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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Idaho by 13

Home Win Probability

Idaho 74%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Idaho -10.5

Edge: Idaho -10.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
730717
Idaho
6143023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142813-720-1023-10
IdahoNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAIDANAIDANAIDANANAIDAIDAIDAIDANAIDANAIDANANAIDANAIDANAIDAPUNT415ydPUNT512ydPUNT34ydTD769ydTD675ydTD875ydPUNT525ydFG1243ydTD675ydEND22ydUncategorized414ydFG952ydTO28ydPUNT32ydTO625ydPUNT37ydPUNT515ydDOWNS44ydPUNT524ydTD963ydPUNT39ydDOWNS927ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Idaho
StatisticNorthern ArizonaIdaho
Passing23-338-13
Pass Yards196124
Rush Yards118189
Total Yards314313
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-146-13
Penalties4-405-35
Possession28:4531:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
Ty Pennington
12/17, 114 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
J'Wan Evans
6 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Bryzai White
4 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Idaho
passing
Nick Josifek
6/7, 109 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Elisha Cummings
17 CAR, 119 YDS
receiving
Mark Hamper
3 REC, 48 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Ty Pennington pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 12 yds to the NAU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the NAU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Kolbe Katsis

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the NAU 28

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Owen Adams kickoff for 65 yds , J'Wan Evans return for 13 yds to the NAU 13

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 41 yds , Andrew Marshall returns for no gain to the IDHO 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Elisha Cummings run for 8 yds to the IDHO 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Elisha Cummings run for 3 yds to the IDHO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Jordan Dwyer

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Elisha Cummings

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Wagner run for 1 yd to the IDHO 37

4th & 9Punt0 yds

LJ Harm punt for 28 yds , Ta'ir Brooks returns for no gain to the NAU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Kolbe Katsis, broken up by Dallas Afalava

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Ty Pennington pass complete to BJ Fleming for 6 yds to the NAU 30

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ty Pennington sacked by Malakai Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 28

4th & 6Punt+14 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 55 yds , Andrew Marshall returns for 14 yds to the IDHO 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Nate Thomas run for 9 yds to the IDHO 40

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Idaho Penalty, false start (Logan Harris) to the IDHO 35

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nate Thomas run for 5 yds to the IDHO 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Nate Thomas run for 2 yds to the IDHO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.00

Elisha Cummings run for 43 yds to the NAU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Thomas run for 3 yds to the NAU 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Thomas run for 3 yds to the NAU 9

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.76

Mike Martinez 9 Yd pass from Jack Wagner (Cameron Pope PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Seth Cromwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ty Pennington pass complete to Seth Cromwell for a loss of 3 yards to the NAU 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.22

Ty Pennington pass complete to Tay Lanier for 16 yds to the NAU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ty Pennington pass complete to Tay Lanier for 6 yds to the NAU 43

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Ty Pennington run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 50 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

3rd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.12

Art Williams run for 8 yds to the NAU 38 Northern Arizona Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (DJ VanHook) to the NAU 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cummings,Elisha rush right (Lewis,Zach).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nick Josifek pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 5 yds to the IDHO 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Elisha Cummings run for 4 yds to the NAU 43

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Elisha Cummings run for 4 yds to the NAU 39

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Idaho Penalty, false start (Ayden Knapik) to the NAU 44

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Idaho Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NAU 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.53

Nick Josifek pass complete to Tony Harste for 33 yds to the NAU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nate Thomas run for 3 yds to the NAU 13

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Nate Thomas run for 13 yds for a TD (Cameron Pope KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Owen Adams kickoff for 63 yds , J'Wan Evans return for 21 yds to the NAU 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Kolbe Katsis

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.29

J'Wan Evans run for 19 yds to the NAU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Ty Pennington sacked by Keyshawn James-Newby for a loss of 6 yards to the NAU 36

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

J'Wan Evans run for 5 yds to the NAU 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

PJ London pass complete to Bryzai White for 7 yds to the NAU 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Pennington pass complete to Isaiah Gerena for 4 yds to the NAU 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Northern Arizona Penalty, false start (Ralph Frias III) to the NAU 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ty Pennington pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 1 yd to the NAU 25

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Ty Pennington run for 14 yds to the NAU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Kolbe Katsis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ty Pennington pass complete to BJ Fleming for 6 yds to the NAU 45

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.99

Isaiah Eastman run for 7 yds to the IDHO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hubbard,Darvon rush middle (Eck,Jaxton;Williams,Malakai).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Ty Pennington pass complete to Bryzai White for 10 yds to the IDHO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ty Pennington pass incomplete to Tay Lanier, broken up by Mathias Bertram

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ty Pennington pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 3 yds to the IDHO 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Ty Pennington pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 3 yds to the IDHO 32

4th & 4Field Goal Good+50 yds

Marcus Lye 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Nick Josifek pass complete to Mark Hamper for 34 yds to the NAU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 42

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 44

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Nick Josifek run for 6 yds to the NAU 38

