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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Sacramento State by 4.5

Home Win Probability

Idaho State 38%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Idaho State +7.5

Edge: Idaho State +7.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Sacramento StateSacramento State
71403327
Idaho State
02130630

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-1414-1421-1424-21
Idaho StateSacramento State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SSISSSISSSISSSSSISSSISSSISISSSTD1075ydTO855ydMISS1159ydTD876ydTD875ydPUNT3-1ydTD6-2ydPUNT416ydPUNT34ydTO560ydTD380ydTD675ydEND328ydTO611ydTO123yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Sacramento State and Idaho State
StatisticSacramento StateIdaho State
Passing24-4023-39
Pass Yards270290
Rush Yards268132
Total Yards538422
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-126-15
Penalties8-592-15
Possession30:3229:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Sacramento State
passing
Carson Conklin
24/40, 270 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Curron Borders
18 CAR, 145 YDS
receiving
Danny Scudero
5 REC, 79 YDS
Idaho State
passing
Kobe Tracy
23/38, 290 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Justice Jackson
7 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Christian Fredrickson
10 REC, 163 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the SAC 31

2nd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.98

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 20 yds to the IDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Conklin,Carson pass complete short right to Borders,Curron caught at SAC45, for 2 yards to the ISU47 (Bell,Jayden) PENALTY SAC Illegal Formation 5 yards from ISU49 to SAC46. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.16

Carson Conklin pass complete to Curron Borders for 10 yds to the IDST 44

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.04

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 17 yds to the IDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the IDST 26

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.58

Curron Borders run for 13 yds to the IDST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Borders,Curron rush right for 5 yards gain to the ISU08 (Bell,Jayden; Young,Mason) PENALTY SAC Illegal Formation 5 yards from ISU13 to ISU18. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 10 yds to the IDST 8

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the IDST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 10 yds to the IDST 8

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.25

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 6 yds to the IDST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 11 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 17 yds to the SAC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keoua Kauhi II run for 5 yds to the SAC 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.87

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 16 yds to the SAC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 6 yds to the SAC 20

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.97

Kobe Tracy pass intercepted Malini Ti'a return for no gain to the SAC 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 3 yds to the SAC 20

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.50

Curron Borders run for 15 yds to the SAC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Curron Borders run for 5 yds to the SAC 40

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 8 yds to the SAC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Carson Conklin pass complete to Elijah Tau-Tolliver for 16 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 6 yds to the IDST 30

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the IDST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Zach Schreiner 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Donald Austin run for 22 yds to the IDST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Raiden Brown for 5 yds to the SAC 49

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Donald Austin run for 10 yds to the SAC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.90

Kobe Tracy sacked by Ben Ahio for a loss of 10 yards to the SAC 49

2nd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.90

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 19 yds to the SAC 30

2nd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.90

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 19 yds to the SAC 30

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Hunter Hays run for 6 yds to the SAC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Hunter Hays run for no gain to the SAC 24

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 24 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 35 yds to the IDST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Carson Conklin pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 8 yds to the IDST 32

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the IDST 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.38

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the IDST 30 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.38

Elijah Tau-Tolliver run for 1 yd to the IDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Curron Borders run for 8 yds to the IDST 22

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.27

Curron Borders run for 6 yds to the IDST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the IDST 10

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Ezra Moleni run for 10 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+6 yds

Zach Schreiner kickoff for 65 yds , Keoua Kauhi II return for 6 yds to the IDST 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dason Brooks run for 3 yds to the IDST 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Dason Brooks for a loss of 4 yards to the IDST 5

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the IDST 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Carson Conklin pass complete to Coleman Kuntz for 8 yds to the IDST 37

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.10

Curron Borders run for 6 yds to the IDST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Curron Borders run for no gain to the IDST 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the IDST 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Ezra Moleni run for 6 yds to the IDST 25

4th & 4Fumble Return Touchdown+53 ydsPPA -10.02

Nathan Reynolds 53 Yd Fumble Return (Gabe Panikowski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Curron Borders run for 12 yds to the SAC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ezra Moleni run for 7 yds to the SAC 44

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Ezra Moleni run for 2 yds to the SAC 46

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SAC False Start (Slater,Jackson) 5 yards from SAC46 to SAC41. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+24 yds

Cal McGough punt for 46 yds , Aaron Blancas returns for 24 yds to the IDST 37

4th & 6Punt+24 yds

Cal McGough punt for 46 yds , Aaron Blancas returns for 24 yds to the IDST 37

1st & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Dason Brooks run for 1 yd to the IDST 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 3 yds to the IDST 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the SAC 17

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.44

Curron Borders run for 45 yds to the IDST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Michael Johnson run for 8 yds to the IDST 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Carson Conklin pass complete to Anderson Grover for 3 yds to the IDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Curron Borders run for 4 yds to the IDST 23

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -4.22

Carson Conklin pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 23 yds to the IDST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 15 yds to the SAC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 15 yds to the SAC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 42 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Carson Conklin run for 6 yds to the SAC 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Carson Conklin pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Ezra Moleni run for 9 yds to the SAC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.82

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 26 yds to the IDST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Carson Conklin pass complete to Danny Scudero for 15 yds to the IDST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Carson Conklin pass complete to Jared Gipson for 19 yds for a TD (Zach Schreiner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Zach Schreiner kickoff for 56 yds , Aaron Blancas return for 8 yds to the IDST 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.16

Dason Brooks run for 22 yds to the IDST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dason Brooks run for 6 yds to the IDST 45

0th & 10End of Half+6 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Donald Austin run for no gain to the IDST 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 12 yds to the IDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Hunter Hays run for 1 yd to the IDST 36

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Hunter Hays pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.13

Kobe Tracy pass intercepted Will Leota return for no gain to the IDST 23

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+23 ydsPPA -4.34

Curron Borders run for 23 yds Curron Borders fumbled, recovered by IDST Adrian Rodriguez

0th & 0Field Goal Good+35 yds

Gabe Panikowski 35 Yd Field Goal

Situational Analysis

Sacramento State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
71%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
75%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Idaho State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
17 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th