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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Missouri State by 30.1

Home Win Probability

Missouri State 95%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Missouri State -27

Edge: Missouri State -27 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Indiana State
870621
Missouri StateMissouri State
107151446

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-817-1532-1539-2146-21
Missouri StateIndiana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSISMSISMSISMSISMSISISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSISFG1062ydTD367ydTD863ydMISS1061ydTO5-4ydTD316ydTD892ydPUNT817ydPUNT36ydEND10ydPUNT1035ydTD394ydPUNT3-14ydTD646ydPUNT718ydTO59ydTD639ydTD775ydPUNT3-14ydTD1269ydEND23yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana State and Missouri State
StatisticIndiana StateMissouri State
Passing12-1722-27
Pass Yards154379
Rush Yards95118
Total Yards249497
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-126-8
Penalties7-454-18
Possession29:2530:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana State
passing
Elijah Owens
12/17, 154 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shen Butler-Lawson
6 CAR, 33 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rashad Rochelle
3 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
22/27, 379 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacardia Wright
20 CAR, 77 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Lance Mason
4 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the MOST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 16 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 15 yds to the INST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the INST 42

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.26

Jacardia Wright run for 12 yds to the INST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 19 yds to the INST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Jacob Clark sacked by Gianini Belizaire for a loss of 8 yards to the INST 19

2nd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jacob Clark run for 6 yds to the INST 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Yousef Obeid 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +3.74

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 63 yds to the MOST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the MOST 3

2nd & 3Penalty+2 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Lawrence,Plez rush right for 0 yards to the MSU03 (Tchio,Gilles) PENALTY MSU Face Mask 2 yards from MSU03 to MSU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shen Butler-Lawson 1 Yd Run (Lance Rees Pass to Triston O'Brien for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 59 yds , Jayden Becks return for 31 yds to the MOST 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the MOST 45

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jacardia Wright for 6 yds to the INST 44

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Jayden Becks run for 18 yds to the INST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 16 yds to the INST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 7 yds to the INST 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the INST 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 64 yds , Rashad Rochelle return for 31 yds to the INST 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 10 yds to the INST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Owens run for 5 yds to the INST 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Elijah Owens run for 3 yds to the MOST 48

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Elijah Owens run for 9 yds to the MOST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.62

Elijah Owens pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 28 yds to the MOST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Elijah Owens run for 3 yds to the MOST 14

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 9 yds to the MOST 5

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Elijah Owens run for 3 yds to the MOST 2

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU False Start 5 yards from MSU02 to MSU07. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Jake Andjelic 25 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 6 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jayden Becks run for 3 yds to the MOST 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Jacob Clark sacked by Joey Shew for a loss of 8 yards to the MOST 25

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.25

Jacob Clark sacked by Joey Shew for a loss of 9 yards to the MOST 16 Jacob Clark fumbled, recovered by INST Braxton Sampson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Elijah Owens run for 6 yds to the MOST 10

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the MOST 10

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.78

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 64 yds , Jayden Becks return for 16 yds to the MOST 49 Missouri State Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the MOST 8

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the MOST 16

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jayden Becks run for 6 yds to the MOST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jayden Becks run for no gain to the MOST 22

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacob Clark sacked by Geoffrey Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the MOST 18

3rd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.93

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 26 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 24 yds to the INST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 5 yds to the INST 27

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.79

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 27 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Rashad Rochelle run for 5 yds to the INST 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kai Rios for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 7 yds to the INST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Devin Nelson run for 1 yd to the INST 37

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Elijah Owens run for 9 yds to the INST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Elijah Owens run for 2 yds to the INST 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Devin Nelson run for 6 yds to the MOST 46

3rd & 2Penalty-17 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Elijah Owens) to the INST 37

4th & 19Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from ISU37 to ISU42. NO PLAY.

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 38 yds , Hunter Wood returns for no gain to the MOST 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 6 yds to the MOST 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Rashad Rochelle at the INST 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 6 yds to the INST 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Shen Butler-Lawson run for no gain to the INST 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Elijah Owens pass complete to Shen Butler-Lawson for 13 yds to the INST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Plez Lawrence run for 14 yds to the MOST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Plez Lawrence run for 10 yds to the MOST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Plez Lawrence run for 4 yds to the MOST 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Elijah Owens pass complete to Devin Nelson for 3 yds to the MOST 33 Indiana State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gianini Belizaire) to the MOST 43

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 21Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah Owens run for 3 yds to the MOST 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 8

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Jacob Clark run for 10 yds to the MOST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+82 ydsPPA +6.49

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 82 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Owens,Elijah pass complete short middle to Chambers,Ethan caught at ISU37, for 12 yards to the ISU37 (Levine,Kaleno) PENALTY ISU Holding (Comer,Griffin) 10 yards from ISU25 to ISU15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Plez Lawrence run for 3 yds to the INST 12

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 23Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU False Start (Chambers,Ethan) 5 yards from ISU12 to ISU07. NO PLAY.

3rd & 28Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 4 yds to the INST 11

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the INST 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the INST 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 17 yds to the INST 24 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Jacardia Wright run for 13 yds to the INST 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the INST 1

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the INST 16

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jacardia Wright 1 Yd Run (Jacob Clark Pass to Jmariyae Robinson for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Devin Nelson run for 7 yds to the INST 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Devin Nelson run for 4 yds to the INST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Elijah Owens pass complete to Ethan Chambers for 6 yds to the INST 42

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Devin Nelson run for no gain to the INST 42

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Owens,Elijah pass incomplete short left to Lawrence,Plez thrown to ISU44 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Smith,Darion) 2 yards from ISU42 to ISU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Plez Lawrence run for 2 yds to the INST 46

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.92

Elijah Owens sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the INST 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.94

Jacob Clark sacked by Dallas Westhoff for a loss of 7 yards to the MOST 14

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 9 yds to the MOST 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.58

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 9 yds to the MOST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the MOST 30

2nd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacob Clark pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Elijah Owens run for 7 yds to the MOST 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Elijah Owens pass complete to Shen Butler-Lawson for 2 yds to the MOST 30

3rd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.94

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 23 yds to the MOST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Elijah Owens sacked by Gilles Tchio for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Elijah Owens run for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 17 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 46

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Jayden Becks run for 11 yds to the INST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Becks run for 9 yds to the INST 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 13 yds to the INST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 21 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Owens run for 4 yds to the INST 42

3rd & 16Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah Owens sacked by Darion Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the INST 24

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Owens,Elijah pass incomplete short right thrown to ISU50 PENALTY ISU Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Elijah Owens) to the INST 32

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Hunter Wood at the MOST 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

DVontae Key run for 7 yds to the MOST 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the MOST 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jacardia Wright run for no gain to the MOST 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 11 yds to the INST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Clark,Jacob pass incomplete short left to Wright,Jacardia thrown to ISU43 PENALTY ISU Roughing The Passer (Wilson,Logan) 15 yards from ISU43 to ISU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacob Clark run for 1 yd to the INST 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 9 yds to the INST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacardia Wright run for 5 yds to the INST 23

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.51

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 18 yds to the INST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jacob Clark run for 5 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Yousef Obeid kickoff for 65 yds , Rashad Rochelle return for 22 yds to the INST 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 1 yd to the INST 21

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 4 yds to the INST 25

Situational Analysis

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
48%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
58%
31 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th