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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Dakota State by 19.6

Home Win Probability

North Dakota 12%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota +17

Edge: South Dakota State -17 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South Dakota State
3287038
North Dakota
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-37-177-317-38
North DakotaSouth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSNDSDSMISS1157ydPUNT3-1ydTD162ydFG1061ydPUNT3-7ydTD350ydPUNT2-17ydTD452ydPUNT52ydTD359ydTO32ydTD727ydMISS1141ydPUNT39ydEND11ydPUNT612ydPUNT514ydTD673ydDOWNS650ydPUNT522ydPUNT525ydPUNT932ydPUNT421ydEND526yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Dakota State and North Dakota
StatisticSouth Dakota StateNorth Dakota
Passing11-2016-23
Pass Yards193124
Rush Yards264124
Total Yards457248
Turnovers02
3rd Down3-112-12
Penalties5-503-35
Possession33:2726:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Dakota State
passing
Mark Gronowski
11/19, 193 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Angel Johnson
13 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Griffin Wilde
5 REC, 140 YDS, 3 TD
North Dakota
passing
Simon Romfo
16/23, 124 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Smith
9 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
4 REC, 40 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 7 yds to the UND 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Simon Romfo pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 9 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the UND 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Simon Romfo pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Simon Romfo run for 2 yds to the SDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Simon Romfo run for 3 yds to the SDST 45

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on FRANCL, Caleb enforced (Caleb Francl) to the SDST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.40

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for no gain to the SDST 22

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the SDST 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+35 yds

C.J. Elrichs 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Amar Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDST 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 38

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Isaiah Smith run for 62 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mark Gronowski run for 3 yds to the SDST 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Amar Johnson run for 10 yds to the SDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the SDST 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.54

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 28 yds to the UND 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Amar Johnson run for 3 yds to the UND 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Angel Johnson run for 7 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the UND 16

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Amar Johnson for 2 yds to the UND 14

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Amar Johnson run for no gain to the UND 14

4th & 3Field Goal Good+32 yds

Hunter Dustman 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the UND 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Simon Romfo run for 1 yd to the UND 34

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

North Dakota Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on OLSON, Caleb enforced (-15 Yards) to the UND 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 32 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Amar Johnson run for 10 yds to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Mark Gronowski pass complete to David Alpers for 11 yds to the UND 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Angel Johnson run for 29 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Sawyer Seidl run for a loss of 5 yards to the UND 20

2nd & 15Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.24

Simon Romfo sacked by Caleb Francl for a loss of 9 yards to the UND 11

3rd & 24Penalty-5 yds

ZIEBARTH, Gaven rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UND13 (KIRSCHENMAN, Reis). PENALTY Before the snap, UND False Start on HUNT, Donavan enforced 5 yards from the end of the play at the UND13 to the UND8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Angel Johnson run for 16 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the UND 31

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Angel Johnson run for 6 yds to the UND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 25 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Simon Romfo pass complete to Jaden Norby for 8 yds to the UND 33

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

North Dakota Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Gaven Ziebarth) to the UND 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the UND 30

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 3 yards to the UND 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Amar Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 48

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.82

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Angel Johnson for 13 yds to the UND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 39 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the UND 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Simon Romfo run for 6 yds to the UND 31

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -0.39

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 4 yards to the UND 27 Simon Romfo fumbled, recovered by SDST Dawson Ripperda D. Ripperda return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Kirby Vorhees run for 11 yds to the UND 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Mark Gronowski run for 6 yds to the UND 10

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Amar Johnson run for 2 yds to the UND 8

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.93

Mark Gronowski run for 2 yds to the UND 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 9 yds to the UND 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 6 yds to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sawyer Seidl run for 5 yds to the UND 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the SDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Simon Romfo run for 7 yds to the SDST 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 5 yds to the SDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Simon Romfo run for no gain to the SDST 30

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.59

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDST 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 14Blocked Field Goal+51 yds

C.J. Elrichs 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Davin Stoffel for 9 yds to the UND 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Angel Johnson run for no gain to the UND 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

punt for 47 yds, downed at the UND 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd to the UND 2

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 1 yd to the SDST 27

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Amar Johnson run for 8 yds to the SDST 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Kirby Vorhees run for 1 yd to the SDST 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the UND 23

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.83

Isaiah Smith run for 15 yds to the UND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the UND 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.57

Simon Romfo sacked by Adam Bock for a loss of 3 yards to the UND 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 37 yds, downed at the SDST 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Angel Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDST 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Lofton O'Groske for 7 yds to the SDST 36

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Angel Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 48

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.35

Angel Johnson run for 5 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Griffin Wilde for 47 yds for a TD (Hunter Dustman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Gaven Ziebarth run for 13 yds to the UND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the UND 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Simon Romfo pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 2 yds to the SDST 49

4th & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.59

Simon Romfo pass intercepted Tucker Large return for no gain to the SDST 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Amar Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDST 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Mark Gronowski pass complete to Davin Stoffel for 11 yds to the SDST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Amar Johnson run for 1 yd to the SDST 42

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Amar Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Mark Gronowski pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 9 yds to the UND 17

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 11 yds to the UND 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the UND 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the UND 35

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 33

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 65 yds, downed at the SDST 2

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Angel Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDST 8

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Kirby Vorhees run for 6 yds to the SDST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDST 16

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Angel Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDST 23

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.72

Kirby Vorhees run for 4 yds to the SDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Kirby Vorhees run for 12 yds to the SDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the SDST 31

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (David Alpers) to the SDST 26

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jon Bell pass incomplete

3rd & 23Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Amar Johnson run for 8 yds to the SDST 34

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Dustman punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Simon Romfo pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 18 yds to the UND 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Simon Romfo sacked by Reis Kirschenman for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 32

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 3 yds to the UND 35

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Simon Romfo run for 1 yd to the UND 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 30 yds, downed at the SDST 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kirby Vorhees run for 2 yds to the SDST 36

2nd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.86

Kirby Vorhees run for 26 yds to the UND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Brenden Begeman run for 1 yd to the UND 37

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

South Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 42

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brenden Begeman run for 13 yds to the UND 29 South Dakota State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the UND 39

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

[NHSG] Kneel down by ERVIN, Elijah at UND40 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

South Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
83%
12 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play