Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 26.6

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 93%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Missouri State -14.5

Edge: Missouri State -14.5 (12.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern Illinois
077317
Missouri StateMissouri State
7177738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-024-024-1431-1431-1738-17
Missouri StateSouthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSISIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIMSSIPUNT39ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydPUNT30ydTD1058ydPUNT39ydFG948ydPUNT619ydPUNT412ydPUNT33ydTD466ydTO514ydTD333ydTD1375ydTD1279ydPUNT519ydPUNT3-3ydTD1064ydPUNT32ydPUNT32ydDOWNS47ydTO311ydTO522ydTO15ydTO334ydPUNT38ydFG1072ydTD423ydEND610yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Illinois and Missouri State
StatisticSouthern IllinoisMissouri State
Passing17-4022-30
Pass Yards122213
Rush Yards217144
Total Yards339357
Turnovers32
3rd Down7-193-11
Penalties3-153-15
Possession29:5330:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Illinois
passing
Jake Curry
15/33, 105 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jake Curry
15 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brad Clark
5 REC, 51 YDS
Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
22/30, 213 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jayden Becks
11 CAR, 101 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Hunter Wood
5 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 3 yds to the MOST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 5 yds to the MOST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dayton Mitchell at the SIU 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jerrian Parker run for 2 yds to the SIU 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jerrian Parker run for 1 yd to the SIU 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jake Curry pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paul Geelen punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Becks run for 1 yd to the MOST 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 3 yds to the MOST 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SIU 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Curry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Curry pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Paul Geelen punt for 45 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 2 yds to the MOST 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.11

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 17 yds to the SIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Jacob Clark sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SIU 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 7 yds to the SIU 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 11 yds to the SIU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 3 yds to the SIU 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 11 yds to the SIU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the SIU 13

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.17

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 13 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 62 yds , Vinson Davis III return for 19 yds to the SIU 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Michael Lindauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Michael Lindauer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Michael Lindauer run for 9 yds to the SIU 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Paul Geelen punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 3 yds to the MOST 24

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.43

Jayden Becks run for 12 yds to the MOST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jayden Becks run for 3 yds to the MOST 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.15

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 17 yds to the SIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 13 yds to the SIU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the SIU 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for a loss of 5 yards to the SIU 31

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

Yousef Obeid 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Shaun Lester Jr. run for 1 yd to the SIU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jake Curry pass complete to Colton Hoag for 2 yds to the SIU 26

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Jake Curry run for 10 yds to the SIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Curry run for 2 yds to the SIU 38

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Shaun Lester Jr. run for no gain to the SIU 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jake Curry pass complete to Aidan Quinn for 6 yds to the SIU 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Paul Geelen punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 14 yds to the MOST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MOST 36

2nd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.89

Jacob Clark sacked by Vontrell Chairse for a loss of 10 yards to the MOST 26

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the MOST 28

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Dayton Mitchell at the SIU 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jerrian Parker run for 1 yd to the SIU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Jake Curry pass complete to Allen Middleton for 2 yds to the SIU 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Paul Geelen punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.16

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 35 yds to the SIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.32

Jayden Becks run for 29 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Lindauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Keontez Lewis run for 13 yds to the SIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Lindauer,Michael pass complete short middle to Lewis,Keontez caught at SIU50, for 16 yards to the MSU46 (O'Neal,J.J.) PENALTY SIU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from SIU38 to SIU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Michael Lindauer pass complete to Bradley Clark for 6 yds to the SIU 39

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jimmy Athans run for no gain to the SIU 39

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.38

Michael Lindauer pass intercepted Lemondre Joe return for no gain to the SIU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 15 yds to the SIU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacob Clark run for 3 yds to the SIU 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 15 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jake Curry run for 1 yd to the SIU 24

2nd & 11Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Jimmy Athans run for 14 yds to the SIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jimmy Athans run for 7 yds to the SIU 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Jake Curry pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for 6 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Jake Curry pass complete to Jimmy Athans for a loss of 6 yards to the SIU 45

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 16Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Curry,Jake pass incomplete short right to Clark,Bradley thrown to MSU40 PENALTY MSU Offside 5 yards from SIU45 to SIU50. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MSU Offside (Townley,Davon) 5 yards from SIU50 to MSU45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.24

Jake Curry run for 16 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Curry pass complete to Jimmy Athans for 2 yds to the MOST 27

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.54

Jake Curry run for 15 yds to the MOST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Curry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jake Curry run for 3 yds to the MOST 9

