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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana by 31.4

Home Win Probability

Northern Colorado 4%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Northern Colorado +24

Edge: Montana -24 (7.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana
7710024
Northern Colorado
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-140-24
Northern ColoradoMontana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MONNCMONNCMONNCMONNCMONNCMONNCMONNCMONNCMONMONNCPUNT38ydPUNT837ydMISS957ydTO423ydTD854ydUncategorized540ydEND10ydTO1166ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydTD883ydPUNT411ydFG4-5ydTO530ydTD1687ydDOWNS1572ydUncategorized1361ydPUNT629ydPUNT33yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana and Northern Colorado
StatisticMontanaNorthern Colorado
Passing20-3015-31
Pass Yards197153
Rush Yards19865
Total Yards395218
Turnovers03
3rd Down10-163-11
Penalties7-553-20
Possession38:2321:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana
passing
Keali'i Ah Yat
14/22, 149 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Nick Ostmo
13 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Eli Gillman
4 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
Northern Colorado
passing
Kia'i Keone
15/31, 153 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Jacquez Robertson
8 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Cash Cheeks
4 REC, 38 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Aaron Fontes, broken up by Nathaniel Gillis

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Nick Ostmo run for 8 yds to the MONT 37

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Aaron Fontes, broken up by Keyvon Lakes

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe, broken up by Trevin Gradney

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.13

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for 13 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks for a 1ST down Montana Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ronald Jackson Jr.) to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Charles Garrison, broken up by Jareb Ramos

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

David Afari run for 2 yds to the MONT 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.29

Nick Ostmo run for 25 yds to the MONT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Ostmo run for 4 yds to the MONT 35

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.66

Aaron Fontes run for 12 yds to the MONT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nick Ostmo run for 5 yds to the UNCO 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.18

Logan Fife pass complete to Drew Deck for 18 yds to the UNCO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Logan Fife pass incomplete to Xavier Harris, broken up by Franky Morales

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -3.63

Eli Gillman run for a loss of 7 yards to the UNCO 37 Eli Gillman fumbled, recovered by MONT Eli Gillman Gillman,Eli rush left for loss of 7 yards to the UNC37, fumble by Gillman,Eli recovered by UM Gillman,Eli, Gillman,Eli rush (Iongo-Amituanai,Samuel).

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Erik Barker

4th & 17Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Jo Silver 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 7 yds to the UNCO 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Caden Meis run for 1 yd to the UNCO 45

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Keone,Kia'i rush middle (Wilson,Riley;Tirrell,Ryan).

4th & 2Penalty+15 yds

Montana Penalty, personal foul (Riley Wilson) to the MONT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.81

Kia'i Keone pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the MONT 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Xavier Harris for 7 yds to the UNCO 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the UNCO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 14 yds to the UNCO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Eli Gillman run for 9 yds to the UNCO 21

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 6 yds to the UNCO 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Eli Gillman run for 11 yds to the UNCO 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds for a TD (Jo Silver KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacquez Robertson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Jacquez Robertson run for 8 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Darius Stewart run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 37

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, false start (Oliver Ortiz) to the UNCO 32

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 39 yds

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jacquez Robertson run for 8 yds to the UNCO 29

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacquez Robertson run for 2 yds to the UNCO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Caden Meis run for 1 yd to the UNCO 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.43

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Tama Tuitele for 23 yds to the MONT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Caden Meis run for 3 yds to the MONT 42

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+29 ydsPPA -3.19

Kia'i Keone pass complete to David Afari for 29 yds Kia'i Keone fumbled, recovered by UNCO Jordan Riles for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Caden Meis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MONT 17

2nd & 14Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for a loss of 1 yard to the MONT 18

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Jordan Riles Montana Penalty, off-side (Hayden Harris) to the MONT 13

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.83

Kia'i Keone pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Ostmo run for 3 yds to the MONT 6

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Junior Bergen

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Eli Gillman for 1 yd to the MONT 7

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jacquez Robertson run for 5 yds to the MONT 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 3 yds to the MONT 46

