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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 23.9

Home Win Probability

Northern Iowa 9%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Northern Iowa +24.5

Edge: Northern Iowa +24.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
72014041
Northern Iowa
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-103-273-34
Northern IowaSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNININISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSNISDSPUNT35ydTO325ydTD654ydPUNT39ydPUNT35ydTO213ydFG929ydEND10ydTD985ydUncategorized2-3ydTD214ydPUNT36ydPUNT527ydFG857ydFG941ydTO3-1ydTD39ydPUNT3-1ydTD365ydPUNT1340ydMISS742ydDOWNS1450ydUncategorized1481yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and Northern Iowa
StatisticSouth Dakota StateNorthern Iowa
Passing19-2617-31
Pass Yards251180
Rush Yards13966
Total Yards390246
Turnovers04
3rd Down5-123-13
Penalties2-152-15
Possession30:4329:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
16/22, 223 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Kirby Vorhees
8 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Angel Johnson
2 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
Northern Iowa
passing
Aiden Dunne
8/15, 113 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Tye Edwards
12 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Sergio Morancy
6 REC, 73 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Mason run for 2 yds to the SDST 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Amar Johnson

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 45 yds , JC Roque Jr. returns for 2 yds to the UNI 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 14 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Tye Edwards run for 11 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.31

Tye Edwards run for 2 yds to the SDST 46 Tye Edwards fumbled, recovered by SDST Kobe Clayborne

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 15 yds to the UNI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 40

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Amar Johnson run for 9 yds to the UNI 31

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.74

Amar Johnson run for 14 yds to the UNI 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the UNI 16

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.84

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 16 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 65 yds , Sergio Morancy return for 20 yds to the UNI 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the UNI 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Aidan Dunne pass complete to JC Roque Jr. for 8 yds to the UNI 29

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 41 yds , Dalys Beanum returns for 9 yds to the SDST 39

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kevin Brenner for 5 yds to the SDST 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 2 yds to the SDST 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Tye Edwards run for 13 yds to the UNI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Aidan Dunne pass intercepted

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the UNI 5

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Griffin Wilde run for 6 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Johnson,Angel rush middle (Belken,Ben).

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the UNI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Griffin Wilde

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Angel Johnson run for 13 yds to the UNI 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the UNI 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Griffin Wilde

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Hunter Dustman 22 yd FG GOOD

No play data available
1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Hunter Dustman kickoff for 65 yds , Sergio Morancy return for 15 yds to the UNI 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Dunne run for 5 yds to the UNI 20

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Aidan Dunne run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.16

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 8 yds to the UNI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 5 yds to the UNI 32

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Pryor,Layne rush middle (Wells,Nick;Hawthorne,Bryce).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.36

Aidan Dunne pass complete to JC Roque Jr. for 26 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tye Edwards run for 4 yds to the SDST 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush middle (Mcgaughy,Daeton;Huerter,Colby).

4th & 6Punt+49 yds

punt for no gain , Noah Thompson returns for 49 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNI 22

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.34

Aidan Dunne sacked by Max Baloun for a loss of 8 yards to the UNI 14 Aidan Dunne fumbled, recovered by SDST Jarod DePriest , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Chase Mason run for 8 yds to the UNI 6

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.10

Chase Mason run for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tye Edwards run for 2 yds to the UNI 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tye Edwards run for 4 yds to the UNI 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Tye Edwards

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.26

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 22 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Gronowski,Mark rush left , out-of-bounds.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Vorhees,Kirby rush middle (Hewitt,Carter).

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 13 yds to the UNI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the UNI 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.27

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 16 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 24 yds to the SDST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tye Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDST 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Aidan Dunne pass complete to Layne Pryor for 4 yds to the SDST 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Tye Edwards

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Caden Palmer 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 45 yds , Kirby Vorhees return for 15 yds to the SDST 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 10 yds to the SDST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Greyton Gannon for 4 yds to the UNI 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 3 yds to the UNI 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 10 yds to the UNI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Mark Gronowski run for 8 yds to the UNI 19

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Griffin Wilde

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, delay of game (Hunter Dustman) to the UNI 24

3rd & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Hunter Dustman 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Aidan Dunne run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.17

Aidan Dunne pass intercepted

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the UNI 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for no gain to the UNI 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 7 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Matthew Schecklman run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNI 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Matthew Schecklman pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Matthew Durrance

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to JC Roque Jr. for 4 yds to the UNI 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.94

Johnson,Angel rush (Cabral-Martin,Jonathan), PENALTY SDS holding (Gannon,Greyton) 10 yards to the SDS45. South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive holding (Greyton Gannon) to the SDST 25

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Angel Johnson run for 9 yds to the SDST 32

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tye Edwards run for 11 yds to the UNI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the UNI 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 14 yds to the SDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush middle (Keumogne,Randy).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.72

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 10 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.90

Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush (Ollman,Joe), PENALTY UNI holding (Kamerling,Keean) 10 yards to the SDS29. Northern Iowa Penalty, Offensive holding (Keean Kamerling) to the SDST 49

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

2nd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Tye Edwards run for 9 yds to the SDST 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to JC Roque Jr. for 5 yds to the SDST 35

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.37

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 7 yds to the SDST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Matthew Schecklman run for 1 yd to the SDST 27

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Matthew Schecklman sacked by Jarod DePriest for a loss of 8 yards to the SDST 35

4th & 17Punt+30 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 35 yds Northern Iowa Penalty, illegal formation (Alonzo Morgan III) to the SDST 25

3rd & 26Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 1 yd to the UNI 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Angel Johnson for 10 yds to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.46

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 45 yds to the UNI 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -2.73

Chase Mason run for a loss of 16 yards to the UNI 34 Chase Mason fumbled, recovered by SDST Evan Beerntsen

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

pass incomplete to Kirby Vorhees

4th & 25Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Hunter Dustman 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tye Edwards run for 5 yds to the UNI 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 5 yds to the UNI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Matthew Schecklman sacked by Randy Keumogne and Aaron Wolfcale-Holsten for a loss of 4 yards to the UNI 39

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to JC Roque Jr. for 3 yds to the UNI 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.99

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 11 yds to the SDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 17 yds to the SDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 1 yd to the SDST 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 8 yds to the SDST 21

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.80

Tye Edwards run for 2 yds to the SDST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Matthew Schecklman pass incomplete to Derek Anderson, broken up by Cullen McShane

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Matthew Schecklman run for 2 yds to the SDST 17

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.22

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Chase Mason run for 7 yds to the SDST 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Chase Mason pass complete to David Alpers for 12 yds to the SDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Chase Mason pass complete to Brody Gormley for 7 yds to the SDST 43

2nd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.53

Kirby Vorhees run for 24 yds to the UNI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mason,Chase rush left (Morgan III,Alonzo).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Chase Mason pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 9 yds to the UNI 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Kirby Vorhees run for 3 yds to the UNI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Kirby Vorhees

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the UNI 19

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Kirby Vorhees run for 7 yds to the UNI 12

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Chase Mason run for 2 yds to the UNI 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the UNI 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the UNI 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kirby Vorhees run for 1 yd to the UNI 2

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play