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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Arizona by 17

Home Win Probability

Cal Poly 16%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Cal Poly +13.5

Edge: Northern Arizona -13.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
14100731
Cal Poly
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-140-217-2414-2414-31
Cal PolyNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CPNACPNACPNACPNACPNACPNACPNANACPNACPNACPNACPDOWNS971ydPUNT517ydTO37ydTD217ydPUNT33ydTD265ydPUNT32ydDOWNS737ydPUNT639ydTD699ydTD1085ydFG725ydTO327ydEND728ydPUNT943ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-5ydTD1285ydTD1064ydPUNT69ydDOWNS1172ydEND37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Cal Poly
StatisticNorthern ArizonaCal Poly
Passing20-2733-43
Pass Yards184285
Rush Yards29359
Total Yards477344
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-116-15
Penalties3-306-50
Possession32:3527:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Ty Pennington
20/27, 184 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Seth Cromwell
15 CAR, 132 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Kolbe Katsis
4 REC, 63 YDS
Cal Poly
passing
Jackson Akins
32/41, 281 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jesse Ehrlich
1 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Giancarlo Woods
8 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 61 yds , Delano Franklin return for 20 yds to the CP 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Jackson Akins pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 16 yds to the CP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Zion Hall run for 6 yds to the CP 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.24

Jackson Akins pass complete to Aiden Ramos for no gain to the CP 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.89

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 29 yds to the NAU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Michael Briscoe run for 12 yds to the NAU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Aiden Ramos run for no gain to the NAU 12

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY CP False Start (Briscoe,Michael) 5 yards from NAU12 to NAU17. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jackson Akins pass complete to Logan Booher for 4 yds to the NAU 13

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Jackson Akins pass complete to Aaron Okoro for 8 yds to the NAU 5

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.09

Richie Watts run for 1 yd to the NAU 4

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Seth Cromwell run for 6 yds to the NAU 10

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Seth Cromwell run for 5 yds to the NAU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Pennington pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 5 yds to the NAU 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for 1 yd to the NAU 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Bryzai White

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 56 yds , Tayden Phillips returns for 5 yds to the CP 28

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 56 yds , Tayden Phillips returns for no gain to the CP 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jake Woods for 6 yds to the CP 19

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the CP 20

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jackson Akins pass intercepted Zach Lewis return for no gain to the CP 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Gerena for 14 yds to the CP 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Seth Cromwell run for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Hunsaker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jackson Akins pass complete to Zion Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jackson Akins pass complete to Logan Booher for 4 yds to the CP 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Aaron Okoro

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Eastman at the NAU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.50

Ty Pennington pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 38 yds to the CP 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Seth Cromwell run for 27 yds for a TD (Samuel Hunsaker KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jackson Akins run for no gain to the CP 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the CP 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Zion Hall

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 32 yds , Isaiah Eastman returns for 3 yds to the NAU 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 15 yds to the CP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

J'Wan Evans run for 9 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.38

Ty Pennington pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 4 yds to the CP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Tay Lanier

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

J'Wan Evans run for 3 yds to the CP 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.25

Ty Pennington pass complete to J'Wan Evans for 12 yds to the CP 19

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.69

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Bryzai White

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.69

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Bryzai White

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 5 yds to the CP 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 3 yds to the CP 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.25

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 30 yds to the NAU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brooks Wheatley pass incomplete to Jake Woods

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.40

Jackson Akins sacked by Tausagafou Ho Ching for a loss of 8 yards to the CP 49

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Jackson Akins pass complete to Kian Salehi for 9 yds to the NAU 42

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Richie Watts punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Ty Pennington run for 7 yds to the NAU 8

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Seth Cromwell run for 2 yds to the NAU 10

3rd & 1Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.27

Ty Pennington run for 42 yds to the CP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Isaiah Eastman run for 11 yds to the CP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.40

Kolbe Katsis run for 15 yds to the CP 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Ty Pennington pass complete to Tay Lanier for 22 yds for a TD (Samuel Hunsaker KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 62 yds , Delano Franklin return for 2 yds to the CP 37 Cal Poly Penalty, (10 Yards) to the CP 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 12 yds to the CP 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 5 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Aaron Okoro

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.60

Jackson Akins pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 5 yds to the CP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Jackson Akins pass complete to Michael Otterstedt for 14 yds to the NAU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Aiden Ramos

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the NAU 48

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.03

Jackson Akins pass complete to Logan Booher for 25 yds to the NAU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Logan Booher

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.08

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 23 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 31 yds , Isaiah Gerena return for 6 yds to the NAU 41 Cal Poly Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the NAU 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Ty Pennington pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 6 yds to the CP 49

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Ty Pennington run for 4 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 15 yds to the CP 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Pennington run for 3 yds to the CP 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd to the CP 26

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd to the CP 25

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

(02:00) PENALTY NAU False Start (Bottorff,Jonny) 5 yards from CP25 to CP30. NO PLAY.

