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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Youngstown State by 19.2

Home Win Probability

Youngstown State 86%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Youngstown State -14

Edge: Youngstown State -14 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Indiana State
0014014
Youngstown State
7140021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-021-721-14
Youngstown StateIndiana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSISYSPUNT34ydTD947ydPUNT70ydTD1174ydPUNT42ydTO336ydPUNT712ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydTD556ydEND617ydPUNT31ydTD877ydPUNT43ydTD673ydPUNT35ydPUNT739ydMISS867ydPUNT45ydPUNT418ydDOWNS1167ydEND3-11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana State and Youngstown State
StatisticIndiana StateYoungstown State
Passing15-2711-18
Pass Yards149130
Rush Yards135175
Total Yards284305
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-175-13
Penalties2-254-25
Possession30:2029:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana State
passing
Elijah Owens
15/27, 149 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Elijah Owens
26 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Plez Lawrence
4 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
Youngstown State
passing
Beau Brungard
11/18, 130 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ethan Wright
15 CAR, 81 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Max Tomczak
4 REC, 87 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Josh Wilkins kickoff for 55 yds , Rashad Rochelle return for 10 yds to the INST 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 6 yds to the INST 26

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the INST 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+15 yds

Harry Traum punt for 38 yds , Cyrus Traugh returns for 15 yds to the INST 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 4 yds to the INST 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the INST 38

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the INST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ethan Wright run for 5 yds to the INST 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 5 yds to the INST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the INST 19

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.81

Beau Brungard run for 14 yds to the INST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Beau Brungard run for 3 yds to the INST 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Elijah Owens run for 7 yds to the INST 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 2 yds to the INST 44

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Elijah Owens run for 2 yds to the INST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the INST 43

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.24

Elijah Owens sacked by Hunter Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the INST 35

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt+1 yds

Harry Traum punt for 40 yds , Cyrus Traugh returns for 1 yd to the YSU 26

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Tyshon King run for 15 yds to the YSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 10 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Tyshon King run for 9 yds to the INST 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Tyshon King run for 4 yds to the INST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the INST 33

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Ethan Wright run for 12 yds to the INST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the INST 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the INST 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 7 yds to the INST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Latrell Fordham 8 Yd pass from Beau Brungard (Andrew Lastovka Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+50 yds

Josh Wilkins kickoff for 63 yds , Rashad Rochelle return for 50 yds to the YSU 48

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Elijah Owens run for 13 yds to the YSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -3.26

Nehemiah Dukes run for a loss of 13 yards to the YSU 48

2nd & 23Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 2 yds to the YSU 46

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Max Tomczak at the YSU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the YSU 13

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Micah Hauser) to the YSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+4 ydsPPA -2.82

Beau Brungard pass intercepted Jorge Valdes return for 4 yds to the INST 49

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.35

Elijah Owens sacked by Jaelen Crider for a loss of 6 yards to the INST 43

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Elijah Owens run for 9 yds to the YSU 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Elijah Owens pass complete to Shen Butler-Lawson for 6 yds to the YSU 42

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Elijah Owens run for 1 yd to the YSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Elijah Owens run for 4 yds to the YSU 37

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Elijah Owens run for 1 yd to the YSU 36

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Shen Butler-Lawson run for a loss of 3 yards to the YSU 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the YSU 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the YSU 10

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Beau Brungard pass complete to Cyrus Traugh for 5 yds to the YSU 15

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyshon King run for 1 yd to the YSU 16

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 50 yds, downed at the INST 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Devin Nelson run for 3 yds to the INST 27

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.80

Elijah Owens sacked by Hunter Allen for a loss of 5 yards to the INST 22

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+7 yds

Harry Traum punt for 41 yds , Cyrus Traugh returns for 7 yds to the YSU 44

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyshon King run for 11 yds to the INST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +0.95

Ethan Wright run for 34 yds to the INST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ethan Wright run for 6 yds to the INST 5

