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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southeast Missouri State by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Tennessee State 47%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tennessee State +6.5

Edge: Tennessee State +6.5 (5.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southeast Missouri State
0140721
Tennessee State
2100728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142821-021-1428-14
Tennessee StateSoutheast Missouri State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSSMSTSSMSSMSTSSMSTSSMSTSSMSTSSMSTSTSSMSTSSMSSMSTSSMSTSSMSTSSMSMISS631ydPUNT33ydTD1251ydTD579ydPUNT30ydTD257ydPUNT31ydTD1266ydTD969ydPUNT617ydTD1273ydEND21ydPUNT521ydPUNT76ydTD577ydPUNT34ydPUNT413ydPUNT65ydDOWNS949ydUncategorized419ydTD649ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-12ydPUNT737ydUncategorized420yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southeast Missouri State and Tennessee State
StatisticSoutheast Missouri StateTennessee State
Passing27-4720-32
Pass Yards233232
Rush Yards75115
Total Yards308347
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-165-14
Penalties7-534-35
Possession28:1731:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southeast Missouri State
passing
Paxton DeLaurent
27/46, 233 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Payton Brown
10 CAR, 45 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tristan Smith
8 REC, 70 YDS
Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
20/31, 232 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaden McGill
18 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
CJ Evans Jr.
6 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

CJ Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 47

2nd & 11Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.23

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 31 yds to the SEMO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

CJ Evans run for 6 yds to the SEMO 10

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Roshawn Lacy

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean, broken up by Khalani Riddick

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, false start (Hadine Diaby) to the SEMO 15

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+32 yds

James Lowery 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Dorian Anderson, broken up by Tyler Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Brandon Epton Jr. for 3 yds to the SEMO 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Andrew Civey, broken up by Keandre Booker

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Leftrick punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 8 yds to the SEMO 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jalen Rouse run for 1 yd to the SEMO 42

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

pass incomplete to Jason Hoath Jr.

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the SEMO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 6 yds to the SEMO 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Bryant Williams, broken up by Chris Daigre

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jason Hoath Jr. for 11 yds to the SEMO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 8 yds to the SEMO 16

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaden McGill run for 4 yds to the SEMO 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaden McGill run for 5 yds to the SEMO 7

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 7 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 6 yds to the SEMO 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Andrew Civey for 2 yds to the SEMO 29

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Paxton DeLaurent run for 2 yds to the SEMO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Brandon Epton Jr. run for 3 yds to the SEMO 34

2nd & 7Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -8.03

Keandre Booker 0 Yd Fumble Return (James Lowery Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brandon Epton Jr. run for no gain to the SEMO 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Tristan Smith

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

pass incomplete to Donnie Cheers

4th & 10Punt+24 yds

Logan Leftrick punt for 39 yds Southeast Missouri State Penalty, kick catching interference (Donnie Cheers) to the SEMO 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNST 44

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +5.39

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 56 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Brandon Epton Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Payton Brown for 2 yds to the SEMO 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Brandon Epton Jr., broken up by Sanders Ellis

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Logan Leftrick punt for 46 yds , CJ Evans returns for 12 yds to the TNST 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 12 yds to the TNST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaden McGill run for 3 yds to the TNST 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the SEMO 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Karate Brenson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 14 yds to the SEMO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 7 yds to the SEMO 28

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Draylen Ellis run for 5 yds to the SEMO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

pass incomplete to Karate Brenson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Karate Brenson, broken up by Sam Keeper

4th & 3Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -3.67

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for no gain Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Gerard Bullock) to the SEMO 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalen Rouse for 7 yds to the SEMO 16

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+48 yds

James Lowery 48 yd FG MISSED

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.45

Paxton DeLaurent run for 7 yds to the SEMO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Donnie Cheers, broken up by Tyler Jones

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.34

Payton Brown run for 20 yds to the TNST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 4 yds to the TNST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 31

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Payton Brown run for 1 yd to the SEMO 32

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.00

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 31 yds for a TD (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Andrew Civey

0th & 9End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, delay of game (Draylen Ellis) to the TNST 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Draylen Ellis run for 4 yds to the TNST 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Roshawn Lacy for 3 yds to the TNST 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean for a 1ST down Southeast Missouri State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Justus Johnson) to the TNST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Draylen Ellis run for 2 yds to the TNST 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Bryant Williams, broken up by Bryce Norman

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Gerard Bullock, broken up by Amare Townsend

