 to Cal30. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the CAL 29

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Hunter Ridley 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

(08:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Mendoza,Fernando pass complete short middle to Anderson,Mavin caught at UCD38, for 15 yards to the UCD38, End Of Play PENALTY Cal Holding (Ott,Jaydn) 10 yards from Cal47 to Cal37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.08

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Corey Dyches

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.17

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jaydn Ott for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the UCD 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Jonathan Brady for a 1ST down UC Davis Penalty, Personal Foul (Lamont Shamburger) to the UCD 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the UCD 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jaydn Ott 1 Yd Run (Ryan Coe Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams

2nd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.17

Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the CAL 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.73

Miles Hastings pass complete to Stacy Dobbins for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Miles Hastings pass complete to Stacy Dobbins

2nd & 6Penalty+4 yds

California Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (4 Yards) to the CAL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the CAL 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Lan Larison run for no gain to the CAL 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the CAL 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+6 ydsPPA -7.02

Porter Connors 6 Yd Fumble Return (Hunter Ridley PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the CAL 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Fernando Mendoza pass complete to Mavin Anderson

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the CAL 34

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Miles Hastings pass complete to Mitchell Dixon

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.72

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Matteo Perez run for 2 yds to the UCD 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Corey Dyches

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the CAL 33

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the CAL 35

4th & 1Punt+11 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 42 yds , Matteo Perez returns for 11 yds to the UCD 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Lan Larison run for 17 yds to the CAL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Miles Hastings run for 8 yds to the CAL 25

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA -0.17

Lan Larison run for 13 yds to the CAL 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the CAL 7

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.85

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Lan Larison 1 Yd Run (Hunter Ridley Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+80 yds

Nohl Williams 80 Yd Kickoff Return (Ryan Coe Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Matteo Perez run for 3 yds to the UCD 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matteo Perez run for 5 yds to the UCD 31

3rd & 2Penalty+14 yds

(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Hastings,Miles pass incomplete short left to Williams,Winston thrown to UCD45 broken up by Williams,Miles, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY Cal Pass Interference (Williams,Miles) 14 yards from UCD31 to UCD45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Matteo Perez run for 6 yds to the CAL 49

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Matteo Perez run for 2 yds to the CAL 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Miles Hastings pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.45

Miles Hastings pass complete to Stacy Dobbins for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.36

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the CAL 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 26

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

M. Hastings takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th