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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana State by 18.9

Home Win Probability

Idaho State 13%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Idaho State +17.5

Edge: Montana State -17.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
31402037
Idaho State
0701017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-107-1710-1710-3117-3117-37
Idaho StateMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSISMSMSISMSISMSISMSISMSPUNT57ydPUNT616ydPUNT36ydFG716ydPUNT30ydTD974ydPUNT513ydTO829ydTO38ydTD449ydTD1475ydEND1-1ydPUNT836ydPUNT420ydPUNT618ydFG1277ydTD170ydPUNT38ydTD874ydTD1075ydTD944yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and Idaho State
StatisticMontana StateIdaho State
Passing10-1720-41
Pass Yards142201
Rush Yards26875
Total Yards410276
Turnovers11
3rd Down10-156-16
Penalties7-687-65
Possession31:4223:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Tommy Mellott
10/17, 142 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Scottre Humphrey
27 CAR, 159 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Rohan Jones
2 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
Idaho State
passing
Kobe Tracy
17/33, 183 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Dason Brooks
5 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Keoua Kauhi II run for 7 yds to the IDST 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 3 yds to the IDST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Raiden Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the IDST 32

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTST 23 , Taco Dowler returns for no gain to the MTST 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 2 yds to the MTST 25

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Taco Dowler run for 5 yds to the MTST 30

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.14

Adam Jones run for 3 yds to the MTST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ryan Lonergan for 3 yds to the MTST 36

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Scottre Humphrey run for 2 yds to the MTST 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Taco Dowler for 1 yd to the MTST 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IDST 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dason Brooks run for 1 yd to the IDST 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MSU Offside (Grebe,Brody) 5 yards from ISU38 to ISU43. NO PLAY.

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+50 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 50 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 50 yds to the IDST 43

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the IDST 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDST 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the IDST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the IDST 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+44 yds

Myles Sansted 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 49 yds , Taco Dowler returns for no gain to the MTST 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rylan Schlepp for 9 yds to the MTST 35

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Scottre Humphrey run for 8 yds to the MTST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the MTST 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.82

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Jacob Trimble for 23 yds to the IDST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Adam Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the IDST 34

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.38

Tommy Mellott run for 2 yds to the IDST 32 for a 1ST down Idaho State Penalty, Personal Foul (Logan George) to the IDST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Tommy Mellott run for 10 yds to the IDST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Tommy Mellott run for 7 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hunter Hays pass complete to Ian Duarte for 6 yds to the IDST 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Donald Austin run for 10 yds to the IDST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Hunter Hays pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Donald Austin run for 3 yds to the IDST 38

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Hunter Hays pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+17 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 38 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 17 yds to the MTST 41

4th & 13Punt+16 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 38 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 16 yds to the MTST 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the MTST 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the MTST 37

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.41

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the MTST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Fleischmann,Titan) 5 yards from MSU40 to MSU35. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the MTST 39

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Ty McCullouch run for 10 yds to the MTST 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Adam Jones run for 3 yds to the IDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Mellott run for 3 yds to the IDST 45

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.95

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the IDST 41 Adam Jones fumbled, recovered by IDST Nathan Reynolds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Keoua Kauhi II run for no gain to the IDST 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Hunter Hays pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 8 yds to the IDST 49

3rd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -2.01

Hunter Hays pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Scottre Humphrey run for 8 yds to the IDST 41

2nd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.30

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDST 37 for a 1ST down Idaho State Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Malik Richardson) to the IDST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDST 18

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.68

Scottre Humphrey run for 18 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Keoua Kauhi II run for 1 yd to the IDST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Keoua Kauhi II for 3 yds to the IDST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.92

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Ian Duarte for 20 yds to the IDST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 5 yds to the MTST 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Keoua Kauhi II run for 3 yds to the MTST 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Hunter Hays run for 2 yds to the MTST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Hunter Hays pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.60

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 31 yds to the MTST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Tracy,Kobe pass incomplete short left to Kauhi,Keoua thrown to MSU00 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Jackson,Miles) 8 yards from MSU10 to MSU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush+2 yds

Hunter Hays run for 2 yds to the MTST 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Hunter Hays pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU False Start (Sagale,Josiah) 5 yards from MSU04 to MSU09. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Hunter Hays pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 4 yds to the MTST 5

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 5 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

T. Mellott takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Gabe Panikowski kickoff for 65 yds , Unterrio Latin-Henley return for 15 yds to the MTST 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the MTST 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 10 yds to the MTST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Adam Jones run for 9 yds to the MTST 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.88

Adam Jones run for 11 yds to the MTST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Adam Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Mellott,Tommy rush right for 34 yards gain to the ISU16 (Sanchez,Kris) PENALTY MSU Holding (Sain,Cole) 10 yards from MSU50 to MSU40. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Jared White run for 11 yds to the IDST 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 12 yds to the IDST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dason Brooks run for 4 yds to the IDST 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Raiden Brown for 4 yds to the IDST 26

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Taco Dowler at the MTST 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the MTST 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tommy Mellott run for 4 yds to the MTST 38

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Adam Jones run for 8 yds to the MTST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Scottre Humphrey run for 5 yds to the IDST 49

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Tommy Mellott sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the MTST 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brendan Hall punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Aaron Blancas at the IDST 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Dason Brooks run for 9 yds to the IDST 16

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.21

Dason Brooks run for 5 yds to the IDST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dason Brooks run for 6 yds to the IDST 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.42

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Michael Shulikov for 26 yds to the MTST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Justice Jackson run for 10 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for no gain to the MTST 37

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Justice Jackson run for 4 yds to the MTST 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 15 yds to the MTST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 7 yds to the MTST 11

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU Delay Of Game (Hays,Hunter) 5 yards from MSU11 to MSU16. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Gabe Panikowski 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 70 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keoua Kauhi II run for 5 yds to the IDST 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Keoua Kauhi II run for 3 yds to the IDST 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+7 yds

Ross Bolger punt for 48 yds , Taco Dowler returns for 7 yds to the MTST 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds to the MTST 32

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Scottre Humphrey run for 7 yds to the MTST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tommy Mellott pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Adam Jones run for 7 yds to the MTST 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.60

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Rohan Jones for 23 yds to the IDST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDST 27

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.84

Scottre Humphrey run for 21 yds to the IDST 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Scottre Humphrey run for 6 yds for a TD (Myles Sansted KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Ian Duarte for 8 yds to the IDST 33 for a 1ST down Montana State Penalty, Targeting (Jon Johnson) to the IDST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.08

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Ian Duarte for 15 yds to the MTST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Tracy,Kobe pass incomplete deep left to Fredricksen,Christian thrown to MSU07 PENALTY MSU Pass Interference (Powdrell,Andrew) 15 yards from MSU37 to MSU22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kobe Tracy pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kobe Tracy run for 5 yds to the MTST 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Christian Fredericksen for 16 yds to the MTST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ISU False Start (Hyde,Ty) 5 yards from MSU01 to MSU06. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Hunter Hays run for 5 yds to the MTST 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Hunter Hays run for no gain to the MTST 1

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY ISU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hays,Hunter) 15 yards from MSU01 to MSU16. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.67

Kobe Tracy pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 16 yds for a TD (Gabe Panikowski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDST 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDST 36

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Scottre Humphrey run for 9 yds to the IDST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the IDST 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy Mellott pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 5 yds to the IDST 19

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Scottre Humphrey run for 4 yds to the IDST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Scottre Humphrey run for 3 yds to the IDST 12

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Adam Jones run for 4 yds to the IDST 8

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Scottre Humphrey run for 8 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
31%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th

Idaho State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
21 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
18%
11 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play