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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 19.1

Home Win Probability

Mercer 88%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Mercer -13

Edge: Mercer -13 (6.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Princeton
07007
Mercer
17031434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-018-720-727-734-7
MercerPrinceton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PRIMERPRIMERPRIPRIMERPRIPRIMERPRIMERPRIMERPRIMERMERPRIMERPRIMERPRIMERPRIMERPRIMERPUNT34ydFG954ydPUNT33ydPUNT516ydTD38ydTO437ydPUNT56ydTD1-24ydPUNT38ydPUNT549ydPUNT3-4ydTO3-11ydTO30ydTO517ydTD833ydEND315ydPUNT35ydTO641ydFG975ydTO764ydTD880ydTO10ydMISS513ydPUNT531ydTD535ydPUNT30ydEND52yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Princeton and Mercer
StatisticPrincetonMercer
Passing8-2116-28
Pass Yards109195
Rush Yards87181
Total Yards196376
Turnovers62
3rd Down3-122-12
Penalties4-295-54
Possession26:5233:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Princeton
passing
Blaine Hipa
8/21, 109 YDS, 4 INT
rushing
Ethan Clark
21 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
AJ Barber
3 REC, 51 YDS
Mercer
passing
Whitt Newbauer
7/11, 125 YDS
rushing
Dwayne Mcgee
19 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Parker Wroble
3 REC, 48 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 52 yds , Kenny Jordan return for 8 yds to the PRIN 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Ethan Clark for 4 yds to the PRIN 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Dwayne Mcgee run for 10 yds to the MER 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Micah Bell run for 12 yds to the PRIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hess Horne pass complete to Brayden Smith for 5 yds to the PRIN 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.56

Hess Horne pass complete to Sawyer Burt for 15 yds to the PRIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Hess Horne pass complete to Dwayne Mcgee for 11 yds to the PRIN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dwayne Mcgee run for 2 yds to the PRIN 9

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dwayne Mcgee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRIN 10

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Hess Horne pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Reice Griffith 27 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 55 yds , Kenny Jordan return for 29 yds to the PRIN 39 Kenny Jordan fumbled out of bounds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ethan Clark run for 3 yds to the PRIN 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 34 yds, downed at the MER 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brayden Smith run for 5 yds to the MER 29

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dwayne Mcgee run for 3 yds to the MER 32

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Princeton Penalty, Offsides (Lance Reaves-Hicks) to the MER 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hess Horne pass complete to Kendall Harris for 4 yds to the MER 41

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Dwayne Mcgee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MER 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hess Horne pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

John McConnell punt for 55 yds, downed at the PRIN 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ethan Clark run for 4 yds to the PRIN 9

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Blaine Hipa run for 2 yds to the PRIN 11

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 2 yds to the PRIN 13

4th & 2Punt Return Touchdown+49 ydsPPA -6.77

Brayden Smith 49 Yd Punt Return (Reice Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Clark run for no gain to the PRIN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.37

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Jalen Geer for 31 yds to the MER 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ethan Clark run for no gain to the MER 44

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -2.62

Blaine Hipa run for 6 yds to the MER 38 Blaine Hipa fumbled, recovered by MER Ken Standley K. Standley return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Hess Horne pass complete to Parker Wroble for 13 yds to the PRIN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

CJ Miller run for 12 yds to the PRIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hess Horne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Mercer Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the MER 48

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Hess Horne pass incomplete

3rd & 25Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.28

Hess Horne sacked by AJ Pigford for a loss of 4 yards to the MER 44

4th & 29Punt+9 yds

John McConnell punt for 41 yds , AJ Barber returns for 9 yds to the PRIN 24

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.85

Brayden Dudley 0 Yd Fumble Return (Reice Griffith Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 55 yds , Kenny Jordan return for 21 yds to the PRIN 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ethan Clark run for 5 yds to the PRIN 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ethan Clark run for 3 yds to the PRIN 39

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Blaine Hipa run for no gain to the PRIN 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 58 yds, downed at the MER 3

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.26

Dwayne Mcgee run for 27 yds to the MER 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Dwayne Mcgee run for 16 yds to the MER 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hess Horne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyrell Coard run for 6 yds to the PRIN 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hess Horne pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

John McConnell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by AJ Barber at the PRIN 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty-28 yds

CLARK, Brady punt 28 yards to the PRI36, fair catch by SMITH, Brayden, clock 11:06. PENALTY Before the snap, PRI Illegal Formation on BARBER, AJ enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the PRI8 to the PRI4. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Mercer Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kendall Harris) to the PRIN 46

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Hess Horne pass complete to Kendall Harris for 6 yds to the PRIN 40

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.67

Hess Horne sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the PRIN 48 Hess Horne fumbled, recovered by PRIN AJ Pigford , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ethan Clark run for no gain to the PRIN 48

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Blaine Hipa pass intercepted TJ Moore return for 1 yd to the MER 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CJ Miller run for 5 yds to the MER 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Hess Horne pass complete to CJ Miller for 7 yds to the MER 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dwayne Mcgee run for no gain to the MER 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hess Horne pass complete to CJ Miller for 5 yds to the MER 33

