Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Arizona by 28.8

Home Win Probability

Northern Colorado 5%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Northern Colorado +19.5

Edge: Northern Arizona -19.5 (9.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
77161444
Northern Colorado
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428426-73-143-37
Northern ColoradoNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCNANCNANANCNANCNCNANANCNANCNANCNANCNANCNAFG1271ydTD763ydPUNT517ydTO952ydTD652ydPUNT514ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT43ydPUNT35ydMISS1045ydTD1075ydPUNT33ydTD463ydPUNT32ydPUNT36ydSAF1-3ydTD953ydTO742ydTD869ydPUNT311ydUncategorized740yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Northern Colorado
StatisticNorthern ArizonaNorthern Colorado
Passing19-228-15
Pass Yards21857
Rush Yards31778
Total Yards535135
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-91-8
Penalties9-1052-13
Possession37:5522:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Ty Pennington
17/20, 193 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Seth Cromwell
17 CAR, 155 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryzai White
7 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
Northern Colorado
passing
Kia'i Keone
7/14, 44 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Caden Meis
10 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
David Afari
2 REC, 30 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Caden Meis run for 7 yds to the UNCO 32

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Caden Meis run for 16 yds to the UNCO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the NAU 49

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.54

Caden Meis run for 17 yds to the NAU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Caden Meis run for 5 yds to the NAU 27

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Vann Schield run for 7 yds to the NAU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Caden Meis run for 9 yds to the NAU 11

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Caden Meis run for 3 yds to the NAU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Caden Meis run for 3 yds to the NAU 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Caden Meis run for 1 yd to the NAU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Charles Garrison, broken up by DJ VanHook

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Keagan Zabilla 21 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Keagan Zabilla kickoff for 63 yds , J'Wan Evans return for 35 yds to the NAU 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 12 yds to the NAU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Seth Cromwell run for 4 yds to the UNCO 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Ty Pennington pass complete to Xander Werner for 6 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.67

Ty Pennington pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 25 yds to the UNCO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 7 yds to the UNCO 9

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.57

Ty Pennington run for 5 yds to the UNCO 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ty Pennington 4 Yd Run (Samuel Hunsaker Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kia'i Keone run for 5 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Jordan Hornbeak run for 5 yds to the UNCO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to River Stout

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kia'i Keone run for 4 yds to the UNCO 39

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Hornbeak run for 3 yds to the UNCO 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cash Cheeks punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 6 yds to the UNCO 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Cromwell run for 1 yd to the NAU 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 6 yds to the NAU 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.55

Ty Pennington pass complete to Seth Cromwell for 9 yds to the NAU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.01

Seth Cromwell run for 25 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Ty Pennington run for 5 yds to the UNCO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Ty Pennington sacked by Ezra Ekuban for a loss of 4 yards to the UNCO 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 4 yds to the UNCO 28

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.02

Ty Pennington pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

J'Wan Evans run for 5 yds to the UNCO 47

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

J'Wan Evans run for 10 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 5 yds to the UNCO 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.40

Ty Pennington pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 16 yds to the UNCO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

J'Wan Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 17

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.97

Bryzai White 17 Yd pass from Ty Pennington (Samuel Hunsaker Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Kia'i Keone run for 8 yds to the UNCO 11

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.10

Caden Meis run for 5 yds to the UNCO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Caden Meis run for 1 yd to the UNCO 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for 4 yds to the UNCO 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.32

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Jordan Hornbeak for a loss of 4 yards to the UNCO 17

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Cash Cheeks punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.38

Ty Pennington sacked by Ezra Ekuban for a loss of 8 yards to the NAU 35

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Ty Pennington run for 2 yds to the NAU 37

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Bryzai White Northern Arizona Penalty, intentional grounding (Ty Pennington) to the NAU 37

4th & 16Punt+44 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 49 yds , Brayden Munroe returns for 44 yds to the UNCO 19 Northern Colorado Penalty, illegal block (Jordan Davis) to the UNCO 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kia'i Keone run for a loss of 13 yards to the UNCO 35 for a 1ST down Northern Arizona Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Alex McLaughlin) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the NAU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Carver Cheeks for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Ryder MacGillivray

4th & 9Punt0 yds

punt for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 5 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Jordan Riles

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Cash Cheeks, broken up by Christopher Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cash Cheeks punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Seth Cromwell run for 2 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Seth Cromwell run for 7 yds to the NAU 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Seth Cromwell run for 4 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.61

