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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 18.1

Home Win Probability

South Dakota State 84%

Market (ESPN Bet)

South Dakota State -25

Edge: Incarnate Word +25 (6.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Incarnate Word
377724
South Dakota State
017141445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-310-1024-1731-2438-2445-24
South Dakota StateIncarnate Word

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSIWSDSIWSDSIWIWSDSSDSIWIWSDSIWSDSIWSDSIWSDSIWSDSMISS1164ydFG961ydFG1267ydDOWNS759ydTD573ydTD1075ydDOWNS732ydTO527ydTD877ydEND10ydTD491ydTD1169ydPUNT38ydTD372ydTD975ydTD859ydTO330ydTD442ydDOWNS715ydEND931yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Incarnate Word and South Dakota State
StatisticIncarnate WordSouth Dakota State
Passing31-3921-32
Pass Yards351285
Rush Yards68230
Total Yards419515
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-1110-13
Penalties9-1006-71
Possession24:4335:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Incarnate Word
passing
Zach Calzada
31/39, 351 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Zach Calzada
7 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Jalen Walthall
7 REC, 137 YDS, 2 TD
South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
21/32, 285 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Amar Johnson
19 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Griffin Wilde
10 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 6 yds to the SDST 22

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Angel Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 28

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.09

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 20 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 10 yds to the UIW 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Chase Mason run for 16 yds to the UIW 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the UIW 20

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Hunter Dustman 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 18 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Zach Calzada pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 8 yds to the UIW 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Zach Calzada pass complete to Dekalon Taylor for 12 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

CALZADA, Zach pass to the right incomplete thrown to the SDS45. PENALTY SDS Holding on HUMPHREY, Colby enforced 10 yards from the SDS42 to the SDS32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Dekalon Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 33

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Dekalon Taylor run for 15 yds to the SDST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.81

Dekalon Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the SDST 23

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Calzada pass complete to Anthony Stell Jr. for 2 yds to the SDST 21

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 2 yds to the SDST 19

4th & 11Field Goal Good+37 yds

Brack Peacock 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Amar Johnson run for 13 yds to the SDST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark Gronowski run for 5 yds to the SDST 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 8 yds to the UIW 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Chase Mason run for 7 yds to the UIW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the UIW 35

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

GRONOWSKI, Mark scrambles to the right for no gain to the UIW35 (CARMOUCHE, D'Arius). PENALTY SDS Holding on MILLER, Gus UIW Holding on STONE, Kendrick , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, Targeting on CARMOUCHE, D'Arius enforced (D'Arius Carmouche) to the UIW 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 7 yds to the UIW 13

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the UIW 13

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Hunter Dustman 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.79

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 44 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Isaiah Robinson run for 10 yds to the SDST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 5 yds to the SDST 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.75

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+16 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Traveon Newsome) to the SDST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 2 yds to the SDST 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

GRONOWSKI, Mark pass deep to the left incomplete intended for GOERING, Grahm thrown to the UIW39. PENALTY UIW Holding on SANDERS, Darius enforced 10 yards from the SDS45 to the UIW45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Angel Johnson run for 4 yds to the UIW 41

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.64

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Greyton Gannon for 41 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Dekalon Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the UIW 23

2nd & 12Penalty+16 yds

TAYLOR, Dekalon rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UIW24 (CLAYBORNE, Kobe). PENALTY SDS Face mask on SPALDING, Graham enforced 16 yards from the UIW23 to the UIW39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Zach Calzada run for 8 yds to the UIW 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dekalon Taylor run for 5 yds to the SDST 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.11

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 24 yds to the SDST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dekalon Taylor run for 3 yds to the SDST 18

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

CALZADA, Zach pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for COMPTON, Logan thrown to the SDS1. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Dontay enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the SDS8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zach Calzada run for 3 yds to the SDST 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 5 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 3 yds to the UIW 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Zach Calzada pass complete to Dekalon Taylor for 10 yds to the UIW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

