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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 14.2

Home Win Probability

Northern Iowa 18%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Northern Iowa +10.5

Edge: Missouri State -10.5 (3.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
71421749
Northern Iowa
71471442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-721-2135-4235-49
Northern IowaMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSNIMSPUNT520ydTD988ydTD1075ydPUNT529ydPUNT626ydTD379ydTD1075ydTD1079ydTD775ydEND412ydTD575ydTD675ydTD359ydPUNT36ydTD675ydTD1275ydTD1076ydDOWNS620ydPUNT3-2ydTD1085ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Northern Iowa
StatisticMissouri StateNorthern Iowa
Passing20-2920-30
Pass Yards275270
Rush Yards300215
Total Yards575485
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-84-10
Penalties6-673-28
Possession26:2733:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
20/29, 275 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jacardia Wright
17 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Hunter Wood
6 REC, 74 YDS
Northern Iowa
passing
Matthew Schecklman
20/30, 270 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tye Edwards
20 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tysen Kershaw
5 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tye Edwards run for 8 yds to the UNI 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Tye Edwards run for 7 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, off-side (Sterling Smithson) to the UNI 45

1st & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -2.16

Tye Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNI 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Layne Pryor for 3 yds to the UNI 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

pass incomplete to Lance Mason

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.04

Jacardia Wright run for 13 yds to the MOST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 6 yds to the MOST 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to DVontae Key

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 3 yds to the MOST 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Jacob Clark run for 3 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.33

Jacardia Wright run for 37 yds to the UNI 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 10 yds to the UNI 16 Northern Iowa Penalty, face mask (8 yards) (Tucker Langenberg) to the UNI 8

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jayden Becks 8 Yd Run (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 7 yds to the UNI 32

2nd & 3Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Tye Edwards run for 22 yds to the MOST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tye Edwards run for 2 yds to the MOST 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.30

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 14 yds to the MOST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.44

Tye Edwards run for 17 yds to the MOST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Brady McCullough

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 8 yds to the MOST 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush left (Winner-Johnson,Dallas;Levine,Kaleno).

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Amauri Pesek-Hickson 1 Yd Run (Caden Palmer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 11 yds to the MOST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the UNI 46

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Wright,Jacardia rush middle (Butler,Cannon).

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 38 yds

3rd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.06

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey for 27 yds to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Edwards,Tye rush right (O'Neal,J.J.;Brantley,Tim).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

pass incomplete to Layne Pryor

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Edwards,Tye rush middle.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete to Jaiden Ellis-Lahey

3rd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Matthew Schecklman sacked by Davon Townley Jr. and Darion Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 34

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 46 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 1 yd to the MOST 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jayden Becks run for 1 yd to the MOST 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.73

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 25 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Jayden Becks 53 Yd Run (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 10 yds to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to JC Roque Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the UNI 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion+14 ydsPPA +2.50

Matthew Schecklman pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dylan Simmons) to the UNI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Matthew Schecklman pass incomplete to Tay Norman for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kaleno Levine) to the MOST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Tye Edwards run for 9 yds to the MOST 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, off-side (Gilles Tchio) to the MOST 24

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 11 yds to the MOST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matthew Schecklman run for 4 yds to the MOST 9

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Amauri Pesek-Hickson 9 Yd Run (Caden Palmer Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 65 yds , Jayden Becks return for 21 yds to the MOST 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Lance Mason

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.36

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 6 yds to the MOST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MOST 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 40

3rd & 2Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.91

Jacob Clark pass complete to Connor Lair for 27 yds to the UNI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Jayden Becks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.65

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 28 yds to the UNI 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Wright,Jacardia rush right (Dervil,JJ;Nunes,Albert).

