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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UC Davis by 36.4

Home Win Probability

UC Davis 97%

Market (ESPN Bet)

UC Davis -23.5

Edge: UC Davis -23.5 (12.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
00077
UC Davis
141028759

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-024-038-052-059-7
UC DavisNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDNCUDTD1175ydPUNT618ydTD480ydTO1057ydMISS43ydEND31ydPUNT32ydPUNT39ydTD652ydPUNT32ydFG1150ydMISS1063ydEND28ydPUNT35ydTD560ydPUNT31ydTD563ydPUNT37ydTD572ydTO21ydTD215ydPUNT614ydTD670ydTD975ydTO750ydPUNT530ydEND317yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and UC Davis
StatisticNorthern ColoradoUC Davis
Passing16-2923-29
Pass Yards103313
Rush Yards180309
Total Yards283622
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-156-9
Penalties1-151-5
Possession28:1931:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Kia'i Keone
13/24, 99 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jonah Chong
5 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Charles Garrison
2 REC, 37 YDS
UC Davis
passing
Miles Hastings
20/26, 285 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Lan Larison
14 CAR, 143 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Samuel Gbatu Jr.
5 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 2 yds to the UCD 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 19 yds to the UCD 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Lan Larison run for 11 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the UNCO 36

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Matteo Perez run for 9 yds to the UNCO 20

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.23

Miles Hastings pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 9 yds to the UNCO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Trent Tompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 12

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the UNCO 7

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.84

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 7 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caden Meis run for 5 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Kia'i Keone run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 12 yds to the UNCO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Tama Tuitele for 3 yds to the UNCO 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 14 yds to the UCD 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 13 yds to the UCD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 4 yds to the UNCO 49

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.25

Lan Larison run for 49 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Angelo Genetti kickoff for 61 yds , David Afari return for 21 yds to the UNCO 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caden Meis run for 4 yds to the UNCO 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.51

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 23 yds to the UCD 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for no gain to the UCD 48

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Caden Meis run for 14 yds to the UCD 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Caden Meis run for 2 yds to the UCD 32

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Carver Cheeks run for 4 yds to the UCD 28

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Darius Stewart run for 8 yds to the UCD 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the UCD 17

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Darius Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 18

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+64 ydsPPA -3.76

Kia'i Keone pass intercepted Porter Connors return for 64 yds to the UNCO 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Matteo Perez run for 3 yds to the UNCO 15

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.50

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for no gain to the UNCO 15

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Hunter Ridley 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kia'i Keone run for no gain to the UNCO 20

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Caden Meis run for 1 yd to the UNCO 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for no gain to the UNCO 21

4th & 9Penalty-15 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Kick Catch Interference enforced (Darius Stewart) to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Lan Larison run for 2 yds to the UNCO 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Banks-Altekruse punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brayden Munroe at the UNCO 6

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Caden Meis run for 5 yds to the UNCO 11

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Caden Meis run for 2 yds to the UNCO 13

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Kia'i Keone run for 2 yds to the UNCO 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the UCD 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.01

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 18 yds to the UNCO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.58

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 25 yds to the UNCO 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 5 yds to the UNCO 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Lan Larison run for 3 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caden Meis run for 4 yds to the UNCO 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Jordan Riles for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Matteo Perez run for 2 yds to the UCD 42

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Matteo Perez run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.32

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 19 yds to the UNCO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Matteo Perez run for no gain to the UNCO 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Miles Hastings pass complete to Cole Wright for 9 yds to the UNCO 31

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Matteo Perez run for 5 yds to the UNCO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.18

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 13 yds to the UNCO 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Matteo Perez run for 2 yds to the UNCO 11

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matteo Perez run for 4 yds to the UNCO 7

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Matteo Perez run for 2 yds to the UNCO 5

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

UC Davis Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNCO 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+23 yds

Hunter Ridley 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caden Meis run for 5 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Caden Meis for 13 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.90

