Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota by 17.1

Home Win Probability

Indiana State 15%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Indiana State +17

Edge: North Dakota -17 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
7147331
Indiana State
61514035

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-713-713-1413-2121-2127-2835-31
Indiana StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNDISNDISNDISNDISISNDISNDISNDISNDISNDISTD20ydTD865ydTO876ydPUNT946ydTD1187ydTD1067ydPUNT3-5ydTD747ydPUNT34ydTD234ydEND1-5ydTD575ydTD869ydTD671ydFG1050ydPUNT928ydPUNT649ydPUNT1048ydDOWNS947ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Indiana State
StatisticNorth DakotaIndiana State
Passing18-2612-18
Pass Yards187163
Rush Yards185227
Total Yards372390
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-119-13
Penalties4-385-68
Possession32:1427:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Simon Romfo
18/26, 187 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Smith
11 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nick Kupfer
3 REC, 56 YDS
Indiana State
passing
Elijah Owens
12/18, 163 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Plez Lawrence
14 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rashad Rochelle
6 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the UND 25

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+20 ydsPPA -7.22

Simon Romfo pass intercepted Joey Shew return for 20 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the UND 39

2nd & 6Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.70

Isaiah Smith run for 36 yds to the INST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds to the INST 22

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

ROMFO, Simon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BELQUIST, Bo thrown to the INS3. PENALTY INS Pass Interference on ROBERTS, Tony enforced at the spot of the foul for 10 yards to the INS12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Simon Romfo run for 3 yds to the INST 9

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the INST 7

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 4 yds to the INST 3

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.60

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd to the INST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Simon Romfo run for 2 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

C.J. Elrichs kickoff for 59 yds , Zavion Taylor return for 15 yds to the INST 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Elijah Owens run for 1 yd to the INST 22

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 1 yd to the INST 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.62

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 32 yds to the UND 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 4 yds to the UND 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the UND 38

3rd & 3Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.25

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 34 yds to the UND 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Lance Rees run for 2 yds to the UND 2

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.93

Elijah Owens run for a loss of 1 yard to the UND 3 Elijah Owens fumbled, recovered by UND Tyler Erkman T. Erkman return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 14 yds to the UND 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the UND 21

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Blake Surface) to the UND 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Sawyer Seidl run for 3 yds to the INST 48

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.21

Simon Romfo run for 7 yds to the INST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -2.77

Simon Romfo sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UND 48 Simon Romfo fumbled, recovered by UND , return for 0 yards

3rd & 21Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Simon Romfo pass complete to Sam Strandell for 1 yd to the UND 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 38 yds, downed at the INST 13

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Plez Lawrence run for 10 yds to the INST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Elijah Owens run for 21 yds to the INST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the INST 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.87

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 10 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Plez Lawrence run for 10 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the UND 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 9 yds to the UND 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.24

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 22 yds to the UND 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan O'Grady KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 60 yds , Sawyer Seidl return for 28 yds to the UND 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the UND 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 12 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.25

Simon Romfo run for 20 yds to the INST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Isaiah Smith run for 12 yds to the INST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the INST 18

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the INST 14

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.29

Gaven Ziebarth run for 5 yds to the INST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Gaven Ziebarth run for 4 yds to the INST 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 5 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

C.J. Elrichs kickoff for 64 yds , Zavion Taylor return for 21 yds to the INST 22

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Elijah Owens sacked by Kaden Vig and Craig Orlando for a loss of 2 yards to the INST 20

2nd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the INST 17

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the INST 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Sawyer Seidl run for 3 yds to the INST 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.32

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 22 yds to the INST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Sawyer Seidl run for 8 yds to the INST 14

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sawyer Seidl run for 1 yd to the INST 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Quincy Vaughn run for 2 yds to the INST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Gaven Ziebarth run for 2 yds to the INST 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 9 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Elijah Owens run for 4 yds to the INST 29

4th & 6Punt+43 yds

Harry Traum punt for 43 yds , Bo Belquist returns for no gain to the UND 34 , returns for no gain to the UND 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Plez Lawrence run for 5 yds to the UND 29

2nd & 5Penalty+13 yds

OWENS, Elijah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ROCHELLE, Rashad broken up by SUTTON, Jett at the UND3. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on SUTTON, Jett enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the UND16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 16 yds for a TD (Rashad Rochelle pass to Ethan Chambers for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 63 yds , Sawyer Seidl return for 36 yds to the UND 38

