Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 13, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 9.9

Home Win Probability

Montana State 73%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Montana State -9.5

Edge: Montana State -9.5 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 13, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Idaho
00077
Montana State
14107738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-031-038-0
Montana StateIdaho

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSMSIDAMSIDAMSIDAMSDOWNS527ydMISS618ydPUNT30ydTD373ydPUNT35ydTD769ydPUNT820ydPUNT35ydPUNT39ydTD1478ydTO511ydFG633ydTD575ydTO317ydDOWNS718ydDOWNS1347ydTD971ydDOWNS641ydDOWNS1241yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Idaho and Montana State
StatisticIdahoMontana State
Passing12-2612-17
Pass Yards107125
Rush Yards80361
Total Yards187486
Turnovers20
3rd Down1-119-13
Penalties4-454-25
Possession19:4337:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Idaho
passing
Jack Wagner
7/18, 65 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Elisha Cummings
6 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Mark Hamper
3 REC, 42 YDS
Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
11/15, 121 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tommy Mellott
11 CAR, 140 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ty McCullouch
2 REC, 28 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Nick Josifek pass complete to Mark Hamper for 19 yds to the IDHO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Elisha Cummings run for 2 yds to the IDHO 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Josifek pass complete to Emmerson Cortez-Menjivar for 5 yds to the MTST 49

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Nick Josifek run for 2 yds to the MTST 47

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Nick Josifek run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 48

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Scottre Humphrey run for 14 yds to the IDHO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Scottre Humphrey run for 14 yds to the IDHO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Adam Jones run for 1 yd to the IDHO 23

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.38

Adam Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the IDHO 28

3rd & 14Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.06

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for a loss of 6 yards to the IDHO 34

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Myles Sansted 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Josifek pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Elisha Cummings run for 2 yds to the IDHO 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nick Josifek pass complete to Elisha Cummings for a loss of 2 yards to the IDHO 34

4th & 10Punt0 yds

LJ Harm punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MTST 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the MTST 29

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the MTST 35

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.17

Tommy Mellott run for 65 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Elisha Cummings run for no gain to the IDHO 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Elisha Cummings run for 5 yds to the IDHO 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nick Josifek pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

LJ Harm punt for 39 yds , Taco Dowler returns for no gain to the MTST 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Scottre Humphrey run for 9 yds to the MTST 40

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the MTST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Scottre Humphrey run for 10 yds to the IDHO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Scottre Humphrey run for no gain to the IDHO 46

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Adam Jones run for 3 yds to the IDHO 43

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IDHO 48

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTST 47

3rd & 17Penalty+15 yds

Idaho Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Keyshawn James-Newby) to the IDHO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDHO 34

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.18

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 34 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emmerson Cortez-Menjivar run for no gain to the IDHO 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Nick Josifek pass complete to Mark Hamper for 12 yds to the IDHO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Josifek pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Art Williams run for 2 yds to the IDHO 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.45

Nick Josifek pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 8 yds to the IDHO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Art Williams run for 7 yds to the MTST 46

2nd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -3.05

Nick Josifek sacked by Paul Brott for a loss of 9 yards to the IDHO 45

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cameron Pope punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Scottre Humphrey run for 1 yd to the MTST 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 4 yds to the MTST 25

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 50 yds , Andrew Marshall returns for 4 yds to the IDHO 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Elisha Cummings run for 3 yds to the IDHO 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jack Wagner pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 6 yds to the IDHO 38

4th & 1Punt-2 yds

LJ Harm punt for 53 yds , Taco Dowler returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MTST 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tommy Mellott run for 4 yds to the MTST 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the MTST 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the MTST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the MTST 37

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Tommy Mellott run for 7 yds to the MTST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the MTST 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDHO 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDHO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the IDHO 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.34

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Lonyatta Alexander Jr. for 23 yds to the IDHO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Tommy Mellott run for 12 yds to the IDHO 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Tommy Mellott run for 7 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Jack Wagner pass complete to Mark Hamper for 11 yds to the IDHO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Wagner run for no gain to the IDHO 33

