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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cal Poly by 3.7

Home Win Probability

Northern Colorado 39%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Northern Colorado +2.5

Edge: Cal Poly -2.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Cal Poly
1407728
Northern Colorado
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-147-21
Northern ColoradoCal Poly

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCPNCCPNCCPNCCPCPNCCPNCCPNCCPNCCPNCCPNCCPNCCPNCPUNT31ydPUNT35ydTO514ydMISS927ydPUNT616ydTD295ydPUNT35ydTD792ydPUNT65ydDOWNS746ydPUNT928ydDOWNS1547ydEND313ydPUNT69ydPUNT714ydTD315ydTD775ydPUNT41ydTO317ydDOWNS1130ydTD1494ydPUNT3-22ydPUNT30ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cal Poly and Northern Colorado
StatisticCal PolyNorthern Colorado
Passing9-1916-28
Pass Yards202126
Rush Yards29087
Total Yards492213
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-145-16
Penalties6-375-45
Possession33:2826:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cal Poly
passing
Jaden Jones
7/14, 189 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Aiden Ramos
23 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Michael Briscoe
3 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD
Northern Colorado
passing
Kia'i Keone
14/20, 115 YDS
rushing
Kia'i Keone
16 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryder MacGillivray
4 REC, 41 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kaiden Box pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks, broken up by Mason Barbour

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Hunter Green punt for 50 yds , Giancarlo Woods returns for 6 yds to the CP 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the CP 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bo Kelly pass incomplete to Giancarlo Woods, broken up by Noah Mangham

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Darius Stewart run for 4 yds to the UNCO 36

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Stewart,Darius rush (Olson,Kenny;Turner,Demel), PENALTY CPU off-side (Jones,Je'Kob) 5 yards to the UNC31. Cal Poly Penalty, off-side (Je'kob Jones) to the UNCO 41

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Caden Meis run for 5 yds to the UNCO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.82

Kia'i Keone run for 11 yds to the CP 43 Kia'i Keone fumbled, recovered by CP Kai Rapolla

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.15

Bo Kelly pass complete to Calvin Moore for 8 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Michael Otterstedt

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Zion Hall run for 9 yds to the UNCO 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the UNCO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Bo Kelly run for 1 yd to the UNCO 32

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Zion Hall run for 3 yds to the UNCO 29

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Zion Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 30

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Noah Serna 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Stewart,Darius rush middle (Sanders,Jordan).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.23

Kaiden Box pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 10 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, illegal formation (Kia'i Keone) to the UNCO 40

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Cash Cheeks

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kia'i Keone run for 6 yds to the UNCO 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Jordan Hornbeak

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, false start (Charles Lincoln) to the CP 3

1st & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the CP 5

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+95 ydsPPA +7.20

Jaden Jones pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 95 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kaiden Box pass incomplete to Ryder MacGillivray, broken up by Mason Rivera

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kia'i Keone run for 2 yds to the UNCO 27

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kia'i Keone run for 3 yds to the UNCO 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 59 yds , Giancarlo Woods returns for no gain to the CP 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ramos,Aiden rush right (Jordan, Jr.,Michael).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Jaden Jones pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 14 yds to the CP 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Zion Hall run for 7 yds to the CP 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaden Jones pass complete to Alek Marshall for 14 yds to the CP 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zion Hall run for 4 yds to the CP 47

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Fletcher,Troy rush middle (Iongo-Amituanai,Samuel;Howard,Marcus).

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +5.77

Jaden Jones run for 53 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Troy Fletcher run for 5 yds to the CP 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jones,Jaden rush right (Mangham,Noah).

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.85

Jaden Jones pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 6 yds to the CP 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaden Jones pass incomplete to Kian Salehi, broken up by Franky Morales

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.30

Troy Fletcher run for a loss of 6 yards to the CP 35

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

pass incomplete to Guy Kirson Cal Poly Penalty, illegal forward pass (Jaden Jones) to the CP 35

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 7 yds to the UNCO 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.30

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Kamron Randell-Taylor for 4 yds to the UNCO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.15

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Ryder MacGillivray for 26 yds to the CP 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Kia'i Keone run for a loss of 3 yards to the CP 43

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kia'i Keone run for 5 yds to the CP 38

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the CP 35

4th & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -2.00

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Vann Schield for 4 yds to the CP 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Michael Briscoe run for 7 yds to the CP 38

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Aiden Ramos run for 8 yds to the CP 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Giancarlo Woods

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Jaden Jones run for 17 yds to the UNCO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Michael Otterstedt

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Zion Hall run for 2 yds to the UNCO 31

3rd & 8Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.71

Jones,Jaden rush (Iongo-Amituanai,Samuel), PENALTY CPU holding (Norton,Brady) 10 yards to the UNC21. Cal Poly Penalty, Offensive holding (Brady Norton) to the UNCO 41

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaden Jones pass incomplete to Giancarlo Woods, broken up by Komari Owens

4th & 18Punt+51 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 41 yds Northern Colorado Penalty, tripping (Michael Jordan Jr.) to the UNCO 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 15

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the UNCO 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Darius Stewart run for 1 yd to the UNCO 19