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Jacquez Robertson run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Xavier Harris run for 9 yds to the MONT 26

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, false start (Liam Brown) to the MONT 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Junior Bergen for 8 yds to the MONT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.76

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Xavier Harris for 35 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Nick Ostmo run for 6 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.05

Nick Ostmo run for 4 yds to the UNCO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.03

Nick Ostmo run for 22 yds to the UNCO 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Ostmo run for 2 yds to the UNCO 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Ian Finch for 2 yds for a TD (Jo Silver KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, Defensive holding (LaDavion Osborn) to the UNCO 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Caden Meis for 13 yds to the UNCO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Caden Meis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Jay Barry

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, false start (Micah Nanninga) to the UNCO 33

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Nick Ostmo run for 6 yds to the UNCO 18

2nd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.91

Keali'i Ah Yat sacked by Michael Jordan Jr. and David Hoage for a loss of 10 yards to the UNCO 28

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Keali'i Ah Yat run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 29

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+76 yds

Hunter Green kickoff for 65 yds , Xavier Harris return for 76 yds to the UNCO 24

4th & 15Field Goal Good+47 yds

Ty Morrison 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacquez Robertson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 9 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jacquez Robertson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.99

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 15 yds to the MONT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.52

Kia'i Keone pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.84

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Eli Gillman for 15 yds to the MONT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Keali'i Ah Yat run for a loss of 1 yard to the MONT 27

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Eli Gillman run for 8 yds to the MONT 35

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 6 yds to the MONT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Junior Bergen

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Eli Gillman run for 5 yds to the MONT 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Eli Gillman for 25 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Montana Penalty, false start (Liam Brown) to the UNCO 34

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Drew Deck for 12 yds to the UNCO 22

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 2 yds to the UNCO 20

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.15

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the UNCO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Aaron Fontes, broken up by LaDavion Osborn

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Eli Gillman run for 3 yds to the UNCO 16

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 11 yds to the UNCO 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Aaron Fontes, broken up by Darrell Bryant Jr.

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.57

Eli Gillman run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNCO 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Eli Gillman for 9 yds for a TD (Jo Silver KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kia'i Keone pass complete to David Afari for 5 yds to the MONT 41

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 4 yds to the UNCO 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for 17 yds to the MONT 46 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for 9 yds to the MONT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Darius Stewart run for 13 yds to the MONT 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Darius Stewart run for 2 yds to the MONT 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Afari,David rush (Lee,Jaxon), PENALTY UM off-side (Harris,Hayden) 5 yards to the UM 22. Montana Penalty, off-side (Hayden Harris) to the MONT 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe for a 1ST down Montana Penalty, off-side (Andres Lehrmann) to the MONT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to David Afari

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Caden Meis for 4 yds to the MONT 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks, broken up by Ryan Tirrell

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe, broken up by Jareb Ramos

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nick Ostmo run for 6 yds to the MONT 43

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Xavier Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MONT 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.23

Logan Fife pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 7 yds to the MONT 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Logan Fife pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.76

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 17 yds to the UNCO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 6 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.51

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNCO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Rocker Jr.,Stevie rush middle (Hoage,David;Bryant Jr.,Darrell).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Barker for 6 yds to the UNCO 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 14 yds to the UNCO 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNCO 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rocker Jr.,Stevie rush middle (Guthrie,Keenan).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Nick Ostmo run for 2 yds to the MONT 5

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Jake Olson for 7 yds to the MONT 12

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.92

Nick Ostmo run for 14 yds to the MONT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Ryan Simpson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Xavier Harris for 6 yds to the MONT 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete to Xavier Harris, broken up by Ryan Capasso

4th & 4Punt+29 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 39 yds Montana Penalty, Defensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UNCO 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Cash Cheeks, broken up by Tyson Rostad

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Charles Garrison for 3 yds to the UNCO 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Charles Garrison, broken up by Tyson Rostad

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 41 yds

Situational Analysis

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
52%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
70%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play