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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 11.7

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 76%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Iowa State -30.5

Edge: North Dakota +30.5 (18.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
03003
Iowa StateIowa State
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-321-3
Iowa StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISNDISNDISNDISNDNDISNDISNDISNDISTD275ydPUNT515ydPUNT413ydPUNT1039ydPUNT739ydFG2388ydTD765ydEND431ydTO731ydPUNT412ydPUNT835ydTD1296ydMISS1459ydPUNT936ydPUNT34ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Iowa State
StatisticNorth DakotaIowa State
Passing17-3020-26
Pass Yards121267
Rush Yards17486
Total Yards295353
Turnovers10
3rd Down11-205-10
Penalties3-154-30
Possession37:5122:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Simon Romfo
17/30, 121 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Smith
12 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Bo Belquist
6 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
20/26, 267 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Abu Sama III
5 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Jaylin Noel
8 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jontez Williams
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +3.45

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 54 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 21 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Simon Romfo run for 9 yds to the UND 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.25

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 6 yards to the UND 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Simon Romfo pass complete to Quincy Vaughn for 1 yd to the UND 40

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+14 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 50 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 14 yds to the ISU 24

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Abu Sama III run for 16 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 37

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Gaven Ziebarth run for 11 yds to the UND 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the UND 35

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

run for 2 yds to the UND 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 7 yds to the UND 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the UND 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the ISU 48

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 44

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the ISU 42

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Smith run for 4 yds to the ISU 38

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.38

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 28 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 7 yds to the UND 44

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the UND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UND 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 3 yds to the UND 41

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jace T. Gilbert punt for 38 yds, downed at the UND 3

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.63

Sawyer Seidl run for 18 yds to the UND 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the UND 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Simon Romfo run for 2 yds to the UND 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 4 yds to the UND 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 33

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the UND 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 3 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the UND 47

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Gaven Ziebarth run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 8 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Gaven Ziebarth run for 8 yds to the ISU 39

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Simon Romfo pass complete to Jaden Norby for 2 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 5 yds to the ISU 32

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the ISU 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

run for 3 yds to the ISU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 5 yds to the ISU 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 5 yds to the ISU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Simon Romfo sacked by J.R. Singleton for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 20

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Simon Romfo run for 11 yds to the ISU 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

C.J. Elrichs 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 10 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the UND 46

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the UND 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 6 yds to the UND 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.42

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 21 yds to the UND 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 14 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Simon Romfo pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 34 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Simon Romfo run for 5 yds to the ISU 36

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.51

Simon Romfo sacked by Kenard Snyder for a loss of 8 yards to the ISU 44

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 5 yds to the UND 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sawyer Seidl run for no gain to the UND 30

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Simon Romfo run for 16 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Isaiah Smith run for 8 yds to the ISU 46

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.97

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the ISU 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -3.59

Simon Romfo pass intercepted Beau Freyler return for 24 yds to the ISU 39

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Abu Sama III run for 13 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Rocco Becht run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rocco Becht pass complete to Abu Sama III for no gain to the UND 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Gaven Ziebarth run for 3 yds to the UND 15

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the UND 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 9 yds to the UND 32

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 10 yds to the UND 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the UND 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Liam Becher) to the UND 37

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Sawyer Seidl run for 10 yds to the UND 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 49 yds, downed at the ISU 4

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Abu Sama III run for 9 yds to the ISU 13

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 3 yds to the ISU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ISU 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 12 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 22 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the UND 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Rocco Becht pass complete to Beni Ngoyi for 10 yds to the UND 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 9 yds to the UND 21

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

(15:00) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the right complete for 21 yards to HIGGINS, Jayden caught at the UND0 and advanced to the UND0, TOUCHDOWN ISU, score nullified by penalty, clock 14:54 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY Before the snap, ISU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UND21 to the UND26. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 2 yds to the UND 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the UND 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty+7 yds

(13:30) BECHT, Rocco pass to the left incomplete intended for NGOYI, Beni thrown to the UND0, clock 13:26. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on SCOTT, Avery enforced 7 yards to the UND2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the UND 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Isaiah Smith run for 9 yds to the UND 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Simon Romfo run for 13 yds to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the ISU 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Simon Romfo pass complete to Sawyer Seidl for 5 yds to the ISU 44

4th & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 18 yds to the ISU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

(08:02) ROMFO, Simon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BELQUIST, Bo thrown to the ISU0, clock 07:56. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Jontez enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the ISU11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.61

Simon Romfo pass complete to Gaven Ziebarth for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 16

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+33 yds

C.J. Elrichs 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the ISU 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 17 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.38

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the UND 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the UND 44

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the UND 41

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Beni Ngoyi) to the UND 46

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the UND 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jace J. Gilbert punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 8

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UND 6

2nd & 12Penalty-3 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Bo Belquist) to the UND 3

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.13

Simon Romfo run for 9 yds to the UND 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 20 yds, downed at the UND 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan Lee run for 3 yds to the UND 29

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Dylan Lee run for 4 yds to the UND 25

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan Lee run for 2 yds to the UND 23

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
62%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
4th