Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 8.1

Home Win Probability

North Dakota 64%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota -27.5

Edge: San Diego +27.5 (19.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego
773724
North Dakota
3724741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-73-1410-1424-1731-1734-2441-24
North DakotaSan Diego

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDNDSDNDSDNDSDNDSDNDSDNDNDSDNDSDNDSDNDSDNDSDNDSDNDTO411ydFG522ydTD975ydPUNT3-1ydTD1288ydTD275ydPUNT3-10ydMISS1155ydPUNT36ydTO226ydPUNT35ydEND2-2ydTO414ydFG46ydTD169ydPUNT3-8ydTD343ydTO627ydTD768ydTO4-5ydFG43ydTD975ydTD1675ydDOWNS748ydEND23yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego and North Dakota
StatisticSan DiegoNorth Dakota
Passing21-405-13
Pass Yards243159
Rush Yards61267
Total Yards304426
Turnovers32
3rd Down5-146-12
Penalties11-978-77
Possession29:0031:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego
passing
Grant Sergent
21/40, 243 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Isaiah Smith
11 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
11 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
North Dakota
passing
Simon Romfo
5/13, 159 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Sawyer Seidl
13 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bo Belquist
3 REC, 116 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Luke Silvernale kickoff for 62 yds , Yosei Takahashi return for 27 yds to the USD 30

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Isaiah Smith run for 12 yds to the USD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the USD 46

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USD 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+27 ydsPPA -0.34

Grant Sergent pass intercepted Tyler Erkman return for 27 yds to the USD 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

ROMFO, Simon pass to the right incomplete intended for DENNIS, Caden thrown to the USD12. PENALTY USD Pass Interference on MURRAY, Nick enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the USD12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the USD 12

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the USD 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 yds

C.J. Elrichs 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 3 yds to the USD 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the USD 33

3rd & 2Penalty+10 yds

SERGENT, Grant pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for REED, Ja'seem thrown to the UND42. PENALTY UND Holding on BLUIETT, Antonio enforced 10 yards from the USD33 to the USD43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.01

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 10 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the UND 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 6 yds to the UND 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 9 yds to the UND 28 for a 1ST down North Dakota Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Yards) to the UND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 14 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

0th & 0Penalty+28 yds

LEHMAN, Aidan kickoff 60 yards from the USD35 to the UND5, SEIDL, Sawyer returned 28 yards to the UND33 (LEHMAN, Aidan), clock 07:16. PENALTY USD Offsides on LOCH, David UND Face mask on SEIDL, Sawyer , Offsetting penalties. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 5 yds to the UND 45

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 40

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Simon Romfo sacked by Malachi Cooper for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 39

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Isaiah Smith run for no gain to the UND 45

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 60 yds , Sawyer Seidl return for no gain to the USD 35 San Diego Penalty, Defensive Holding (-15 Yards) to the USD 45

4th & 11Punt+2 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 51 yds , Eric Haney returns for 2 yds to the USD 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Grant Sergent pass complete to Peyton Smith for 3 yds to the USD 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 2 yds to the USD 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 7 yds to the USD 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kenyon Sims run for 6 yds to the USD 30

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Logan Gingg run for 11 yds to the USD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kenyon Sims run for 2 yds to the USD 43

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the USD 48

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USD 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.11

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 17 yds to the UND 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the UND 39

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Grant Sergent run for 4 yds to the UND 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 7 yds to the UND 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 28 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Simon Romfo run for 5 yds to the UND 30

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.98

Sawyer Seidl run for 70 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Luke Silvernale kickoff for 57 yds , Yosei Takahashi return for 19 yds to the USD 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Kenyon Sims run for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 25

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.20

Grant Sergent sacked by Josh Navratil for a loss of 8 yards to the USD 17

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 55 yds, downed at the UND 28

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

San Diego Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UND 33

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.84

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the UND 35

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the UND 36

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.55

Gaven Ziebarth run for 6 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Sawyer Seidl run for 7 yds to the UND 49

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

ROMFO, Simon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DEMONTAGNAC, Nate broken up by MURRAY, Nick at the USD12. PENALTY USD Pass Interference on MURRAY, Nick enforced 15 yards to the USD36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 6 yds to the USD 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Sawyer Seidl run for 1 yd to the USD 29