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ethan Wright run for 3 yds to the INST 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Ethan Wright run for 2 yds for a TD (Andrew Lastovka KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Josh Wilkins kickoff for 63 yds , Zavion Taylor return for 22 yds to the INST 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Elijah Owens run for 6 yds to the INST 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.41

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 5 yds to the INST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 5 yds to the INST 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 1 yd to the INST 41

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Wright run for no gain to the YSU 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ethan Wright run for no gain to the YSU 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Beau Brungard run for 1 yd to the YSU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Rashad Rochelle at the INST 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 3 yds to the INST 26

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.39

Elijah Owens run for 21 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 9 yds to the YSU 44

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.76

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 46

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Elijah Owens run for 2 yds to the YSU 44

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

(10:00) LAWRENCE, Plez rush to the left for no gain to the YSU44 (CENTOFANTI, Andrew), clock 09:55. PENALTY YSU Offsides on MARTIN, Dawan enforced 5 yards from the YSU44 to the YSU39 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 5 yds to the YSU 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.89

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 34 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 58 yds , Jawon Hall return for 19 yds to the YSU 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyshon King run for no gain to the YSU 26

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Beau Brungard run for 19 yds to the YSU 45 Youngstown State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Colt Sechrest) to the YSU 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rashad Rochelle at the INST 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Elijah Owens run for 1 yd to the INST 28

2nd & 9Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.98

Elijah Owens run for 54 yds to the YSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 3 yds to the YSU 15

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Devin Nelson run for 7 yds to the YSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Devin Nelson run for 4 yds to the YSU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Elijah Owens run for 4 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Ethan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the YSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Beau Brungard pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 7 yds to the YSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Elijah Owens pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for 13 yds to the INST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Elijah Owens run for 6 yds to the INST 37

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.44

Elijah Owens run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Elijah Owens pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 2 yds to the YSU 48

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Plez Lawrence run for 5 yds to the YSU 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the YSU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.92

Beau Brungard pass complete to Max Tomczak for 58 yds to the INST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(14:11) KING, Tyshon rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the INS32 (OSAFO, JP;SHERMAN, Jack), clock 14:08. PENALTY Before the snap, YSU Illegal Motion on DANDRIDGE, Richard enforced 5 yards from the INS30 to the INS35. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyshon King run for 7 yds to the INST 28

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tyshon King run for 6 yds to the INST 22

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyshon King run for 3 yds to the INST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Beau Brungard run for 2 yds to the INST 17

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyshon King run for a loss of 4 yards to the INST 21

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Andrew Lastovka 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the INST 18

2nd & 13Penalty+5 yds

(09:39) OWENS, Elijah pass short to the right incomplete intended for RIOS, Kai thrown to the INS22, clock 09:36. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on ZANDIER, Preston enforced at the spot of the foul for 5 yards to the INS23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Elijah Owens run for 3 yds to the INST 26

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the INST 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cyrus Traugh at the YSU 32

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Beau Brungard run for 10 yds to the YSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Beau Brungard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Beau Brungard pass complete to Jawon Hall for 5 yds to the YSU 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Beau Brungard pass complete to Ethan Wright for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brendon Kilpatrick punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Plez Lawrence run for 7 yds to the INST 15

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the INST 15

3rd & 3Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.92

Elijah Owens pass complete to Plez Lawrence for 47 yds to the YSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the YSU 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Elijah Owens pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 8 yds to the YSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 5 yds to the YSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Elijah Owens run for 12 yds to the YSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Owens run for no gain to the YSU 12

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Nehemiah Dukes run for a loss of 5 yards to the YSU 17

3rd & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.40

Elijah Owens sacked by Joe Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the YSU 25

4th & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Elijah Owens pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

[NHSG] Kneel down by BRUNGARD, Beau at YSU24 (team loss of 1), clock 01:28.

2nd & 11Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.48

(01:21) [NH] Kneel down by BRUNGARD, Beau at YSU15 (team loss of 9), clock 01:17.

3rd & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.03

(00:35) [NH] Kneel down by BRUNGARD, Beau at YSU14 (team loss of 1), clock 00:32.

Situational Analysis

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th