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← Back to GamesOct 6, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cal Poly by 1.8

Home Win Probability

Cal Poly 55%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Cal Poly +3.5

Edge: Cal Poly +3.5 (5.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 6, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Idaho State
17771041
Cal Poly
71471038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-37-107-1714-1721-1728-2428-3135-3138-38
Cal PolyIdaho State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CPISCPISCPISCPISCPISCPISISCPISCPISCPISCPISCPISTD684ydFG1059ydTO410ydTD745ydPUNT34ydTD295ydTO4-4ydPUNT519ydTD888ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT37ydTD10ydPUNT1036ydTO13ydTD218ydEND1-1ydPUNT38ydTD1067ydTD1075ydTD971ydTD575ydFG1057ydTO326yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Idaho State and Cal Poly
StatisticIdaho StateCal Poly
Passing27-4111-14
Pass Yards375104
Rush Yards82278
Total Yards457382
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-104-8
Penalties6-716-51
Possession24:2130:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Idaho State
passing
Kobe Tracy
27/41, 375 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dason Brooks
9 CAR, 40 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jeff Weimer
11 REC, 223 YDS, 1 TD
Cal Poly
passing
Bo Kelly
5/5, 56 YDS
rushing
Richie Watts
16 CAR, 98 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Evan Burkhardt
2 REC, 29 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.80

Jaden Jones pass complete to Jake Woods for 13 yds to the CP 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Aiden Ramos run for 5 yds to the CP 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the CP 35

3rd & 4Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.82

Jaden Jones run for 47 yds to the IDST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Giancarlo Woods run for 1 yd to the IDST 19

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.02

Jaden Jones pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 19 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Keoua Kauhi II run for 3 yds to the IDST 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 9 yds to the IDST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 4 yds to the IDST 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Ian Duarte for 6 yds to the IDST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Keoua Kauhi II run for 7 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.93

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 28 yds to the CP 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Keoua Kauhi II run for 3 yds to the CP 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Ian Duarte for 4 yds to the CP 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU Delay Of Game (Hays,Hunter) 5 yards from CP12 to CP17. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Gabe Panikowski 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Zion Hall run for 2 yds to the CP 37

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Jaden Jones run for 8 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Zion Hall run for 3 yds to the CP 48

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.30

Jaden Jones run for 3 yds to the CP 45 Jaden Jones fumbled, recovered by IDST Mason Young

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 14 yds to the CP 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Tracy,Kobe pass incomplete short right to Weimer,Jeff thrown to CP20, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CP Pass Interference (Wilson,Boston) 11 yard from CP31 to CP20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 15 yds to the CP 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dason Brooks run for 4 yds to the CP 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 9 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the IDST 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the IDST 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaden Jones pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 5 yds to the IDST 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CP Illegal Snap (Delgatty,Racin) 5 yards from ISU34 to ISU39. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Noah Serna punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Aaron Blancas at the IDST 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 11 yds to the IDST 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +6.58

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 84 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Jaden Jones pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 11 yds to the CP 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaden Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun Jones,Jaden rush right for 1 yard gain to the CP34, out of bounds at CP34 PENALTY CP Holding (Charbonneau,Tyler) 10 yards from CP33 to CP23. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaden Jones pass complete to Zion Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the CP 18

3rd & 25Interception0 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaden Jones pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dason Brooks run for 6 yds to the IDST 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 9 yds to the IDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Justice Jackson run for 4 yds to the CP 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xavier Oliphant at the CP 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the CP 16

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.22

Aiden Ramos run for 26 yds to the CP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Richie Watts run for 6 yds to the CP 48

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Richie Watts run for 10 yds to the IDST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Richie Watts run for 5 yds to the IDST 37

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Richie Watts run for 4 yds to the IDST 33