Ty Pennington pass complete to Seth Cromwell for 22 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Seth Cromwell run for 10 yds to the UNCO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Seth Cromwell run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Myseth Currie

3rd & 9Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -3.25

Ty Pennington pass complete to Myseth Currie for no gain to the UNCO 26 Northern Arizona Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Seth Cromwell) to the UNCO 26

3rd & 24Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 14 yds to the UNCO 27

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Samuel Hunsaker 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Cromwell run for 5 yds to the NAU 30

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Seth Cromwell run for 14 yds to the NAU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Seth Cromwell run for 8 yds to the UNCO 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Ty Pennington pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 3 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 13 yds to the UNCO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Isaiah Eastman run for 6 yds to the UNCO 26

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.19

J'Wan Evans run for 23 yds to the UNCO 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

J'Wan Evans run for 2 yds to the UNCO 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, false start (Isaiah Gerena) to the UNCO 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

J'Wan Evans run for 4 yds to the UNCO 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

J'Wan Evans run for 2 yds for a TD (Samuel Hunsaker KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kia'i Keone run for no gain to the UNCO 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Hornbeak run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

pass incomplete to Ryder MacGillivray

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Cash Cheeks punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.18

Seth Cromwell run for 31 yds to the UNCO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Cromwell run for 5 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Seth Cromwell run for 9 yds to the UNCO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Myseth Currie 18 Yd pass from Ty Pennington (Samuel Hunsaker Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kia'i Keone run for 2 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.78

Kia'i Keone sacked by Canyon Moses for a loss of 8 yards to the UNCO 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Kia'i Keone pass complete to David Afari for 8 yds to the UNCO 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cash Cheeks punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.70

J'Wan Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Ty Pennington pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 10 yds to the NAU 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Ethen Cluff

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, false start (Tama Tuitele) to the UNCO 3

1st & 13Safety-3 ydsPPA -1.88

J. Hornbeak run for -3 yds for a SAFETY

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

PJ London run for 5 yds to the UNCO 22

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Keagan Zabilla kickoff for 45 yds , Evan Morris return for 27 yds to the NAU 47

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.35

Seth Cromwell run for 26 yds to the UNCO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Seth Cromwell run for no gain to the UNCO 27

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

PJ London run for 4 yds to the UNCO 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.73

PJ London pass complete to Xander Werner for 6 yds to the UNCO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-18 ydsPPA -3.06

J'Wan Evans run for a loss of 8 yards to the UNCO 25 Northern Arizona Penalty, Offensive holding (Seth Smith) to the UNCO 27

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Canyon Moses run for no gain to the UNCO 22

3rd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.53

PJ London pass complete to Isaiah Gerena for 19 yds to the UNCO 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Seth Cromwell 3 Yd Run (Samuel Hunsaker Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kia'i Keone run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.92

Kia'i Keone sacked by Braeden Kaczmarek for a loss of 8 yards to the UNCO 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.73

Kia'i Keone pass complete to David Afari for 22 yds to the UNCO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

David Afari run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.51

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks for a 1ST down Northern Arizona Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cameron Babineaux) to the NAU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 11 yds to the NAU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception+15 ydsPPA -4.10

Kia'i Keone pass intercepted Northern Arizona Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (DJ VanHook) to the NAU 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Isaiah Lopez run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 30

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Isaiah Lopez run for 13 yds to the NAU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Ethen Cluff run for 8 yds to the UNCO 49

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Isaiah Lopez run for 6 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Isaiah Lopez run for 12 yds to the UNCO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.63

Cade Berger run for 29 yds to the UNCO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kyler Kruck run for 1 yd to the UNCO 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kyler Kruck 1 Yd Run (Samuel Hunsaker Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 71 yds , Justin Guin return for 28 yds to the UNCO 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Jonah Chong pass complete to Tama Tuitele for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

David Afari run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Darius Stewart run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 48

3rd & 12Punt0 yds

Keagan Zabilla punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Lathan Boone run for 4 yds to the NAU 10

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Mikale Greer run for 9 yds to the NAU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Mikale Greer run for 13 yds to the NAU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Mikale Greer run for no gain to the NAU 32

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.26

Mikale Greer run for 14 yds to the NAU 46 for a 1ST down

0th & 10Rush+1 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
62%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
89%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
13%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th