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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 7.2

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 68%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Missouri State -10

Edge: Youngstown State +10 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
7731431
Missouri StateMissouri State
71701438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1424-1424-1731-1731-2431-3138-31
Missouri StateYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSYSMSMSTD1575ydTD565ydPUNT1334ydTD295ydTD976ydTD675ydTO425ydFG663ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydTO547ydFG1141ydTD874ydTD1176ydPUNT3-2ydTD576ydPUNT620ydPUNT613ydTD553ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Missouri State
StatisticYoungstown StateMissouri State
Passing18-3121-30
Pass Yards180325
Rush Yards244139
Total Yards424464
Turnovers21
3rd Down8-146-9
Penalties7-674-38
Possession40:3719:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Beau Brungard
18/31, 180 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Beau Brungard
16 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Max Tomczak
4 REC, 59 YDS
Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
21/29, 325 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jacob Clark
7 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Jmariyae Robinson
3 REC, 104 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Beau Brungard pass complete to Luke Hensley for 7 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the YSU 42

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyshon King run for 7 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyshon King run for 9 yds to the MOST 42

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 3 yds to the MOST 36

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaden Gilbert run for 2 yds to the MOST 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.10

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 5 yds to the MOST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Ethan Wright run for 7 yds to the MOST 22

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Beau Brungard run for 8 yds to the MOST 9

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Beau Brungard run for 9 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Jmariyae Robinson run for 23 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for no gain to the YSU 42

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the YSU 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 14 yds to the YSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jacardia Wright run for 27 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Beau Brungard run for 4 yds to the YSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Beau Brungard run for 7 yds to the YSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Beau Brungard pass complete to Jawon Hall for 12 yds to the YSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 49

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY YSU False Start (Keen,Van) 5 yards from MSU49 to YSU46. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Ethan Wright run for 9 yds to the MOST 45

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Beau Brungard pass complete to Luke Hensley for 10 yds to the MOST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the MOST 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Beau Brungard pass complete to Da'Shaun Whatley for 11 yds to the MOST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the MOST 21

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Brungard,Beau rush left for 7 yards gain to the MSU14 (McGee,Todric), out of bounds PENALTY YSU Illegal Block in Back (Wright,Ethan) 10 yards from MSU21 to MSU31. NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Beau Brungard pass complete to Jawon Hall for 2 yds to the MOST 29

3rd & 19Penalty-12 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Beau Brungard) to the MOST 41

4th & 31Penalty0 yds

Youngstown State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Sam Merryman) declined

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.45

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 38 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 57 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 58 yds , Jawon Hall return for 17 yds to the YSU 24

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Missouri State Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the YSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the YSU 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 2 yds to the YSU 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 8 yds to the MOST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the MOST 43

3rd & 6Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.30

Beau Brungard run for 31 yds to the MOST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the MOST 8

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.55

Tyshon King run for 8 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jacob Clark run for 14 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MOST 45

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short right to Key,D'Vontae thrown to YSU40 PENALTY YSU Targeting (Martin,Kerion) 15 yards from MSU45 to YSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Jacob Clark sacked by Michael Voitus for a loss of 4 yards to the YSU 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 12 yds to the YSU 32

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 2 yds to the YSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 30 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyshon King run for 7 yds to the YSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Beau Brungard run for 10 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Beau Brungard pass complete to Colt Sechrest for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.43

Beau Brungard pass intercepted Lemondre Joe return for no gain to the MOST 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 11 yds to the MOST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.31

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 22 yds to the YSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 18 yds to the YSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+12 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short left to Wood,Hunter thrown to YSU00 broken up by Shahid,Makai PENALTY YSU Pass Interference (Hall,Stephon) 12 yards from YSU14 to YSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Yousef Obeid 19 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Half-63 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 28

2nd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.87

Jacob Clark sacked by Hunter Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the MOST 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 6 yds to the MOST 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 45 yds , Cyrus Traugh returns for no gain to the YSU 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the YSU 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dash Luke at the MOST 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 10 yds to the MOST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Clark sacked by Michael Voitus for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 22

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)+39 ydsPPA +3.93

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 39 yds Jmariyae Robinson fumbled, recovered by YSU Makai Shahid

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyshon King run for 6 yds to the YSU 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Beau Brungard pass complete to Colt Sechrest for 11 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Beau Brungard run for 4 yds to the MOST 40

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.64

Tyshon King run for 7 yds to the MOST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 28

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the MOST 21

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the MOST 20

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 yds

Andrew Lastovka 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Andrew Lastovka kickoff for 64 yds , Dash Luke return for 25 yds to the MOST 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 8 yds to the MOST 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.89

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the YSU 39 for a 1ST down Youngstown State Penalty, Personal Foul (Payton Edwards) to the YSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass complete short right to Mason,Lance caught at YSU31, for 22 yards to the YSU24 (Hall,Stephon) PENALTY MSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Goodson,Grant) 5 yards from YSU46 to MSU49. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 4 yds to the YSU 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.96

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 16 yds to the YSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.15

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 27 yds to the YSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jmariyae Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 61 yds , Jawon Hall return for 20 yds to the YSU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ethan Wright run for 4 yds to the YSU 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.31

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 14 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.32

Beau Brungard sacked by Darion Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the YSU 34

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 13 yds to the YSU 47

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.20

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 11 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Beau Brungard run for 6 yds to the MOST 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.96

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 30 yds to the MOST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for no gain to the MOST 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for a loss of 2 yards to the MOST 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the YSU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 13 yds to the YSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the MOST 44

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.50

Beau Brungard run for 44 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob rush left for 9 yards gain to the MSU34 (Hall,Stephon; Zandier,Preston) PENALTY MSU Holding (Loaiza,Cristian) 10 yards from MSU25 to MSU15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.41

Jacob Clark run for 23 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MOST 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the YSU 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the YSU 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 7 yds to the YSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Beau Brungard run for no gain to the YSU 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 45 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 8 yds to the MOST 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 8 yds to the YSU 45

3rd & 2Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.21

Jacob Clark run for 38 yds to the YSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacob Clark run for 2 yds to the YSU 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 5 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 35 yds , Max Tomczak return for no gain to the YSU 21 , return for 9 yds to the YSU 21

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

J. Clark takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
80%
10 plays
36%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
86%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th