4th & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.87

Nick Josifek pass incomplete to Mark Hamper for a 1ST down Northern Arizona Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Mikale Greer) to the NAU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Nick Josifek pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 23 yds for a TD (Cameron Pope KICK)

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Nick Josifek run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Thomas run for 2 yds to the IDHO 4

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Josifek pass complete to Mark Hamper for a loss of 1 yard to the IDHO 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Mark Hamper

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.71

Nick Josifek pass complete to Mark Hamper for 15 yds to the IDHO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-24 ydsPPA -3.00

Nick Josifek sacked by Cory Hall for a loss of 24 yards to the IDHO 5 Nick Josifek fumbled, recovered by NAU Tausagafou Ho Ching , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Wagner pass incomplete to Jordan Dwyer, broken up by Mikale Greer

2nd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.57

Elisha Cummings run for 6 yds to the IDHO 31 Idaho Penalty, personal foul (Emmerson Cortez-Menjivar) to the IDHO 16

2nd & 19Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Elisha Cummings run for 11 yds to the IDHO 27

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Jack Wagner run for 11 yds to the IDHO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.16

Elisha Cummings run for 33 yds to the NAU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nate Thomas run for 4 yds to the NAU 25

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Nate Thomas run for 2 yds to the NAU 23

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Thomas,Nate rush middle (McLaughlin,Alex;Ellis,Tommy).

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Cameron Pope 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+63 yds

Owen Adams kickoff for 65 yds , J'Wan Evans return for 63 yds to the IDHO 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Isaiah Eastman run for 8 yds to the IDHO 29

2nd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -4.54

PJ London pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cortez-Menjivar,Emmerson rush left (Ellis,Tommy).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Nate Thomas run for 2 yds to the IDHO 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

pass incomplete to Jordan Dwyer

4th & 8Punt0 yds

LJ Harm punt for 44 yds , Isaiah Eastman returns for no gain to the NAU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

PJ London pass complete to Bryzai White for 5 yds to the NAU 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Darvon Hubbard run for 2 yds to the NAU 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.99

PJ London pass complete to Darvon Hubbard for 23 yds to the IDHO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.97

PJ London pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for no gain to the IDHO 41 Northern Arizona Penalty, illegal formation (Kai Millner) to the IDHO 46

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Hubbard,Darvon rush left (McDougle,Dwayne;James-Newby,Keyshawn).

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -0.85

PJ London pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Elisha Cummings run for 2 yds to the IDHO 38

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cummings,Elisha rush right (Wong,Brandon;Arena,Travis).

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nick Josifek run for 5 yds to the IDHO 43

4th & 3Punt+37 yds

LJ Harm punt for 42 yds Idaho Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the NAU 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

J'Wan Evans run for 8 yds to the NAU 28

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

J'Wan Evans run for 2 yds to the NAU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

J'Wan Evans run for 2 yds to the NAU 32

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

J'Wan Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAU 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

PJ London pass complete to J'Wan Evans for 4 yds to the NAU 35

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ben D'Aquila punt for 35 yds

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Seth Cromwell run for 1 yd to the IDHO 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

PJ London run for 3 yds to the IDHO 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cromwell,Seth rush middle (Afalava,Dallas;James-Newby,Keyshawn).

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Cromwell,Seth rush middle (Fisher,Spencer;Johnson,Zach).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Thomas run for 3 yds to the IDHO 4

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Nate Thomas run for 13 yds to the IDHO 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Nate Thomas run for 3 yds to the IDHO 20

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Elisha Cummings run for 6 yds to the IDHO 26

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the IDHO 25 Idaho Penalty, illegal shift (Yards) to the IDHO 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

LJ Harm punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Isaiah Eastman run for 7 yds to the NAU 44

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.73

PJ London run for 9 yds to the IDHO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Darvon Hubbard run for 8 yds to the IDHO 39

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

PJ London run for 1 yd to the IDHO 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.59

Darvon Hubbard run for 1 yd to the IDHO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Isaiah Eastman run for 7 yds to the IDHO 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.05

PJ London pass complete to Tay Lanier for 12 yds to the IDHO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

PJ London pass complete to Tay Lanier for 16 yds to the IDHO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

PJ London run for 2 yds for a TD (Marcus Lye KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Elisha Cummings run for 3 yds to the IDHO 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jack Wagner pass complete to Mason Mini for 6 yds to the IDHO 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cummings,Elisha rush middle (Smith,Christopher;Hall,Cory).

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

LJ Harm punt for 47 yds , Isaiah Eastman returns for 2 yds to the NAU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

PJ London pass complete to Kolbe Katsis for 8 yds to the NAU 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.17

PJ London pass complete to Isaiah Gerena for 5 yds to the NAU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Seth Cromwell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Isaiah Eastman

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Seth Cromwell run for 11 yds to the NAU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

PJ London run for 1 yd to the NAU 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

PJ London pass complete to BJ Fleming for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.22

PJ London pass complete to BJ Fleming for a loss of 2 yards to the NAU 48

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

PJ London pass incomplete to Isaiah Eastman, broken up by Dwayne McDougle

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Jack Wagner run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Jack Wagner run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Idaho

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play