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Charles Garrison for 31 yds to the UCD 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Charles Garrison for 6 yds to the UCD 20

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 6 yds to the UCD 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UCD 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+29 yds

Hunter Green 29 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Miles Hastings run for 3 yds to the UCD 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lan Larison run for 5 yds to the UCD 28

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Angelo Genetti kickoff for 65 yds , David Afari return for 16 yds to the UNCO 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jacquez Robertson run for no gain to the UNCO 16

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Kia'i Keone pass complete to David Afari for 5 yds to the UNCO 21

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 39 yds , Matteo Perez returns for no gain to the UCD 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 15 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.87

Lan Larison run for 26 yds to the UNCO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 11 yds to the UNCO 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Miles Hastings pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Lan Larison run for 8 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Caden Meis for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 37

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Lan Larison run for 9 yds to the UCD 46

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Lan Larison run for 7 yds to the UNCO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Lan Larison run for 3 yds to the UNCO 44

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Miles Hastings run for 4 yds to the UNCO 40

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.11

Miles Hastings pass complete to Josh Gale for 40 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Darius Stewart run for no gain to the UNCO 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Darius Stewart run for 7 yds to the UNCO 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Caden Meis run for no gain to the UNCO 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Trent Tompkins run for 2 yds to the UCD 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.09

Miles Hastings pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 15 yds to the UCD 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 20 yds to the UNCO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Matteo Perez run for 8 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.41

Miles Hastings pass complete to Winston Williams for 27 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Jay Barry for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+18 ydsPPA -0.33

Kia'i Keone pass intercepted David Meyer return for 18 yds to the UNCO 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Grant Harper run for 2 yds to the UNCO 13

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

Grant Harper pass complete to Samuel Gbatu Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jonah Chong pass complete to Matthew Quesada for no gain to the UNCO 25

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Jordan Hornbeak run for 8 yds to the UNCO 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan Hornbeak run for 2 yds to the UNCO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jordan Hornbeak run for 3 yds to the UNCO 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacquez Robertson run for 1 yd to the UNCO 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jonah Chong pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Matteo Perez at the UCD 30

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Jordan Fisher run for 9 yds to the UCD 39

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Jordan Fisher run for 8 yds to the UCD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Jordan Fisher run for 21 yds to the UNCO 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Fisher run for 5 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.58

Carter Vargas run for 25 yds to the UNCO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Carter Vargas run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Ridley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Jonah Chong run for 20 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan Hornbeak run for 1 yd to the UNCO 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jonah Chong pass complete to Jay Barry for 5 yds to the UCD 49

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.88

Jonah Chong run for 8 yds to the UCD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Jonah Chong run for 17 yds to the UCD 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jordan Hornbeak run for 2 yds to the UCD 22

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Jonah Chong run for 16 yds to the UCD 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Hornbeak run for 4 yds to the UCD 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Caden Meis run for 2 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Fisher run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

David Rasor pass complete to Julian Alessi for 13 yds to the UCD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

David Rasor pass complete to Connor Bonesio for 2 yds to the UCD 39

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.09

David Rasor run for 14 yds to the UNCO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.93

David Rasor run for 23 yds to the UNCO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kai Acia run for 1 yd to the UNCO 23

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -3.99

Kai Acia run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 25 Kai Acia fumbled, recovered by UNCO Ezra Ekuban E. Ekuban return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Hornbeak run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.76

Jordan Hornbeak run for 25 yds to the UCD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jonah Chong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Jonah Chong pass complete to Jay Barry for a loss of 1 yard to the UCD 48

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jonah Chong run for 3 yds to the UCD 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kai Acia run for 5 yds to the UCD 8

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Kai Acia run for 8 yds to the UCD 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kai Acia run for 4 yds to the UCD 20

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
24%
25 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
41%
17 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
1 play
4th

UC Davis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
49%
37 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
15 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th