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

James BlackStrain 5 Yd pass from Jacob Clark (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Matthew Schecklman run for 36 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Tye Edwards run for 17 yds to the MOST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the MOST 21

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 2 yds to the MOST 19

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.01

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 12 yds to the MOST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the MOST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Tye Edwards 3 Yd Run (Caden Palmer Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 43 yds , Connor Lair return for 13 yds to the MOST 35

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jacob Clark run for 12 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to James BlackStrain

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to DVontae Key

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.02

Jayden Becks run for 13 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Defensive holding (Cristian Loaiza) to the UNI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 23 yds to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Jacardia Wright run for 9 yds to the UNI 43

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacob Clark run for 7 yds to the UNI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 6 yds to the UNI 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Matthew Schecklman run for 7 yds to the UNI 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Layne Pryor for 6 yds to the UNI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matthew Schecklman run for 5 yds to the UNI 43

2nd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.97

Tye Edwards run for 10 yds to the MOST 47 Missouri State Penalty, personal foul (P.J. Hall) to the MOST 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tye Edwards run for 2 yds to the MOST 30

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.20

Sergio Morancy 30 Yd pass from Matthew Schecklman (Caden Palmer Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 64 yds , Dash Luke return for 40 yds to the MOST 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.11

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 45 yds to the UNI 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jacob Clark run for 8 yds to the UNI 6

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.10

Jacardia Wright 6 Yd Run (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 4 yds to the UNI 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Tysen Kershaw

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Matthew Schecklman run for 2 yds to the UNI 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Noah Pettinger punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Jayden Becks run for 32 yds to the UNI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the UNI 41

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the UNI 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 7 yds to the UNI 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 15 yds to the UNI 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Jacardia Wright 13 Yd Run (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Pesek-Hickson,Amauri rush middle (Smithson,Sterling).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tye Edwards run for 3 yds to the UNI 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Tysen Kershaw for 12 yds to the UNI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Tye Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.23

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Tysen Kershaw for 30 yds to the MOST 31 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Amauri Pesek-Hickson run for 3 yds to the MOST 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.10

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Tysen Kershaw for 11 yds to the MOST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tye Edwards run for 6 yds to the MOST 11

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Tye Edwards run for 6 yds to the MOST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.47

Tye Edwards run for 2 yds to the MOST 3 Northern Iowa Penalty, personal foul (Tristan Roper) to the MOST 18

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Desmond Hutson

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.97

Desmond Hutson 18 Yd pass from Matthew Schecklman (Caden Palmer Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Caden Palmer kickoff for 65 yds , Jayden Becks return for 24 yds to the MOST 24

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Jacardia Wright run for 13 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Wright,Jacardia rush right (Olowo,Mo;Hewitt,Carter).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 5 yds to the MOST 42

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.81

Jacob Clark run for 17 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Jacardia Wright run for 11 yds to the UNI 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Jacardia Wright run for 13 yds to the UNI 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jacob Clark pass complete to Gary Clinton for 9 yds to the UNI 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Connor Lair 1 Yd pass from Jacob Clark (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Matthew Schecklman run for 9 yds to the UNI 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Amauri Pesek-Hickson for 7 yds to the UNI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Matthew Schecklman run for 4 yds to the UNI 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Tay Norman for no gain to the UNI 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

pass incomplete to Tay Norman

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matthew Schecklman pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy, broken up by Dylan Dixson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jayden Becks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to DVontae Key

3rd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for a loss of 1 yard to the UNI 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Iowa Penalty, false start (Hayden Amos) to the UNI 10

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Sergio Morancy for 3 yds to the UNI 13

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Tysen Kershaw for 15 yds to the UNI 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Matthew Schecklman pass incomplete to Sergio Morancy for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Avery Powell) to the UNI 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Brady McCullough for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.81

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Kamonte Grimes for 15 yds to the MOST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.46

Matthew Schecklman pass complete to Desmond Hutson for 25 yds to the MOST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Tysen Kershaw

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.52

Matthew Schecklman sacked by Mitchell Toney for a loss of 10 yards to the MOST 20

3rd & 20Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.33

Matthew Schecklman sacked by Caleb Dietlin for a loss of 8 yards to the MOST 28

4th & 28Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +6.64

Tysen Kershaw 28 Yd pass from Matthew Schecklman (Caden Palmer Kick)

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
70%
30 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
86%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Northern Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
47%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
86%
7 plays
71%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play