Zach Calzada pass complete to Mason Pierce for 10 yds to the SDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Zach Calzada pass complete to Dekalon Taylor for 6 yds to the SDST 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the SDST 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 2 yds to the SDST 38

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.25

Zach Calzada run for no gain to the SDST 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Greyton Gannon for 6 yds to the SDST 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.54

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 20 yds to the UIW 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Mark Gronowski run for 1 yd to the UIW 35

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.54

Mark Gronowski pass intercepted Mason Chambers return for no gain to the UIW 1

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.99

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 22 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Grahm Goering for 8 yds to the SDST 31

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Angel Johnson run for 12 yds to the SDST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.31

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 11 yds to the UIW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.58

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down Incarnate Word Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dune Smith) to the UIW 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Mason run for 1 yd to the UIW 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the UIW 1

0th & 10End of Half-64 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, Delay Of Game (Zach Calzada) to the UIW 5

1st & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the UIW 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 12 yds to the UIW 31 for a 1ST down

2nd & 14Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Calzada sacked by Zac Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 4

3rd & 15Penalty+15 yds

CALZADA, Zach pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Dekalon thrown to the UIW47. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on DURRANCE, Matthew enforced 15 yards to the UIW19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 69 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.89

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 49

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Grahm Goering run for 6 yds to the UIW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.74

Angel Johnson run for 18 yds to the UIW 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the UIW 21

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, Delay Of Game (Declan Williams) to the UIW 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the UIW 16

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the UIW 11

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Chase Mason for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 6 yds to the SDST 36

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 11 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Calzada pass complete to Lontrell Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the UIW 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 7 yds to the UIW 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Calzada pass complete to Lontrell Turner for 2 yds to the UIW 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Shamburger punt for 39 yds, downed at the SDST 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amar Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.70

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Brody Gormley for 61 yds to the UIW 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zach Calzada run for 9 yds to the UIW 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Dekalon Taylor run for no gain to the UIW 34

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Zach Calzada run for 10 yds to the UIW 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

CALZADA, Zach pass deep up the middle complete for 46 yards to WALTHALL, Jalen caught at the SDS10 and advanced to the SDS10 (ARRELL, Steven;JOHNSON, Dontay). PENALTY UIW Personal Foul on NEWSOME, Traveon enforced 15 yards from the UIW44 to the UIW29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 7 yds to the UIW 36

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 7 yds to the UIW 43

3rd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Zach Calzada run for 14 yds to the SDST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Dekalon Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 9 yds to the SDST 35

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.57

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 35 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Amar Johnson run for 11 yds to the UIW 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 5 yds to the UIW 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the UIW 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.29

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 8 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the UIW 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.83

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 12 yds to the UIW 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chase Mason run for 6 yds to the UIW 18

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

GRONOWSKI, Mark pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for GORMLEY, Brody thrown to the UIW0. PENALTY UIW Pass Interference on BATISTE, Patrick enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the UIW3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the UIW 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 10 yds to the UIW 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -1.22

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 20 yds Roy Alexander fumbled, recovered by SDST Matthew Durrance M. Durrance return for 7 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Amar Johnson run for 10 yds to the UIW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Amar Johnson run for 17 yds to the UIW 15 South Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brody Gormley) to the UIW 36

1st & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.88

Amar Johnson run for 11 yds to the UIW 25

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.50

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 25 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 4 yds to the UIW 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.09

Zach Calzada pass complete to Mason Pierce for 6 yds to the UIW 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Zach Calzada pass complete to Dekalon Taylor for 1 yd to the UIW 46

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, False Start (Jayden Borjas) to the UIW 41

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Zach Calzada pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Kirby Vorhees run for 11 yds to the UIW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brenden Begeman run for no gain to the UIW 39

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Brenden Begeman run for 7 yds to the UIW 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the UIW 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Kirby Vorhees run for 7 yds to the UIW 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the UIW 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Kirby Vorhees run for 3 yds to the UIW 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

[SG] Kneel down by GRONOWSKI, Mark at UIW18 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

[SG] Kneel down by GRONOWSKI, Mark at UIW19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
65%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th