3rd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.70

Richie Watts run for 14 yds to the IDST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Michael Briscoe run for 19 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Kauhi,Keoua rush left for 5 yards gain to the ISU30 (Rivera,Mason) PENALTY ISU Holding (Hyde,Ty) 10 yards from ISU25 to ISU15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Dason Brooks run for 7 yds to the IDST 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CP 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Zion Hall run for 2 yds to the CP 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaden Jones pass complete to Jake Woods for 5 yds to the CP 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jaden Jones pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+11 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 48 yds , Aaron Blancas returns for 11 yds to the IDST 23

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+26 ydsPPA -7.79

Jake East 26 Yd Interception Return (Noah Serna Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for no gain to the IDST 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 11 yds to the IDST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Donald Austin run for 11 yds to the IDST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Raiden Brown for 8 yds to the IDST 42

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Justice Jackson run for 6 yds to the IDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Aaron Blancas for 5 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.23

Kobe Tracy sacked by Elijah Ponder for a loss of 5 yards to the IDST 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Xavier Oliphant at the CP 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaden Jones run for 3 yds to the CP 18 Jaden Jones fumbled, recovered by IDST Jagger Giles

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 13 yds to the CP 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Hunter Hays run for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Zion Hall run for 4 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CP Illegal Snap (Delgatty,Racin) 5 yards from CP32 to CP27. NO PLAY.

0th & 6End of Half-5 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Justice Jackson for no gain to the IDST 18

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Kobe Tracy run for 8 yds to the IDST 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Donald Austin run for no gain to the IDST 26

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Richie Watts run for 2 yds to the CP 35

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Richie Watts run for 10 yds to the CP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Aiden Ramos run for 7 yds to the IDST 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Richie Watts run for 3 yds to the IDST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the IDST 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 14 yds to the IDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Zion Hall run for 1 yd to the IDST 26

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Briscoe,Michael pass incomplete deep right to Woods,Jake thrown to ISU00 PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Daniels,Jackson) 15 yards from ISU26 to ISU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Bo Kelly pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 1 yd to the IDST 10

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.75

Richie Watts run for 10 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Dason Brooks for 3 yds to the IDST 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Dason Brooks run for 9 yds to the IDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, (15 Yards) to the CP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Dason Brooks run for 11 yds to the CP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dason Brooks run for 3 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dason Brooks run for 3 yds to the CP 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.89

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 15 yds to the CP 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(04:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Tracy,Kobe pass complete short left to Fredricksen,Christian caught at CP01, for 0 yards to the CP14 PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Fredricksen,Christian) 15 yards from CP14 to CP29. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 8 yds to the CP 21

3rd & 17Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +4.11

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 21 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Richie Watts run for 3 yds to the CP 32

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Aiden Ramos run for no gain to the CP 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.14

Bo Kelly pass complete to Kian Salehi for 9 yds to the CP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Zion Hall run for no gain to the CP 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.83

Bo Kelly pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 24 yds to the IDST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Bo Kelly sacked by Logan George for a loss of 4 yards to the IDST 39

2nd & 14Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.84

Zion Hall run for 22 yds to the IDST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CP False Start (Bourland,Ty) 5 yards from ISU17 to ISU22. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.56

Zion Hall run for 11 yds to the IDST 11

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.40

Richie Watts run for 11 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 22 yds to the IDST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 13 yds to the CP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 12 yds to the CP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.30

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Raiden Brown for 25 yds to the CP 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Dason Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Bo Kelly pass complete to Aiden Ramos for 8 yds to the CP 43

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Richie Watts run for 4 yds to the CP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the IDST 49

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.20

Richie Watts run for 12 yds to the IDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Aiden Ramos run for 8 yds to the IDST 29

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Richie Watts run for 1 yd to the IDST 28

3rd & 1Penalty+14 yds

(08:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Watts,Richie pass incomplete deep middle to Woods,Giancarlo thrown to ISU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Alford,Josh) 14 yards from ISU28 to ISU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Richie Watts run for 3 yds to the IDST 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the IDST 8

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Richie Watts run for no gain to the IDST 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

Noah Serna 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 13 yds to the IDST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 13 yds Jeff Weimer fumbled, recovered by IDST Jake East , return to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Idaho State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
54%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
64%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th