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 5 yards to the UND 33 Simon Romfo fumbled, recovered by UND Simon Romfo S. Romfo return for 0 yds

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 4 yds to the INST 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Shen Butler-Lawson run for no gain to the INST 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Elijah Owens run for 8 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Elijah Owens pass complete to Matt Ross for 10 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Plez Lawrence run for 53 yds for a TD (Ryan O'Grady PAT BLOCKED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 34 yds , Aidan Behymer return for no gain to the UND 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the UND 36

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.82

Isaiah Smith run for 16 yds to the INST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROMFO, Simon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for BELQUIST, Bo thrown to the INS10. PENALTY INS Pass Interference on ROBERTS, Tony enforced 15 yards to the INS33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Gaven Ziebarth run for 1 yd to the INST 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 13 yds to the INST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 3 yds to the INST 16

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Gaven Ziebarth run for no gain to the INST 16

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.64

Isaiah Smith run for 13 yds to the INST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Isaiah Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (C.J. Elrichs KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

C.J. Elrichs kickoff for 64 yds , Rashad Rochelle return for 23 yds to the INST 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Plez Lawrence run for 7 yds to the INST 36

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.31

Elijah Owens run for 13 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 12 yds to the UND 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Shen Butler-Lawson run for no gain to the UND 39

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.95

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 39 yds for a TD (J. McCoskey Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 41 yds , Isaiah Smith return for 6 yds to the UND 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 17 yds to the UND 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 12 yds to the INST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 4 yds to the INST 37

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Sawyer Seidl run for 8 yds to the INST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sawyer Seidl run for 4 yds to the INST 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 6 yds to the INST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sawyer Seidl run for 3 yds to the INST 16

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Simon Romfo run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 17 Simon Romfo fumbled, recovered by UND Simon Romfo S. Romfo return for 0 yds

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Sawyer Seidl run for 2 yds to the INST 15

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota Penalty, False Start (Caleb Olson) to the INST 20

4th & 11Field Goal Good+37 yds

C.J. Elrichs 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 2 yds to the INST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 8 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 3 yds to the INST 40

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

OWENS, Elijah pass deep to the right incomplete intended for TAYLOR, Zavion thrown to the UND30. PENALTY UND Pass Interference on ERKMAN, Tyler enforced 15 yards to the UND45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kai Rios for 4 yds to the UND 41

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 6 yds to the UND 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 3 yds to the UND 32

2nd & 7Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.54

Elijah Owens sacked by Malachi McNeal for a loss of 15 yards to the UND 47

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the UND 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.08

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nick Kupfer for 22 yds to the UND 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

ROMFO, Simon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for KUPFER, Nick broken up by VALDES, Jorge at the INS45. PENALTY INS Pass Interference on VALDES, Jorge enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the UND49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROMFO, Simon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BELQUIST, Bo thrown to the INS15. PENALTY INS Pass Interference on VALDES, Jorge enforced 15 yards to the INS36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Sawyer Seidl run for 1 yd to the INST 35

3rd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Sawyer Seidl run for a loss of 4 yards to the INST 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Luke Silvernale punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Rashad Rochelle at the INST 6

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Plez Lawrence run for 6 yds to the INST 12

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 14

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.39

Elijah Owens run for 2 yds to the INST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.92

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 25 yds to the INST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 4 yds to the INST 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 2 yds to the UND 44

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.96

Elijah Owens run for 7 yds to the UND 46 for a 1ST down

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the UND 43

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.50

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the UND 46

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the UND 15

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Isaiah Smith run for 11 yds to the UND 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Simon Romfo run for 9 yds to the UND 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Simon Romfo pass complete to Bo Belquist for 8 yds to the UND 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Simon Romfo pass complete to Caden Dennis for 11 yds to the INST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Simon Romfo pass complete to Nate DeMontagnac for 11 yds to the INST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Simon Romfo run for 1 yd to the INST 34

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Simon Romfo sacked by Joey Shew for a loss of 4 yards to the INST 38

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Simon Romfo pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kneel down by TEAM at INS38 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
34%
32 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
23%
13 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th