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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana by 21

Home Win Probability

Montana 87%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Montana -13.5

Edge: Montana -13.5 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
737724
Montana
6671029

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-76-109-1012-1719-1726-2429-24
MontanaMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MONMSMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONPUNT734ydPUNT38ydTD853ydTD375ydFG1659ydFG1266ydTO730ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT37ydFG1276ydTD675ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT33ydPUNT614ydPUNT510ydTD653ydDOWNS933ydTD358ydTD1075ydFG844ydDOWNS4-8ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Montana
StatisticMissouri StateMontana
Passing23-3914-26
Pass Yards257180
Rush Yards99167
Total Yards356347
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-142-9
Penalties13-1124-49
Possession36:3723:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
23/39, 257 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jacardia Wright
19 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Hunter Wood
6 REC, 70 YDS
Montana
passing
Logan Fife
5/7, 90 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Eli Gillman
15 CAR, 89 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Xavier Harris
3 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds , Isiah Childs return for 26 yds to the MONT 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.96

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Aaron Fontes for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MONT 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Eli Gillman for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MOST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Xavier Harris run for 3 yds to the MOST 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Ostmo run for 3 yds to the MOST 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 4

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 3

3rd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson

4th & 2Punt+33 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU Illegal Snap (Hudson,Cash) 5 yards from MSU47 to MSU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.20

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MONT 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+14 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short left to Wood,Hunter thrown to UM20, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UM Pass Interference (Gordon,Chrishawn) 14 yards from UM34 to UM20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.37

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MONT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MSU Offside (Williams,Ryan) 5 yards from UM25 to UM30. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 18 yds to the MONT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Missouri State Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the MOST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Eli Gillman run for 37 yds for a TD (Ty Morrison PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden Becks run for no gain to the MOST 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Becks,Jayden rush left for 52 yards gain to the UM00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY MSU Holding (Lillibridge,Hutson) 10 yards from MSU48 to MSU38. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.26

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MONT 37

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jacob Clark run for 8 yds to the MONT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.75

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright Missouri State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MONT 38

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.68

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MONT 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Yousef Obeid 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 64 yds , Xavier Harris return for 15 yds to the MONT 16

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Nick Ostmo run for 8 yds to the MONT 24

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Nick Ostmo run for 4 yds to the MONT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Nick Ostmo for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 6 yds to the MONT 46

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.67

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 6 yds to the MOST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Nick Ostmo run for 15 yds to the MOST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Ostmo run for 1 yd to the MOST 32

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 14 yds to the MOST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Ty Morrison 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Jacob Clark pass complete to Gary Clinton for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MONT 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MONT 45

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -1.71

Jacob Clark pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.29

Keali'i Ah Yat sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the MONT 14

4th & 22Punt+21 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 61 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 21 yds to the MOST 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Aaron Fontes for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 11 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Ryan Simpson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Nick Ostmo

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Xavier Harris for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rush+2 yds

Nick Ostmo run for 2 yds to the MOST 4

3rd & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Ty Morrison 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 4End of Half-61 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jacardia Wright run for 14 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.81

Jacob Clark sacked by Hayden Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the MOST 42

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +4.14

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Jayden Becks run for 32 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 63 yds , Xavier Harris return for 21 yds to the MONT 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 26

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+18 ydsPPA +2.11

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 18 yds to the MONT 8 Keali'i Ah Yat fumbled, recovered by MONT Keali'i Ah Yat

3rd & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MONT 10

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MONT 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the MONT 47

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Goodson,Grant) 5 yards from UM47 to MSU48. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt+16 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 38 yds , Drew Deck returns for 16 yds to the MONT 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Nick Ostmo run for 1 yd to the MONT 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.68

Logan Fife pass complete to Aaron Fontes

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Logan Fife pass complete to Xavier Harris for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Montana Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the MONT 37

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.56

Logan Fife pass complete to Aaron Fontes

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.08

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.38

Jacob Clark sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the MOST 20

4th & 16Punt+19 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 52 yds , Drew Deck returns for 19 yds to the MONT 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Eli Gillman run for 7 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MOST 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the MOST 34

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.37

Xavier Harris 34 Yd pass from Logan Fife (Ty Morrison Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Becks run for no gain to the MOST 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Toliver,Ja'Veo) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks

3rd & 16Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.56

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jacardia Wright run for 7 yds to the MOST 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MONT 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the MONT 42

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.86

Logan Fife pass complete to Aaron Fontes for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nick Ostmo run for 6 yds to the MOST 19

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan pass incomplete short left to Fontes,Aaron thrown to MSU04, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Joe,Lemondre) 15 yards from MSU19 to MSU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 4Penalty+2 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Ostmo,Nick rush middle for 0 yards to the MSU04 (Winner-Johnson,Dallas; Brantley,Tim) PENALTY MSU Illegal Substitution 2 yards from MSU04 to MSU02. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds for a TD (Ty Morrison KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Becks run for 8 yds to the MOST 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Jacardia Wright run for 11 yds to the MONT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete deep left to Robinson,Jmariyae thrown to UM07 PENALTY UM Roughing The Passer (Meyer,Ryder) 15 yards from UM33 to UM18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MONT 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Goodson,Grant) 5 yards from UM08 to UM13. NO PLAY.

1st & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the MONT 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Jmariyae Robinson run for 7 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the MONT 38

2nd & 7Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.46

Eli Gillman run for 7 yds to the MOST 45 for a 1ST down Missouri State Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Williams) to the MOST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Eli Gillman run for 7 yds to the MOST 33

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.11

Eli Gillman run for 12 yds to the MOST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UM False Start (White,Keelan) 5 yards from MSU21 to MSU26. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the MOST 27

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MOST 25

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the MOST 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Ty Morrison 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood

2nd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.23

Jacob Clark sacked by Hayden Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the MOST 23

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacob Clark sacked by Andres Lehrmann for a loss of 3 yards to the MOST 20

4th & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.36

Jacob Clark run for 3 yds to the MOST 17

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

L. Fife takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
62%
13 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
86%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play