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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Dayton by 11.4

Home Win Probability

Indiana State 23%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Indiana State -10.5

Edge: Dayton +10.5 (21.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
0001313
Indiana State
777324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-724-13
Indiana StateDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISDAYISDAYISDAYDAYISDAYDAYISDAYISDAYISDAYISDAYISDAYISDAYISDAYISDAYISPUNT31ydPUNT523ydPUNT31ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-4ydTD1065ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT512ydTD65ydPUNT515ydPUNT36ydPUNT629ydEND2-3ydPUNT38ydPUNT519ydPUNT825ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-2ydTD432ydTD239ydPUNT32ydDOWNS849ydPUNT511ydDOWNS55ydFG617ydTD769ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Indiana State
StatisticDaytonIndiana State
Passing26-406-8
Pass Yards29112
Rush Yards3580
Total Yards32692
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-160-11
Penalties7-584-40
Possession33:0126:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Drew VanVleet
26/40, 291 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mason Hackett
17 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Jake Coleman
5 REC, 102 YDS
Indiana State
passing
Keegan Patterson
6/8, 12 YDS
rushing
Keegan Patterson
15 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Lance Rees
1 REC, 5 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Keegan Patterson run for 2 yds to the INST 27

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Keegan Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 9 yds to the DAY 38

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Mason Hackett run for 10 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 3 yds to the INST 48

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rashad Rochelle run for no gain to the INST 20

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the INST 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Keegan Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 67 yds, downed at the DAY 12

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyler Brown run for 7 yds to the DAY 19

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 21

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

VANVLEET, Drew pass short to the left complete for 3 yards to COLEMAN, Jake caught at the DAY24 and advanced to the DAY24 (HICKS, Keenan). PENALTY DAY Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on KEATHLEY, Alec enforced 5 yards from the DAY21 to the DAY16 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Drew VanVleet run for 4 yds to the DAY 20

4th & 2Punt+11 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 49 yds , Rashad Rochelle returns for 11 yds to the INST 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Keegan Patterson pass complete to Zavion Taylor for 4 yds to the INST 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 1 yd to the INST 47

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.56

Keegan Patterson sacked by Sam Schmiesing for a loss of 9 yards to the INST 38

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 42 yds, downed at the DAY 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Ty Stylski run for 6 yds to the DAY 26

2nd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.73

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 3 yds to the DAY 29 for a 1ST down Indiana State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the DAY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ty Stylski run for 2 yds to the DAY 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Mason Hackett for 9 yds to the INST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Drew VanVleet sacked by Jack Sherman for a loss of 8 yards to the DAY 47

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 7 yds to the INST 46

3rd & 11Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.17

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 29 yds to the INST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the INST 15

2nd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+90 ydsPPA -11.23

Drew VanVleet pass intercepted Jorge Valdes return for 90 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 63 yds , Paul Kelly return for 21 yds to the DAY 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Ty Stylski run for 1 yd to the DAY 24

2nd & 9Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.59

Drew VanVleet run for a loss of 8 yards to the DAY 16

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+3 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 35 yds , Rashad Rochelle returns for 3 yds to the DAY 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Keegan Patterson run for 3 yds to the DAY 45

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Keegan Patterson run for 9 yds to the DAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Plez Lawrence run for 1 yd to the DAY 35

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Indiana State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the DAY 40

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Keegan Patterson run for 5 yds to the DAY 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Keegan Patterson pass complete to Plez Lawrence for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 29 yds, downed at the DAY 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 8

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Mason Hackett run for 6 yds to the DAY 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 11 yds to the DAY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ty Stylski run for 7 yds to the DAY 32

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

STYLSKI, Ty rush to the left for a gain of 1 yard to the DAY33 (MILFORD, Kendrick;BROWN, Geoffrey). PENALTY DAY Holding on KOENNECKE, Colin enforced 10 yards from the DAY32 to the DAY22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 23

3rd & 12Fumble Return Touchdown+12 ydsPPA -6.79

Garret Ollendieck 12 Yd Fumble Return (Jake Andjelic Kick)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Indiana State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Harry Traum) to the DAY 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 64 yds , Gavin Lochow return for 23 yds to the DAY 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 12 yds to the DAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 40

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 24 yds, downed at the INST 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 36

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Keegan Patterson run for 2 yds to the INST 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keegan Patterson pass complete to Lance Rees for 5 yds to the INST 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 9 yds to the DAY 21

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.45

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 28 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Dayton Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Drew VanVleet) to the DAY 41

2nd & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for no gain to the DAY 41

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 34 yds, downed at the INST 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 24

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Plez Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the INST 22

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 5 yds to the DAY 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rashad Rochelle at the INST 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 3 yds to the INST 33

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.49

Keegan Patterson run for 9 yds to the INST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Keegan Patterson run for 5 yds to the INST 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 2 yds to the INST 49

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 39 yds, downed at the DAY 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 11 yds to the DAY 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mason Hackett run for no gain to the DAY 22

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Mason Hackett run for 10 yds to the DAY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew VanVleet run for 2 yds to the DAY 34

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 36

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Gavin Lochow run for 1 yd to the DAY 37

4th & 5Punt+5 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 45 yds , Rashad Rochelle returns for 5 yds to the INST 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the INST 23

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Keegan Patterson run for 4 yds to the INST 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keegan Patterson pass complete to BJ Wuest for 5 yds to the INST 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Paul Kelly at the DAY 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ty Stylski run for a loss of 2 yards to the DAY 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+15 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 35 yds , Rashad Rochelle returns for 15 yds to the DAY 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Keegan Patterson run for 3 yds to the DAY 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Keegan Patterson run for 2 yds to the DAY 27

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Plez Lawrence run for 4 yds to the DAY 23

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.52

Lance Rees run for 23 yds for a TD (Jake Andjelic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 64 yds , Luke Brenner return for 60 yds to the INST 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.94

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 32 yds to the INST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 7 yds for a TD (Danny Baker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

David Maurer kickoff for 65 yds , Rashad Rochelle return for 17 yds to the INST 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 1 yd to the INST 18

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Rashad Rochelle run for a loss of 2 yards to the INST 16

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Keegan Patterson pass complete to Kevin Barnett for 3 yds to the INST 19

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Harry Traum punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Paul Kelly at the DAY 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 11 yds to the INST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Drew VanVleet run for 11 yds to the INST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mason Hackett run for 4 yds to the INST 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 14 yds to the INST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

VANVLEET, Drew pass deep to the right incomplete intended for VRBANCIC, Dominic thrown to the INS0. PENALTY DAY Holding on CLYDE, Conor enforced 10 yards from the INS20 to the INS30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 6 yds to the INST 24

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 7 yds to the INST 17

4th & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -3.30

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 6 yds to the INST 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Keegan Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the INST 10

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.91

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 12 yds to the INST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Shen Butler-Lawson run for 4 yds to the INST 26

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Shen Butler-Lawson run for no gain to the INST 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Keegan Patterson pass complete to Rashad Rochelle for a loss of 4 yards to the INST 22

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Harry Traum punt for 44 yds , Paul Kelly returns for 2 yds to the DAY 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 3 yds to the DAY 39

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

VANVLEET, Drew pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for BRENNER, Luke broken up by HAUSER, Micah at the INS36. PENALTY INS Targeting on HAUSER, Micah enforced 15 yards from the DAY39 to the INS46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.35

Drew VanVleet sacked by Kendrick Milford for a loss of 9 yards to the DAY 45

3rd & 19Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.38

Drew VanVleet sacked by Geoffrey Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the DAY 41

4th & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.30

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.19

Keegan Patterson run for a loss of 6 yards to the DAY 47

2nd & 16Penalty+15 yds

Dayton Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the DAY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Plez Lawrence run for no gain to the DAY 28

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Keegan Patterson run for 1 yd to the DAY 27

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Keegan Patterson run for 3 yds to the DAY 24

4th & 6Field Goal Good+42 yds

Jake Andjelic 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Sebastian Lopez kickoff for 64 yds , Paul Kelly return for 30 yds to the DAY 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.99

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 22 yds to the INST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Drew VanVleet run for no gain to the INST 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.61

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 10 yds to the INST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 8 yds to the INST 29

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 10 yds to the INST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 19 yds for a TD (Danny Baker PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Kneel down by INS at DAY41 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
31 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Indiana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
6%
17 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play