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Samuel Hunsaker 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Marcus Lye kickoff for 62 yds , Delano Franklin return for 21 yds to the CP 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 8 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Jackson Akins run for 4 yds to the CP 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Akins,Jackson pass incomplete deep right to Woods,Giancarlo thrown to NAU42 PENALTY NAU Pass Interference (VanHook,DJ) 15 yards from CP36 to NAU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 3 yds to the NAU 23

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Ty Pennington sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 22

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Seth Cromwell run for 9 yds to the NAU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ty Pennington pass complete to Seth Cromwell for 5 yds to the NAU 36

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Ty Pennington sacked by Thomas Bouda for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Kolbe Katsis

4th & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.03

Seth Cromwell run for 13 yds to the NAU 48 for a 1ST down

0th & 6End of Half+13 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 64 yds , Tay Lanier return for 12 yds to the NAU 13

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Eastman run for 9 yds to the NAU 22

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Seth Cromwell run for 12 yds to the NAU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Ty Pennington pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 8 yds to the NAU 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Ty Pennington pass complete to Ta'ir Brooks for 6 yds to the NAU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Ty Pennington pass complete to Seth Cromwell for 6 yds to the CP 46

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Seth Cromwell run for 8 yds to the CP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Seth Cromwell run for 1 yd to the CP 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ty Pennington pass complete to J'Wan Evans for 5 yds to the CP 44

3rd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.65

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Eastman for no gain to the CP 44

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tayden Phillips at the CP 7

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 6

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Giancarlo Woods

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.05

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jordan Garrison for no gain to the CP 6

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Eastman at the CP 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Isaiah Eastman

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Bryzai White

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Pennington,Ty pass complete short left to Evans,J'Wan caught at CP45, for 1 yard to the CP38 (Rivera,Mason) PENALTY NAU Holding (Azubuike,Clinton) 10 yards from CP39 to CP49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

J'Wan Evans run for 5 yds to the CP 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tayden Phillips at the CP 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.57

Jackson Akins pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 22 yds to the CP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Akins,Jackson pass incomplete short left to Okoro,Aaron thrown to CP40 PENALTY CP Tripping (Norton,Brady) 15 yards from CP37 to CP22. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jackson Akins pass complete to Kian Salehi for 3 yds to the CP 25

2nd & 22Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jackson Akins pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 2 yds to the CP 23

3rd & 24Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.35

Jackson Akins pass complete to Logan Booher for 16 yds to the CP 39

4th & 8Rush+31 ydsPPA +4.19

Jesse Ehrlich run for 31 yds to the NAU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Briscoe,Michael pass complete short right to Briscoe,Michael caught at NAU27, for 25 yards to the NAU05 (Lewis,Zach) PENALTY CP Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Campisano,Payson) 5 yards from NAU30 to NAU35. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Zion Hall run for 12 yds to the NAU 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.12

Jackson Akins pass complete to Kian Salehi for 6 yds to the NAU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Richie Watts pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 4 yds to the NAU 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 4 yds to the NAU 9

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the NAU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the NAU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Zion Hall run for 4 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 65 yds , J'Wan Evans return for 36 yds to the NAU 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Seth Cromwell run for 3 yds to the NAU 39

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Seth Cromwell run for 6 yds to the NAU 45

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.28

Ty Pennington run for 4 yds to the NAU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Ty Pennington sacked by Jordan Sanders for a loss of 4 yards to the NAU 45

2nd & 14Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.24

Seth Cromwell run for 31 yds to the CP 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Seth Cromwell run for 5 yds to the CP 19

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd to the CP 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Ty Pennington pass complete to Myseth Currie for 6 yds to the CP 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 9 yds to the CP 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

Seth Cromwell run for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Hunsaker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jackson Akins pass complete to Logan Booher for 5 yds to the CP 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jackson Akins pass complete to Zion Hall for 1 yd to the CP 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jake Woods for 4 yds to the CP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Giancarlo Woods

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Jackson Akins run for 15 yds to the CP 20 Jackson Akins fumbled, recovered by NAU Jackson Akins

3rd & 25Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Jackson Akins pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 14 yds to the CP 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jesse Ehrlich punt for 35 yds , Isaiah Eastman returns for no gain to the NAU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to J'Wan Evans

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.60

J'Wan Evans run for 20 yds to the NAU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

J'Wan Evans run for 13 yds to the CP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd to the CP 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.14

Ty Pennington pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 14 yds to the CP 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

J'Wan Evans run for 2 yds to the CP 23

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.89

J'Wan Evans run for 17 yds to the CP 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd to the CP 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd to the CP 8

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

J'Wan Evans run for 6 yds to the CP 2

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.15

J'Wan Evans run for 1 yd to the CP 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Aiden Ramos run for no gain to the CP 1

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jackson Akins pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 4 yds to the CP 5

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 8

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
67%
30 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play