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.63

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the USD 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the USD 21

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the USD 17

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+34 yds

C.J. Elrichs 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the USD 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Grant Sergent run for 2 yds to the USD 26

4th & 4Punt+6 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 50 yds , Bo Belquist returns for 6 yds to the UND 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+26 ydsPPA +2.28

Isaiah Smith run for 26 yds to the USD 44 Isaiah Smith fumbled, recovered by UND Caden Dennis C. Dennis return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -3.59

Simon Romfo pass intercepted Ruben Lopez return for 1 yd to the USD 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Grant Sergent run for 7 yds to the USD 45 Grant Sergent fumbled, recovered by USD Cole Monach C. Monach return for 0 yds

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 12

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.56

Simon Romfo sacked by Malachi Cooper for a loss of 5 yards to the UND 7

2nd & 15Penalty-3 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the UND 4

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Sawyer Seidl run for 6 yds to the UND 10

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

LEHMAN, Aidan kickoff 65 yards from the USD35 to the UND0, Touchback , clock 15:00. PENALTY USD Offsides on LOCH, David enforced 5 yards from the USD35 to the USD30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Gaven Ziebarth run for 15 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 44

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -0.51

Simon Romfo pass intercepted Matt Ballentine return for 24 yds to the UND 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the UND 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Grant Sergent run for 3 yds to the UND 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+54 yds

Aidan Lehman 54 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 65 yds , Sawyer Seidl return for 31 yds to the UND 31

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 69 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 7 yds to the USD 32

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

SMITH, Isaiah rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the USD34 (PEDIGO, Wyatt). PENALTY USD Clipping on BOWLING, Evans enforced 15 yards from the USD32 to the USD17 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.47

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 38 yds to the USD 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the USD 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kenyon Sims run for 3 yds to the USD 38

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

SERGENT, Grant pass deep to the right incomplete intended for REED, Ja'seem thrown to the UND35; QB hurried by PEDIGO, Wyatt. PENALTY UND Holding on HEMBRY, Devin enforced 10 yards from the USD38 to the USD48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 9 yds to the UND 43

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the UND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the UND 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -2.26

Grant Sergent pass intercepted Devin Hembry return for 8 yds to the UND 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Sawyer Seidl run for 9 yds to the UND 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the UND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the USD 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the USD 42

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the USD 41

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.50

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 41 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Luke Silvernale kickoff for 62 yds , Yosei Takahashi return for 19 yds to the USD 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 8 yds to the USD 30

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kenyon Sims run for no gain to the USD 30

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USD 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the USD 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-16 ydsPPA -1.57

Caden Dennis run for a loss of 16 yards to the USD 17 Grant Sergent fumbled, recovered by UND Josh Navratil J. Navratil return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the USD 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 yds

C.J. Elrichs 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USD 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the USD 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 12 yds to the USD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.35

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 33 yds to the UND 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.52

Grant Sergent pass complete to Peyton Smith for 23 yds to the UND 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Isaiah Smith run for 7 yds to the UND 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Logan Gingg run for no gain to the UND 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Sawyer Seidl run for 16 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Sawyer Seidl run for 1 yd to the UND 42

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the UND 46

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Quincy Vaughn run for 2 yds to the USD 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.17

Isaiah Smith run for 48 yds North Dakota Penalty, Illegal Block (Bo Belquist) to the USD 42

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Sawyer Seidl run for 2 yds to the USD 40

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Sawyer Seidl run for 1 yd to the USD 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the USD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Simon Romfo run for 9 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Sawyer Seidl run for 2 yds to the USD 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Simon Romfo run for 1 yd to the USD 24

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sawyer Seidl run for no gain to the USD 24

3rd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.41

Isaiah Smith run for 17 yds to the USD 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Isaiah Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 9

2nd & 9Penalty+7 yds

ROMFO, Simon pass to the left incomplete intended for BELQUIST, Bo broken up by MURRAY, Nick at the USD1. PENALTY USD Pass Interference on MURRAY, Nick enforced 7 yards to the USD2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 19 yds to the USD 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota Penalty, Roughing the Passer on RUCKER, Lance enforced (Lance Rucker) to the UND 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.17

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the UND 31

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

[NH] Kneel down by ROMFO, Simon at UND30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
52%
25 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play