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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Ball State 48%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Ball State -2.5

Edge: Missouri State +2.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
7072034
Ball StateBall State
0772842

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-77-1414-1428-1435-2142-27
Ball StateMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSMSBSBSMSBSMSBSMSBSMSMSBSMSBSMSBSBSMSBSMSBSMSMSBSMSBSPUNT721ydPUNT437ydTD578ydMISS1254ydPUNT30ydTD957ydPUNT523ydDOWNS718ydPUNT37ydPUNT523ydEND10ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT35ydPUNT30ydDOWNS513ydTD947ydTD875ydTD527ydTO313ydTD641ydTD583ydTD647ydTO949ydTD617ydTD346ydTD675ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Ball State
StatisticMissouri StateBall State
Passing19-3228-39
Pass Yards258262
Rush Yards62174
Total Yards320436
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-1012-19
Penalties4-357-52
Possession21:3038:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
19/32, 258 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacardia Wright
15 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jmariyae Robinson
7 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
28/39, 262 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Braedon Sloan
21 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cam Pickett
7 REC, 69 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for no gain to the BALL 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.78

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 12 yds to the MOST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the BALL 48

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 3 yds to the MOST 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for no gain to the MOST 49

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, false start (5 Yards) to the BALL 46

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.37

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 44 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to James BlackStrain

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the BALL 38

3rd & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.63

Jacob Clark sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the BALL 49

4th & 17Punt+12 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 39 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 12 yds to the BALL 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the BALL 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.46

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 19 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+59 ydsPPA -10.59

P.J. Hall 59 Yd Interception Return (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Cam Pickett run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Maximus Webster for 9 yds to the MOST 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Malcolm Gillie, broken up by Dylan Simmons

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 7 yds to the MOST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Tj Horton run for 11 yds to the MOST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for a loss of 3 yards to the MOST 26

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the MOST 20

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 21

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Jackson Courville 38 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Hunter Wood

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Hunter Wood, broken up by Jordan Coleman

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 17 yds to the MOST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 7 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Missouri State Penalty, off-side (Sterling Smithson) to the MOST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the MOST 16

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Vaughn Pemberton run for 6 yds to the MOST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 11

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Cam Pickett run for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 15

3rd & 15Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.54

Kadin Semonza 15 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 19 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 46

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.73

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 5 yards to the MOST 41

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson Missouri State Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the MOST 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 2 yds to the MOST 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the BALL 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds to the BALL 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.98

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Tanner Koziol

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 5 yds to the BALL 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 4 yds to the BALL 49

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Braedon Sloan run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 48

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Jacob Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 8 yds to the BALL 42

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jayden Becks run for 1 yd to the BALL 41 Jayden Becks fumbled, recovered by MOST Jayden Becks

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the BALL 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.51

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 18 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam Pickett

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.91

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 30

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 6 yds to the BALL 36

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 2 yds to the MOST 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the BALL 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Jackson Courville kickoff for 54 yds , Jayden Becks return for 13 yds to the MOST 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Gary Clinton

3rd & 11Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for a loss of 6 yards to the MOST 17

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 53 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam Pickett, broken up by Ryan Williams

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 42 yds , Hunter Wood returns for no gain to the MOST 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Jmariyae Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Lance Mason, broken up by Jackson Wiegold

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to DVontae Key, broken up by Myles Norwood

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 48 yds , Qian Magwood returns for 4 yds to the BALL 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam Pickett Missouri State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Thomas Anderson) to the BALL 49

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the MOST 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the MOST 45

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the MOST 44

4th & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.39

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 6 yds to the BALL 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 1 yd to the BALL 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Jacob Clark run for 4 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 7 yds to the BALL 29

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to DVontae Key

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 5 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 29

2nd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.85

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 24 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jacardia Wright 5 Yd Run (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tj Horton run for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Pemberton,Vaughn rush left (Hall,P.J.).

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BALL 42

3rd & 5Interception+10 ydsPPA -0.95

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted by Lemondre Joe, Missouri State Penalty, Defensive holding (P.J. Hall) to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the MOST 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the MOST 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Isaiah Thacker, broken up by Dylan Simmons

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +5.33

Malcolm Gillie 41 Yd pass from Kadin Semonza (Jackson Courville Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Jackson Courville kickoff for 46 yds , DVontae Key return for 8 yds to the MOST 27 DVontae Key fumbled, recovered by BALL Nick Munson , return for no gain to the MOST 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 1 yd to the MOST 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the MOST 22

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Kadin Semonza run for 9 yds to the MOST 13 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by BALL Cam Pickett for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the MOST 11

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Braedon Sloan 11 Yd pass from Kadin Semonza (Jackson Courville Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Jayden Becks run for 9 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.05

Jacob Clark pass intercepted Joey Stemler fumbled, recovered by BALL Keionte Newson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Cam Pickett

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the MOST 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.10

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 21 yds to the MOST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Tj Horton run for a loss of 3 yards to the MOST 16

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete to Braedon Sloan, broken up by Jalen Williams

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.46

Qian Magwood 16 Yd pass from Kadin Semonza (Jackson Courville Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jackson Courville kickoff for 63 yds , Jayden Becks return for 15 yds to the MOST 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MOST 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dylan Simmons for 9 yds to the MOST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dylan Simmons for 9 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Lance Mason 57 Yd pass from Jacob Clark (Yousef Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+46 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 58 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 46 yds to the MOST 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Cam Pickett

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Vaughn Pemberton run for 6 yds to the MOST 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.03

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 33 yds to the MOST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Vaughn Pemberton run for 3 yds to the MOST 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Cam Pickett

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

K. Semonza pass to T. Koziol for 5 yds for a TD (J. Courville KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jackson Courville kickoff for 63 yds , Jayden Becks return for 20 yds to the MOST 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Gary Clinton, broken up by Aj Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Jacob Clark pass complete to Gary Clinton for 7 yds to the MOST 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Dash Luke for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, off-side (-5 Yards) to the MOST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 39

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Jacardia Wright run for 16 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Gary Clinton, broken up by Keionte Newson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.60

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 13 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the BALL 29

2nd & 7Interception+12 ydsPPA -3.94

Jacob Clark pass intercepted for a 1ST down Ball State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jack Beebe) to the BALL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jayden Becks run for 4 yds to the BALL 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 1 yd to the BALL 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.08

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for no gain to the BALL 12 Missouri State Penalty, illegal forward pass (Jacob Clark) to the BALL 17

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Ball State Penalty, off-side (Darin Conley) to the BALL 12

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

Ball State Penalty, off-side (5 Yards) to the BALL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the BALL 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

J. Robinson run for 3 yds for a TD (Y. Obeid PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the MOST 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the MOST 40

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.26

Braedon Sloan 40 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jacob Clark run for 8 yds to the MOST 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 11 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.58

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 27 yds to the BALL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Jacob Clark pass incomplete to Dylan Simmons for a 1ST down Ball State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Myles Norwood) to the BALL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Hunter Wood

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Jmariyae Robinson 14 Yd pass from Jacob Clark (Yousef Obeid Kick)

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
32 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
57%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays