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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 16.3

Home Win Probability

Montana State 82%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Montana State -16.5

Edge: Montana +16.5 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana
030811
Montana State
7137734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-317-320-327-3
Montana StateMontana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONTD1475ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-2ydFG624ydTD665ydPUNT416ydPUNT36ydPUNT59ydFG960ydDOWNS830ydFG524ydPUNT826ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS48ydPUNT37ydTD495ydEND727yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana and Montana State
StatisticMontanaMontana State
Passing17-306-12
Pass Yards10094
Rush Yards106241
Total Yards206335
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-105-10
Penalties6-452-15
Possession18:2524:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana
passing
Logan Fife
17/29, 100 YDS
rushing
Nick Ostmo
4 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Keelan White
5 REC, 54 YDS
Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
6/12, 94 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Adam Jones
18 CAR, 143 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rohan Jones
2 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the MTST 33

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Julius Davis run for 10 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Julius Davis run for 8 yds to the MONT 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Adam Jones run for 3 yds to the MONT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the MONT 41

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Montana Penalty, Offsides (Vai Kaho) to the MONT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the MONT 35

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper MELLOTT, Tommy rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the UMT25 (LEE, Jaxon). PENALTY MSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the UMT35 to the UMT45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Julius Davis run for 12 yds to the MONT 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 7 yds to the MONT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Adam Jones run for 7 yds to the MONT 19

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.13

Adam Jones run for 8 yds to the MONT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tommy Mellott run for 5 yds to the MONT 6

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Julius Davis run for 1 yd to the MONT 5

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Tommy Mellott run for 5 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Fife pass complete to Nick Ostmo for 3 yds to the MONT 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 8 yds to the MONT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the MONT 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Fife pass complete to Eli Gillman for 5 yds to the MONT 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 46 yds, downed at the MTST 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Julius Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTST 10

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Julius Davis run for 5 yds to the MTST 15

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MTST 10

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Logan Fife pass complete to Keelan White for 8 yds to the MTST 46

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.42

Nick Ostmo run for 15 yds to the MTST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

OSTMO, Nick rush up the middle for no gain to the MSU31 (O'REILLY, McCade;BROTT, Paul), clock 00:00. PENALTY UMT Block below the waist enforced 15 yards from the MSU31 to the MSU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.74

Xavier Harris run for 21 yds to the MTST 25

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Eli Gillman run for no gain to the MTST 25

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MTST 30

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Ty Morrison 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Montana Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Adam Jones run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the MONT 46

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Adam Jones run for 9 yds to the MONT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the MONT 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.34

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 35 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Logan Fife pass complete to Keelan White for 11 yds to the MONT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the MONT 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Logan Fife pass complete to Eli Gillman for 1 yd to the MONT 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the MTST 32

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the MTST 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 66 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Nick Ostmo run for 7 yds to the MONT 17

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Nick Ostmo run for 9 yds to the MONT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 3 yds to the MONT 29

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.47

Logan Fife sacked by Zac Crews and Kenneth Eiden IV for a loss of 10 yards to the MONT 19

4th & 17Punt+5 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 56 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 5 yds to the MTST 30

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Tommy Mellott run for 12 yds to the MTST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Ty McCullouch run for 9 yds to the MONT 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the MONT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.09

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 36 yds to the MONT 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Adam Jones run for 1 yd to the MONT 10

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Adam Jones run for no gain to the MONT 10

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Myles Sansted 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 3 yds to the MONT 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Logan Fife pass complete to Nick Ostmo for 8 yds to the MONT 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.19

Logan Fife pass complete to Keelan White for 12 yds to the MONT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 7 yds to the MTST 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Logan Fife pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Tommy Mellott run for 8 yds to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Adam Jones for 4 yds to the MONT 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 6 yds to the MONT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+49 yds

Myles Sansted 49 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Logan Fife pass complete to Keelan White for 7 yds to the MONT 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the MONT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.52

Logan Fife run for 22 yds to the MTST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Junior Bergen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Ostmo run for 4 yds to the MTST 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Logan Fife pass complete to Eli Gillman for a loss of 6 yards to the MTST 44

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MTST 49

4th & 17Punt+11 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 39 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 11 yds to the MTST 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Adam Jones run for no gain to the MTST 21

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Adam Jones run for 8 yds to the MTST 29

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Adam Jones run for 1 yd to the MTST 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 45 yds, downed at the MONT 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 2 yds to the MONT 27

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.80

Logan Fife sacked by Paul Brott for a loss of 9 yards to the MONT 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 4 yds to the MONT 22

4th & 13Punt+15 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 46 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 15 yds to the MTST 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Adam Jones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tommy Mellott run for 5 yds to the MONT 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the MONT 44

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.66

Tommy Mellott run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONT 45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Aaron Fontes run for 8 yds to the MTST 47

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Eli Gillman run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 43 yds, downed at the MTST 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Adam Jones run for no gain to the MTST 5

2nd & 10Rush+88 ydsPPA +5.00

Adam Jones run for 88 yds to the MONT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Colson Coon run for 4 yds to the MONT 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Adam Jones run for 3 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Fife run for 4 yds to the MONT 29

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Eli Gillman run for 13 yds to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the MONT 46

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.04

Logan Fife run for 6 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MTST 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Logan Fife pass complete to Keelan White for 16 yds to the MTST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Logan Fife pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 8 yds to the MTST 22

Situational Analysis

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play