4th & 7Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.28

Paul Geelen run for 9 yds for a TD (Paul Geelen KICK)

0th & 10End of Half+3 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds , Vinson Davis III return for 21 yds to the SIU 21

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jake Curry run for 7 yds to the SIU 28 Jake Curry fumbled, recovered by SIU Dayton Mitchell

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Curry,Jake pass incomplete deep right to Lewis,Keontez thrown to MSU50 PENALTY MSU Offside (Smithson,Sterling) 5 yards from SIU28 to SIU33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jake Curry pass complete to Colton Hoag for 9 yds to the SIU 42

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Jake Curry run for 5 yds to the SIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Curry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.20

Jake Curry pass complete to Nah'shawn Hezekiah for 16 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jake Curry pass complete to Allen Middleton for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 38

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Shaun Lester Jr. run for 1 yd to the MOST 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.15

Jake Curry pass complete to Bradley Clark for 17 yds to the MOST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Allen Middleton run for 4 yds to the MOST 16

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.04

Jake Curry run for 16 yds for a TD (Paul Geelen KICK)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacob Clark sacked by Ubayd Steed for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 23

2nd & 12Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.21

Jayden Becks run for 17 yds to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 41

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short middle to Robinson,Jmariyae thrown to SIU40 PENALTY SIU Offside (Reeves,Peyton) 5 yards from MSU41 to MSU46. NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dayton Mitchell at the SIU 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Curry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jimmy Athans run for 4 yds to the SIU 24

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Curry sacked by Darion Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the SIU 17

4th & 13Punt+2 yds

Paul Geelen punt for 49 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 2 yds to the MOST 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.08

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 16 yds to the SIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 10 yds to the SIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the SIU 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 5 yds to the SIU 28

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the SIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 4 yds to the SIU 20

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.50

Jacardia Wright run for 18 yds to the SIU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 54 yds , Vinson Davis III return for 15 yds to the SIU 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Jake Curry run for 8 yds to the SIU 34

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Allen Middleton run for 1 yd to the SIU 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Jerrian Parker run for 2 yds to the SIU 33

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SIU False Start (Clark,Bradley) 5 yards from SIU33 to SIU28. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paul Geelen punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 37

1st & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.13

Jacob Clark sacked by Amir Dwight for a loss of 8 yards to the MOST 29

2nd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Jayden Becks run for 10 yds to the MOST 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jerrian Parker run for 4 yds to the SIU 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jake Curry pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Jake Curry pass complete to Miles Marshall for 3 yds to the SIU 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the SIU 25

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Jmariyae Robinson run for 9 yds to the SIU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.43

Jacob Clark pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Allen Middleton run for 4 yds to the SIU 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jimmy Athans run for 5 yds to the SIU 14

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.31

Michael Lindauer run for 2 yds to the SIU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Michael Lindauer pass complete to Bradley Clark for 11 yds to the SIU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Lindauer pass intercepted Kanye Young return for no gain to the SIU 5

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -5.12

Jmariyae Robinson run for 5 yds to the SIU 0 Jmariyae Robinson fumbled, recovered by SIU Iverson Brown

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 yds

Jake Curry pass complete to Allen Middleton for 33 yds to the SIU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jake Curry run for 1 yd to the SIU 34

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jake Curry pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 41

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Becks run for 4 yds to the MOST 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.91

Jimmy Athans run for 35 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jimmy Athans run for 3 yds to the MOST 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jake Curry pass complete to Bradley Clark for 8 yds to the MOST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.03

Jake Curry sacked by Darion Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the MOST 41

2nd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Jerrian Parker run for 10 yds to the MOST 31

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.35

Jake Curry run for 18 yds to the MOST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jimmy Athans run for 5 yds to the MOST 8

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jimmy Athans run for no gain to the MOST 8

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Curry pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+25 yds

Paul Geelen 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Paul Geelen kickoff for 13 yds , Jacardia Wright return for 25 yds to the SIU 23

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Jayden Becks run for 16 yds to the SIU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jayden Becks run for 6 yds to the SIU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Lair run for no gain to the SIU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jayden Becks run for 1 yd for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jake Curry pass complete to Bradley Clark for 9 yds to the SIU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jake Curry pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jerrian Parker run for 3 yds to the SIU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Curry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jake Curry pass complete to Jerrian Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the SIU 36

3rd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jake Curry sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the SIU 35

Situational Analysis

Southern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
29%
14 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
64%
14 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play