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jack Wagner run for no gain to the IDHO 33

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Wagner pass intercepted Danny Uluilakepa return for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 7 yds to the IDHO 43

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Tommy Mellott run for 9 yds to the IDHO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Adam Jones for 7 yds to the IDHO 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.64

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 10 yds to the IDHO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Myles Sansted 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the MTST 31

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Scottre Humphrey run for 18 yds to the MTST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.16

Tommy Mellott run for 23 yds to the IDHO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.24

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 17 yds to the IDHO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 11 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Elisha Cummings run for 18 yds to the IDHO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Art Williams run for 9 yds to the MTST 48

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

WAGNER, Jack pass up the middle complete for 24 yards to MINI, Mason caught at the UID24 and advanced to the MSU24, End of Play. PENALTY UID Holding enforced 10 yards from the MSU48 to the UID42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.17

Art Williams run for no gain to the IDHO 42 Art Williams fumbled, recovered by MTST Rylan Ortt R. Ortt return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Hunter Provience for 3 yds to the IDHO 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Adam Jones run for no gain to the IDHO 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 11 yds to the IDHO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the IDHO 25

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.63

Tommy Mellott run for a loss of 6 yards to the IDHO 31

3rd & 13Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Tommy Mellott sacked by Xavier Slayton for a loss of 2 yards to the IDHO 33

4th & 15Penalty+5 yds

HALL, Brendan punt 33 yards to the UID0, Touchback, clock 07:22. PENALTY Before the snap, UID Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UID33 to the UID28. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -2.07

Patrick Duchien run for 4 yds to the IDHO 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Deshaun Buchanan run for 2 yds to the IDHO 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jack Wagner pass complete to Alex Moore for 4 yds to the IDHO 30

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.83

Jack Wagner pass complete to Alex Moore for 5 yds to the IDHO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Deshaun Buchanan run for 4 yds to the IDHO 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

4th & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +3.08

Jack Wagner run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Jack Wagner pass complete to Tony Harste for 16 yds to the MTST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Deshaun Buchanan run for 6 yds to the MTST 28

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-28 yds

WAGNER, Jack pass deep up the middle intercepted by POWDRELL, Andrew at the MSU0. Powdrell return for 28 yards to the MSU28. PENALTY MSU Holding UID Holding , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -2.78

Jack Wagner sacked by Brody Grebe for a loss of 1 yard to the MTST 29

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Scottre Humphrey run for 14 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Ty McCullouch run for 2 yds to the MTST 45

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.18

Tommy Mellott run for 20 yds to the IDHO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Adam Jones run for 11 yds to the IDHO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Adam Jones run for 7 yds to the IDHO 17

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Tommy Mellott run for 1 yd to the IDHO 16

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the IDHO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Adam Jones run for 8 yds to the IDHO 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Adam Jones run for 4 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jack Wagner pass complete to Emmerson Cortez-Menjivar for 17 yds to the IDHO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Deshaun Buchanan run for 15 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Deshaun Buchanan run for 3 yds to the MTST 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jack Wagner pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -1.28

Jack Wagner pass complete to Tony Harste for 6 yds to the MTST 34

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Chance Wilson run for 8 yds to the MTST 42

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Jared White run for 4 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jared White run for 2 yds to the MTST 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.63

Chance Wilson run for 10 yds to the IDHO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

COON, Colson rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the UID39 (LAYNE, Dylan). PENALTY MSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the UID42 to the MSU48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Colson Coon run for 11 yds to the IDHO 41

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Montana State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the IDHO 46

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Colson Coon run for 6 yds to the IDHO 40

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +1.96

Colson Coon run for 9 yds to the IDHO 31 Colson Coon fumbled, recovered by MTST Takhari Carr T. Carr return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chance Wilson pass complete to Hunter Provience for 4 yds to the IDHO 27

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jared White run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDHO 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jared White run for 4 yds to the IDHO 24

4th & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.20

Chance Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDHO 25

Situational Analysis

Idaho

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play