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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Tennessee State by 18.9

Home Win Probability

VMI 12%

Market (ESPN Bet)

VMI +16.5

Edge: East Tennessee State -16.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Tennessee State
3103016
VMI
30339

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-33-103-166-169-16
VMIEast Tennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSVMIETSFG957ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydFG950ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS1041ydPUNT729ydTO422ydPUNT611ydTD617ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydFG854ydFG1149ydFG1245ydPUNT48ydFG936ydPUNT38ydDOWNS563ydPUNT1044ydDOWNS67ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Tennessee State and VMI
StatisticEast Tennessee StateVMI
Passing15-2510-28
Pass Yards11962
Rush Yards195202
Total Yards314264
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-175-17
Penalties1-103-20
Possession29:2130:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Tennessee State
passing
Baylor Hayes
15/25, 119 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Devontae Houston
18 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Karim Page
4 REC, 39 YDS
VMI
passing
JoJo Crump
10/28, 62 YDS
rushing
JoJo Crump
11 CAR, 126 YDS
receiving
Morgan McPhaul
2 REC, 19 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ewan Johnson kickoff for 64 yds , Destin Moore return for 21 yds to the VMI 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the VMI 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Trace Pedigo

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.16

JoJo Crump pass complete to Aslin Shipe for 14 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

JoJo Crump run for 1 yd to the VMI 40

2nd & 9Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.12

JoJo Crump run for 39 yds to the ETSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hunter Rice run for no gain to the ETSU 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

JoJo Crump pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Ryan von Brandt

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 yds

Caden Beck 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jack Joyce kickoff for 54 yds , Khamran Laborn return for 16 yds to the ETSU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Bryson Irby for 1 yd to the ETSU 28

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bryson Irby run for 5 yds to the ETSU 33

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Xavier Gaillardetz run for no gain to the ETSU 33

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Ivan Thorpe at the VMI 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the VMI 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

JoJo Crump pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 2 yds to the VMI 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Hunter Rice

4th & 5Punt+7 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 34 yds , Xavier Gaillardetz returns for 7 yds to the ETSU 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Xavier Gaillardetz

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Karim Page

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Baylor Hayes run for 9 yds to the VMI 46

4th & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.78

Devontae Houston run for 19 yds to the VMI 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Devontae Houston run for 20 yds to the VMI 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the VMI 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Eric Ruess

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Travien Watson

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Ewan Johnson 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ewan Johnson kickoff for 63 yds , Destin Moore return for 21 yds to the VMI 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

JoJo Crump run for no gain to the VMI 23

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

JoJo Crump run for no gain to the VMI 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

JoJo Crump pass complete to Aslin Shipe for 2 yds to the VMI 21

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 4 yds to the ETSU 43

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Bryson Irby run for 9 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Bryson Irby for 5 yds to the VMI 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Baylor Hayes run for 2 yds to the VMI 41

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.19

Khamran Laborn run for 5 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Khamran Laborn run for 12 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Karim Page

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Devontae Houston run for 7 yds to the VMI 17

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Devontae Houston run for no gain to the VMI 17

4th & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.63

Ephraim Floyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

JoJo Crump pass complete to Egypt Nelson for 12 yds to the VMI 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 34

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.68

JoJo Crump pass complete to Morgan McPhaul for 16 yds to the ETSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Rice,Hunter rush right for 4 yards gain to the ETSU42 (Sims,Cam) PENALTY VMI Holding (Inge,Tommy) 10 yards from ETSU46 to VMI44. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Egypt Nelson

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Julio DaSilva

2nd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

JoJo Crump pass complete to Julio DaSilva for 5 yds to the VMI 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Xavier Gaillardetz at the ETSU 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the ETSU 20

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryson Irby run for no gain to the ETSU 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.26

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 19 yds to the ETSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -2.14

Baylor Hayes pass intercepted Asa Locks return for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

JoJo Crump pass complete to Ivan Thorpe for 4 yds to the VMI 17

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

JoJo Crump pass complete to Trace Pedigo for 4 yds to the VMI 21

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Hunter Rice run for 3 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

JoJo Crump pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Max Cullen

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Morgan McPhaul

4th & 10Blocked Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt blocked by Parker Self blocked by Parker Self Shrewsbury,Ben punt 0 yards to the VMI24 blocked by Self,Parker recovered by VMI Artis,Dahmon at VMI17, End Of Play.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devontae Houston run for 4 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devontae Houston run for 5 yds to the VMI 8

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the VMI 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Jonathan Burns for 3 yds to the VMI 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the VMI 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Bryson Irby run for 1 yd for a TD (Ewan Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Ewan Johnson kickoff for 60 yds , Destin Moore return for 32 yds to the VMI 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 39

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 41

3rd & 6Rush-11 ydsPPA -1.09

Destin Moore run for a loss of 11 yards to the VMI 30

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ETSU 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Khamran Laborn run for 2 yds to the ETSU 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Khamran Laborn for 5 yds to the ETSU 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Ephraim Floyd

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 39 yds , Ivan Thorpe returns for no gain to the VMI 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Ryan von Brandt

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Julio DaSilva

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Hunter Rice

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Ben Shrewsbury punt for 47 yds , Xavier Gaillardetz returns for 12 yds to the ETSU 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Devontae Houston for 10 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Devontae Houston for 2 yds to the VMI 46

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devontae Houston run for 5 yds to the VMI 41

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.23

Devontae Houston run for 6 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Xavier Gaillardetz for 20 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for 11 yds to the VMI 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Xavier Gaillardetz

2nd & 4Field Goal Good+20 yds

Ewan Johnson 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 4End of Half-61 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Jack Joyce kickoff for 65 yds , Khamran Laborn return for 28 yds to the ETSU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Karim Page for 10 yds to the ETSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Bryson Irby run for 7 yds to the ETSU 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Bryson Irby run for no gain to the ETSU 45

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Baylor Hayes run for 4 yds to the ETSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Karim Page for 12 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Devontae Houston run for 8 yds to the VMI 31

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.20

Devontae Houston run for 5 yds to the VMI 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Ephraim Floyd for no gain to the VMI 26

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Devontae Houston run for 3 yds to the VMI 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete to Ephraim Floyd

4th & 7Field Goal Good+40 yds

Ewan Johnson 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

JoJo Crump run for 15 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the VMI 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the VMI 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.75

JoJo Crump pass complete to Morgan McPhaul for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

JoJo Crump run for 2 yds to the ETSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the ETSU 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

JoJo Crump run for 4 yds to the ETSU 44

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Hunter Rice run for 10 yds to the ETSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Hunter Rice

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the ETSU 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Morgan McPhaul

4th & 6Field Goal Good+48 yds

Caden Beck 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Khamran Laborn run for 11 yds to the ETSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Khamran Laborn run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETSU 34

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Devontae Houston run for 2 yds to the ETSU 36

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Hayes,Baylor pass complete short left to Houston,Devontae caught at ETSU31, for 8 yards to the ETSU44 (Jones,Shamus) PENALTY ETSU Holding (Watson,Travien) 10 yards from ETSU36 to ETSU26. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryson Irby run for 7 yds to the ETSU 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nate Brackett punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Ethen Horne

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Hunter Rice run for 9 yds to the VMI 43

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.55

Hunter Rice run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Hunter Rice run for 6 yds to the ETSU 44

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Hunter Rice run for 7 yds to the ETSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Hunter Rice run for 4 yds to the ETSU 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

JoJo Crump run for 2 yds to the ETSU 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the ETSU 30

4th & 3Field Goal Good+48 yds

Caden Beck 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Jack Joyce kickoff for 55 yds , Khamran Laborn return for 20 yds to the ETSU 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Bryson Irby run for 1 yd to the ETSU 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Karim Page for 8 yds to the ETSU 39

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Bryson Irby run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETSU 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Baylor Hayes punt for 62 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.67

JoJo Crump run for 54 yds to the ETSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

JoJo Crump run for 6 yds to the ETSU 20

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Julio DaSilva

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Hunter Rice run for 2 yds to the ETSU 18

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.66

Hunter Rice run for 1 yd to the ETSU 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Devontae Houston run for 9 yds to the ETSU 26

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Baylor Hayes pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.92

Devontae Houston run for 5 yds to the ETSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Devontae Houston run for no gain to the ETSU 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Baylor Hayes pass complete to Karim Page for 9 yds to the ETSU 40

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Devontae Houston run for 1 yd to the ETSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Bryson Irby run for 13 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Bryson Irby run for 3 yds to the VMI 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the VMI 41

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Bryson Irby run for 2 yds to the VMI 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Baylor Hayes punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Hunter Rice run for 5 yds to the VMI 7

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Hunter Rice run for 5 yds to the VMI 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Crump,JoJo rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VMI15 (Coney,Ray) PENALTY VMI Holding (Holtz,Cole) 6 yards from VMI12 to VMI06. NO PLAY.

1st & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

JoJo Crump run for 3 yds to the VMI 9

2nd & 13Penalty-4 yds

PENALTY VMI False Start (Holtz,Cole) 4 yards from VMI09 to VMI05. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

JoJo Crump pass complete to Ryan von Brandt for 4 yds to the VMI 9

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

JoJo Crump pass incomplete

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.38

JoJo Crump pass incomplete to Egypt Nelson

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kneel down by ETSU at VMI10 for loss of 1 yard.

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kneel down by ETSU at VMI11 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
70%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
15%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play