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+15 ydsPPA -0.39

Hess Horne pass intercepted Torian Roberts return for 15 yds to the MER 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ethan Clark run for 5 yds to the MER 28

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Ethan Clark run for 8 yds to the MER 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ethan Clark run for 6 yds to the MER 14

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Blaine Hipa run for 3 yds to the MER 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Ethan Clark run for 2 yds to the MER 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kenny Jordan run for no gain to the MER 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Simon Brackin for 8 yds to the MER 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ethan Clark 1 Yd Run (Sam Massick Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 65 yds , Brayden Smith return for 15 yds to the MER 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyrell Coard run for 4 yds to the MER 19

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Tyrell Coard run for 13 yds to the MER 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Tyrell Coard run for a loss of 2 yards to the MER 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Dwayne Mcgee run for 1 yd to the MER 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Hess Horne pass complete to Dwayne Mcgee for 4 yds to the MER 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hess Horne pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

John McConnell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by AJ Barber at the PRIN 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 8 yds to the PRIN 23

2nd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Ethan Clark run for 22 yds to the PRIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Princeton Penalty, False Start (Luke Colella) to the PRIN 40

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ethan Clark run for 5 yds to the PRIN 45

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Ethan Clark run for 3 yds to the PRIN 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.40

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Connor Hulstein for 8 yds to the MER 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.59

Blaine Hipa pass intercepted TJ Moore return for no gain to the MER 21

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Dwayne Mcgee run for 7 yds to the MER 28

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Dwayne Mcgee run for 5 yds to the MER 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kelin Parsons run for 3 yds to the MER 36

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.13

Dwayne Mcgee run for 16 yds to the PRIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.16

Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Brayden Smith for 37 yds to the PRIN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Dwayne Mcgee run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRIN 12

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Parker Wroble for 3 yds to the PRIN 9

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Kelin Parsons for 5 yds to the PRIN 4

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Reice Griffith 21 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 55 yds , Kenny Jordan return for 15 yds to the PRIN 25

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Ethan Clark run for 36 yds to the MER 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ethan Clark run for 3 yds to the MER 36

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ethan Clark run for 4 yds to the MER 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ethan Clark run for 2 yds to the MER 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Ethan Clark run for 2 yds to the MER 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

HIPA, Blaine pass deep to the right incomplete intended for FALATEA, Tamatoa broken up by DOWLING, Isaac at the MER0. PENALTY MER Pass Interference on DOWLING, Isaac enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the MER14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ethan Clark run for 3 yds to the MER 11

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.35

Blaine Hipa pass intercepted, touchback. Myles Redding return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

CJ Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the MER 18

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Whitt Newbauer run for 6 yds to the MER 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.71

Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Apollos Cook for 21 yds to the MER 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dwayne Mcgee run for 4 yds to the MER 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Tyrell Coard for 13 yds to the PRIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.54

Dwayne Mcgee run for 23 yds to the PRIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Adjatay Dabbs for 14 yds to the PRIN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dwayne Mcgee 1 Yd Run (Reice Griffith Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Bryce Addison kickoff for 57 yds , Kenny Jordan return for 21 yds to the PRIN 29

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -1.22

Blaine Hipa pass intercepted TJ Moore return for 21 yds to the PRIN 44

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mercer Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PRIN 49

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Princeton Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Rocco Marcelino) to the PRIN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Whitt Newbauer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Whitt Newbauer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Whitt Newbauer pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Reice Griffith 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Luke Colella for 7 yds to the PRIN 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.29

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 41 yds to the MER 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Blaine Hipa sacked by Brayden Manley for a loss of 3 yards to the MER 24

3rd & 13Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.04

Blaine Hipa sacked by Arias Nash and Andrew Zock for a loss of 14 yards to the MER 38

4th & 27Punt+64 yds

Brady Clark punt for 37 yds , Brayden Smith returns for 64 yds to the PRIN 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Dwayne Mcgee run for 1 yd to the PRIN 34

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Dwayne Mcgee run for 1 yd to the PRIN 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Whitt Newbauer pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +4.24

Whitt Newbauer pass complete to Parker Wroble for 32 yds to the PRIN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Whitt Newbauer 1 Yd Run (Reice Griffith Kick)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Blaine Hipa sacked by Brayden Dudley and Caden Camese for a loss of 1 yard to the PRIN 34

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kenny Jordan run for 3 yds to the PRIN 37

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.51

Blaine Hipa sacked by Christian Hanson for a loss of 2 yards to the PRIN 35

4th & 10Punt+21 yds

Brady Clark punt for 34 yds , Brayden Smith returns for 21 yds to the PRIN 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Micah Bell run for 4 yds to the PRIN 44

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Micah Bell run for 5 yds to the PRIN 39

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

CJ Miller run for 7 yds to the PRIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BELL, Micah rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the PRI30 (ETIENNE, JR., Casey), out of bounds. PENALTY MER Holding on WROBLE, Parker enforced 10 yards from the PRI32 to the PRI42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at PRI44 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 22Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at PRI46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
18%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
48%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
71%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play