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.93

Kia'i Keone run for 4 yds to the UNCO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Keenan Campbell, broken up by Ethan Calvert

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Cash Cheeks Cal Poly Penalty, off-side (Elijah Ponder) to the UNCO 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Jordan Riles for 12 yds to the UNCO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Charles Garrison for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Kia'i Keone run for 8 yds to the CP 42

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Caden Meis run for 4 yds to the CP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Ryder MacGillivray

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Caden Meis run for 1 yd to the CP 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -2.58

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Brayden Munroe for no gain to the UNCO 37 Northern Colorado Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Carver Cheeks) to the UNCO 48

3rd & 24Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for 9 yds to the CP 43

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

pass incomplete to Cash Cheeks

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaden Jones pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 5 yds to the CP 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaden Jones pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 8 yds to the UNCO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-21 ydsPPA -3.82

pass incomplete to Giancarlo Woods

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Ryder MacGillivray for 7 yds to the UNCO 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Darius Stewart run for 2 yds to the UNCO 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Darius Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 36

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kia'i Keone pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks, broken up by Ethan Calvert

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kia'i Keone run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 34

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 66 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 23

2nd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.73

Ramos,Aiden rush left (Jordan, Jr.,Michael), PENALTY CPU holding (Jones,Hayden) 10 yards to the CPU33. Cal Poly Penalty, Offensive holding (Hayden Jones) to the CP 13

2nd & 17Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Aiden Ramos run for 14 yds to the CP 27

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Bo Kelly run for 5 yds to the CP 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Zion Hall run for 2 yds to the CP 34

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Hall,Zion rush left (Guthrie,Keenan).

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Bo Kelly pass incomplete to Brooks Wheatley, broken up by David Hoage

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

punt for no gain , Franky Morales returns for 5 yds to the CP 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Vann Schield run for 5 yds to the CP 10

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Schield,Vann rush left (Moon,Judaea).

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Kia'i Keone run for 10 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the CP 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.51

Jaden Jones pass complete to Giancarlo Woods for 47 yds to the UNCO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Aiden Ramos run for 14 yds to the UNCO 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Aiden Ramos run for 4 yds to the UNCO 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the UNCO 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Richie Watts run for 1 yd to the UNCO 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Richie Watts run for 2 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Noah Serna kickoff for 61 yds , Justin Guin return for 16 yds to the UNCO 20

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Jacquez Robertson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 23 Northern Colorado Penalty, Offensive holding (Carver Cheeks) to the UNCO 13

1st & 17Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.25

Kia'i Keone sacked by Mikey D'Amato for a loss of 5 yards to the UNCO 8

2nd & 22Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Jordan Riles for 6 yds to the UNCO 14

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Ryder MacGillivray for 7 yds to the UNCO 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Zion Hall run for 17 yds to the CP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Hall,Zion rush left (Guthrie,Keenan;Bryant Jr.,Darrell).

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.29

Jaden Jones pass intercepted

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Kia'i Keone run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Keone,Kia'i rush middle (Javorsky,Jake;Ponder,Elijah).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Jordan Hornbeak for 5 yds to the CP 31

4th & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.44

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Charles Garrison for 13 yds to the CP 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kia'i Keone run for 3 yds to the CP 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Cash Cheeks for 5 yds to the CP 12

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Caden Meis run for 6 yds to the CP 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kia'i Keone pass complete to Kamron Randell-Taylor for no gain to the CP 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Keone,Kia'i rush middle (Jones,Je'Kob;Ponder,Elijah).

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Cash Cheeks

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.87

pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Aiden Ramos run for 12 yds to the CP 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Aiden Ramos run for 9 yds to the CP 27

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Hall,Zion rush left (Lakes,Keyvon).

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.80

Aiden Ramos run for 3 yds to the CP 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Aiden Ramos run for 12 yds to the CP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.77

Zion Hall run for 29 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Aiden Ramos run for 6 yds to the UNCO 23

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaden Jones run for 4 yds to the UNCO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Aiden Ramos run for 7 yds to the UNCO 12

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Aiden Ramos run for 2 yds to the UNCO 10

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Hall,Zion rush middle (Lakes,Keyvon;Morales,Franky).

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Richie Watts run for 2 yds to the UNCO 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Richie Watts run for 3 yds to the UNCO 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Richie Watts pass complete to Evan Burkhart for 5 yds for a TD (Noah Serna KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, delay of game (Kaiden Box) to the UNCO 20

1st & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.55

Kaiden Box sacked by Mason Rivera for a loss of 10 yards to the UNCO 10

2nd & 25Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaiden Box pass complete to Ryder MacGillivray for 1 yd to the UNCO 11

3rd & 24Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaiden Box sacked by Mason Barbour for a loss of 8 yards to the UNCO 3

4th & 32Punt+2 yds

Hunter Green punt for 47 yds , Delano Franklin returns for 2 yds to the UNCO 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Aiden Ramos run for 1 yd to the UNCO 47

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Zion Hall run for 1 yd to the UNCO 46

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Zion Hall run for 3 yds to the UNCO 43

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Cal Poly Penalty, delay of game (Bo Kelly) to the UNCO 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Collins punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Kia'i Keone run for 15 yds to the UNCO 20 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Cal Poly

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
25%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
20 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play