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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois State by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Illinois State 58%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Illinois State -2.5

Edge: Illinois State -2.5 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Missouri StateMissouri State
17710741
Illinois State
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-170-247-31
Illinois StateMissouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISMSISISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSPUNT527ydTD480ydTD617ydPUNT35ydFG1131ydTO322ydTO727ydDOWNS1045ydTD965ydPUNT635ydPUNT637ydEND110ydTD775ydTD968ydUncategorized219yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri State and Illinois State
StatisticMissouri StateIllinois State
Passing19-2413-23
Pass Yards287152
Rush Yards4777
Total Yards334229
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-103-8
Penalties1-51-5
Possession19:1815:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri State
passing
Jacob Clark
19/24, 287 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacardia Wright
9 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
DVontae Key
2 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
Illinois State
passing
Jake Rubley
7/11, 94 YDS
rushing
Wenkers Wright
11 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Loyd
4 REC, 72 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Wenkers Wright run for 3 yds to the ILST 16

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

RITTENHOUSE, Tommy pass to the left complete for 4 yards to BARTOL, Mitch caught at the ILS16 and advanced to the ILS20 (O'NEAL, J.J.). PENALTY MOST Offsides on SMITH, Darion enforced 5 yards from the ILS16 to the ILS21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.49

Tommy Rittenhouse run for 21 yds to the ILST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Matt Lawson run for 3 yds to the ILST 45

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Illinois State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ILST 40

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+5 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 45 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 5 yds to the MOST 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 4 yds to the MOST 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the MOST 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.74

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 11 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 62 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Wenkers Wright run for 3 yds to the ILST 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.92

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 20 yds to the ILST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Wenkers Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Wenkers Wright for no gain to the MOST 48

3rd & 6Fumble Return Touchdown+42 ydsPPA -8.68

Michael Teason 42 Yd Fumble Return (Y. Obeid Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 4 yds to the ILST 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Wenkers Wright run for 1 yd to the ILST 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+21 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 31 yds , Hunter Wood returns for 21 yds to the ILST 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 9 yds to the ILST 31

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jacob Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the ILST 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Lair run for 1 yd to the ILST 31

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the ILST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 5 yds to the ILST 22

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the ILST 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 7 yds to the ILST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.62

Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 9 yards to the ILST 23 Jacardia Wright fumbled, recovered by MOST Jacardia Wright J. Wright return for 0 yds

3rd & 19Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Jacob Clark run for 14 yds to the ILST 9

4th & 5Field Goal Good+26 yds

Yousef Obeid 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.25

Jake Rubley pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 27 yds to the ILST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jake Rubley run for no gain to the ILST 46

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Wenkers Wright run for a loss of 5 yards to the ILST 41 Wenkers Wright fumbled, recovered by MOST Ryan Williams R. Williams return for 0 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.78

Jacob Clark sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line Jacob Clark fumbled, recovered by MOST , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 12 yds to the ILST 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.82

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 15 yds to the ILST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden Becks run for 2 yds to the ILST 21

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.05

Jacob Clark run for a loss of 4 yards to the ILST 25

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Jacob Clark run for 11 yds to the ILST 14

4th & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.90

Jacob Clark pass intercepted, touchback. Teon Parks return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Jake Rubley pass complete to Eddie Kasper for 10 yds to the ILST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh Robinson run for 2 yds to the ILST 32

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jake Rubley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.39

Jake Rubley pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 11 yds to the ILST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Matt Lawson run for 6 yds to the ILST 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jake Rubley pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 8 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jake Rubley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jake Rubley pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 8 yds to the MOST 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Matt Lawson run for 1 yd to the MOST 34

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.63

Tommy Rittenhouse run for a loss of 1 yard to the MOST 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jayden Becks run for 9 yds to the MOST 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.76

Jacob Clark pass complete to Hunter Wood for 18 yds to the ILST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jayden Becks run for 6 yds to the ILST 32

2nd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.58

Jacob Clark sacked by LaVoise-Deontae McCoy for a loss of 4 yards to the ILST 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 13 yds to the ILST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jacardia Wright run for 3 yds to the ILST 20

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Jacob Clark sacked by Jake Anderson and Jake Siegal for a loss of 4 yards to the ILST 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 12 yds to the ILST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 12 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.81

Jake Rubley pass complete to Xavier Loyd for 21 yds to the ILST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Jake Rubley pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 9 yds to the MOST 48

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.17

Wenkers Wright run for 5 yds to the MOST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Wenkers Wright run for no gain to the MOST 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jake Rubley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Rubley pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hayden Futch punt for 41 yds, downed at the MOST 2

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the MOST 10

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Jacardia Wright run for 8 yds to the MOST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.06

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 15 yds to the MOST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jayden Becks for 2 yds to the MOST 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Burkett punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eddie Kasper at the ILST 19

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Seth Glatz run for 10 yds to the ILST 29 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Jacob Clark pass complete to Lance Mason for 13 yds to the MOST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the MOST 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jacob Clark pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.98

Jacob Clark pass complete to Jmariyae Robinson for 18 yds to the ILST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.87

Jacob Clark pass complete to Dash Luke for 32 yds to the ILST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jacob Clark pass complete to James BlackStrain for 8 yds for a TD (Yousef Obeid KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Wenkers Wright run for 7 yds to the MOST 43

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Wenkers Wright run for 9 yds to the MOST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Daniel Sobkowicz for 10 yds to the MOST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Rittenhouse pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Tommy Rittenhouse pass complete to Mitch Bartol for 6 yds to the MOST 18

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Wenkers Wright run for 9 yds to the MOST 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Wenkers Wright run for 9 yds for a TD (Ian Wagner KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Becks run for no gain to the MOST 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Jacob Clark pass complete to DVontae Key for 19 yds to the MOST 44 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
19 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Illinois State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
20 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play