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 8 yds to the SEMO 35

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Payton Brown run for 4 yds to the SEMO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

pass incomplete to Payton Brown

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Paxton DeLaurent run for 9 yds to the SEMO 48

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, false start (Kobe Sixkiller) to the SEMO 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.95

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 18 yds to the TNST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 3 yds to the TNST 36

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Paxton DeLaurent run for 5 yds to the TNST 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

pass incomplete to Tristan Smith

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Paxton DeLaurent run for 3 yds to the TNST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Payton Brown for 5 yds to the TNST 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Andrew Civey for 10 yds to the TNST 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Payton Brown for 13 yds for a TD (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the TNST 16

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Gant run for 6 yds to the TNST 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for 2 yds to the SEMO 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.00

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 27 yds to the TNST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Payton Brown run for 2 yds to the TNST 43

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, false start (Tyler McMillan) to the TNST 48

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Cam Pedro

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, personal foul (Carter Guillaume) to the SEMO 47

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Dorian Anderson

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Logan Leftrick punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jaden McGill run for 7 yds to the TNST 35

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the TNST 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaden McGill run for 3 yds to the TNST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the TNST 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jaden McGill for 2 yds to the TNST 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.04

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for no gain to the TNST 42 Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jamari Freeman) to the TNST 32

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 2 yds to the TNST 34

4th & 15Punt+4 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 35 yds , Brennan Remy returns for 4 yds to the SEMO 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 11 yds to the TNST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 12 yds to the TNST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Draylen Ellis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 8 yds to the SEMO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Draylen Ellis run for 42 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Payton Brown run for 5 yds to the SEMO 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Cam Pedro

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for 4 yds to the SEMO 48

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, false start (Carter Guillaume) to the SEMO 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Leftrick punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 12 yds to the TNST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the TNST 37

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

CJ Evans run for 3 yds to the TNST 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Bryant Williams

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 38 yds , Brennan Remy returns for 4 yds to the SEMO 44 Southeast Missouri State Penalty, roughing kicker (Judd Cunningham) to the SEMO 26

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Payton Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMO 32

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Payton Brown run for 3 yds to the SEMO 35

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.67

Paxton DeLaurent run for 11 yds to the SEMO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Dorian Anderson

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.62

Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Eriq George for a loss of 6 yards to the SEMO 40

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Anthony Westervelt, broken up by Sanders Ellis

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Adam Heston punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 3 yds to the SEMO 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.55

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for 22 yds to the TNST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Cam Pedro

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Paxton DeLaurent run for 7 yds to the TNST 42

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Payton Brown run for 10 yds to the TNST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Tristan Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Payton Brown for 8 yds to the TNST 24

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Payton Brown run for no gain to the TNST 24

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.31

Payton Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 17 yds to the TNST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Draylen Ellis run for 2 yds to the TNST 44

4th & 29Punt+9 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 35 yds , Brennan Remy returns for 9 yds to the TNST 49

3rd & 8Rush-21 ydsPPA -1.16

run for a loss of 21 yards to the TNST 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Donnie Cheers for 12 yds to the TNST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Donnie Cheers for 8 yds to the TNST 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.22

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 5 yds to the TNST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for 14 yds to the TNST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Paxton DeLaurent run for 9 yds to the TNST 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Payton Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaden McGill run for 7 yds to the TNST 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the TNST 36

3rd & 1Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.38

Draylen Ellis sacked by Sam Cook for a loss of 13 yards to the TNST 23

4th & 14Punt+17 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 43 yds , Brennan Remy returns for 17 yds to the TNST 49

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, false start (Trey Gibbs) to the SEMO 46

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.95

Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Boogie Trotter for a loss of 7 yards to the SEMO 39

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Cam Pedro, broken up by Boogie Trotter

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete to Donnie Cheers, broken up by Tyler Jones

4th & 22Punt+2 yds

Adam Heston punt for 51 yds , CJ Evans returns for 2 yds to the TNST 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaden McGill run for 5 yds to the TNST 17

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the TNST 18

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Jaden McGill run for 8 yds to the TNST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Jaden McGill run for 15 yds to the TNST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the TNST 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the TNST 45

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaden McGill run for 4 yds to the TNST 49

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Jackson Foster punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SEMO 18 , Brennan Remy returns for 2 yds to the SEMO 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.54

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 20 yds to the SEMO 38 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Jack Clinkenbeard

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Kobe Sixkiller for no gain to the SEMO 38 Southeast Missouri State Penalty, illegal touching (Kobe Sixkiller) to the SEMO 38

Situational Analysis

Southeast Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays