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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Youngstown State 33%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Youngstown State +9.5

Edge: Youngstown State +9.5 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
North Dakota
71377640
Youngstown State
714103741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-1314-1314-2021-2028-2731-3441-34
Youngstown StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSNDYSNDYSNDYSNDNDNDYSNDYSNDYSNDYSNDYSNDTD1375ydTD775ydTO2-2ydTD1159ydTD1086ydTD1190ydTD872ydEND1-1ydPUNT614ydTD319ydTD975ydPUNT3-16ydFG48ydTD1365ydPUNT32ydPUNT632ydFG1065ydEND1-1ydTD525ydTD525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Youngstown State
StatisticNorth DakotaYoungstown State
Passing19-248-13
Pass Yards21272
Rush Yards144334
Total Yards356406
Turnovers02
3rd Down10-147-11
Penalties2-152-20
Possession32:2827:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Simon Romfo
19/24, 212 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Isaiah Smith
9 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Bo Belquist
10 REC, 105 YDS, 2 TD
Youngstown State
passing
Beau Brungard
8/12, 72 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Beau Brungard
18 CAR, 176 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Cyrus Traugh
3 REC, 27 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the YSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Beau Brungard pass complete to Luke Hensley for 14 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 4 yds to the YSU 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 11 yds to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the UND 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the UND 36

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.55

Beau Brungard run for 15 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the UND 18

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Beau Brungard pass complete to Luke Hensley for 7 yds to the UND 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the UND 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.84

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 7 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Gaven Ziebarth run for 10 yds to the UND 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 4 yds to the YSU 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Caden Dennis run for 3 yds to the YSU 43

3rd & 3Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.75

Isaiah Smith run for 22 yds to the YSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the YSU 16

1st & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.10

Simon Romfo pass complete to Haydn Stay for 11 yds to the YSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Tyshon King run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 34

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -0.50

Beau Brungard pass intercepted Avery Scott return for a loss of 4 yards to the UND 41

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Korey Tai run for a loss of 5 yards to the UND 36

2nd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 13 yds to the UND 49

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.58

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 7 yds to the YSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.30

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the YSU 46

3rd & 12Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.30

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 31 yds to the YSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 7 yds to the YSU 8

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the YSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the YSU 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Simon Romfo run for 2 yds to the YSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd for a TD (C.J. Elrichs PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.29

Tyshon King run for 30 yds to the YSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the YSU 46

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the YSU 48

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.44

Beau Brungard run for 11 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the UND 40

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the UND 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 9 yds to the UND 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Beau Brungard run for 12 yds to the UND 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Beau Brungard run for 5 yds to the UND 13

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Beau Brungard run for 13 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the UND 17

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 9 yds to the UND 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Sawyer Seidl run for 12 yds to the UND 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 10 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Sawyer Seidl run for 1 yd to the UND 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Simon Romfo run for 3 yds to the YSU 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.41

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 15 yds to the YSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Simon Romfo run for 1 yd to the YSU 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 18 yds to the YSU 19 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YSU 37

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Simon Romfo pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 19 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 12 yds to the YSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Beau Brungard run for 5 yds to the YSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Ethan Wright run for 11 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Beau Brungard run for 8 yds to the UND 36

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.06

Ethan Wright run for 8 yds to the UND 28 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.98

Beau Brungard run for 28 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

(00:01) [NH] Kneel down by ROMFO, Simon at UND35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the UND 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 4 yds to the UND 39

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the UND 44

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Sawyer Seidl run for 2 yds to the UND 46

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Simon Romfo sacked by Michael Voitus and Preston Zandier for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 45

4th & 7Punt+35 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 35 yds , Cyrus Traugh returns for a loss of 1 yard to the YSU 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Sawyer Seidl run for 2 yds to the YSU 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 11 yds to the YSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 6 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Ethan Wright run for 7 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Ethan Wright run for 19 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Ethan Wright run for 9 yds to the UND 35

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the UND 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Beau Brungard run for 3 yds to the UND 29

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.37

Beau Brungard run for 25 yds to the UND 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the UND 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the UND 29

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 3 yards to the UND 26

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(03:37) ROMFO, Simon pass to the right complete for 12 yards to DEMONTAGNAC, Nate caught at the UND36 and advanced to the UND38 (RUDOLPH, Jordan), clock 03:33. PENALTY UND Holding on KUNTZ, Jack enforced 10 yards from the UND26 to the UND16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.05

Simon Romfo sacked by Carston Marshall for a loss of 7 yards to the UND 9

4th & 26Punt+21 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 36 yds , Cyrus Traugh returns for 21 yds to the UND 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the UND 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyshon King run for 5 yds to the UND 15

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Beau Brungard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 16

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Andrew Lastovka 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.47

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 21 yds to the YSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the YSU 44

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Sawyer Seidl run for 3 yds to the YSU 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.99

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 4 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down Youngstown State Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Johnson) to the YSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Sawyer Seidl run for 2 yds to the YSU 20

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Simon Romfo run for 8 yds to the YSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 6 yds to the YSU 6

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the YSU 4

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the YSU 3

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.60

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd to the YSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the YSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the YSU 32

3rd & 3Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.77

Beau Brungard sacked by Josh Navratil for a loss of 5 yards to the YSU 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 56 yds, downed at the UND 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Gaven Ziebarth run for 8 yds to the UND 25

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.21

Isaiah Smith run for 18 yds to the UND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the YSU 49

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.48

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the YSU 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the YSU 22

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Beau Brungard pass complete to Richard Dandridge for 8 yds to the YSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the YSU 33

2nd & 8Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Beau Brungard run for 46 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyshon King run for 11 yds to the UND 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyshon King run for 2 yds to the UND 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Beau Brungard run for no gain to the UND 8

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.72

Beau Brungard sacked by Malachi McNeal for a loss of 9 yards to the UND 17

4th & 17Field Goal Good+35 yds

Andrew Lastovka 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

(00:07) [NH] Kneel down by ROMFO, Simon at UND31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Beau Brungard run for 15 yds to the UND 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the UND 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Beau Brungard run for 3 yds to the UND 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyshon King run for no gain to the UND 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Tyshon King run for 1 yd for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.64

Simon Romfo run for 24 yds to the YSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the YSU 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bo Belquist 1 Yd pass from Simon Romfo (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
36%
25 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play